Discussion Zen 5 Speculation (EPYC Turin and Strix Point/Granite Ridge - Ryzen 9000)

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DisEnchantment

Golden Member
Mar 3, 2017
1,626
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I think it's fairly clear what is meant here. Currently, all Zen CPUs have 32-byte data paths between caches. When there is a miss to a higher cache level, it takes two cycles to do a fill, 32 bytes at a time. I think 64 Byte fills means that this path has been widened to full cache line width, at least between L2 and L1.
Same thought here but I was just refraining from pointing it out since it is not explicitly mentioned but also seems ambitious
L2 evictions are 32B/cycle or 2 cycles for each cache line.
So it is quite intriguing for a possibility of evictions as each cache line per cycle.
Since L3 runs at core clock it is going to be really fast if width is 2x but it will burn more power. Interesting thoughts to be had for V cache here.



Additionally Zen 4 L1D loads are in blocks of 32B/256b. Having 64B loads as indicated by the STQ/LDQ 512b and would keep it on par with GLC, cache line per load.

We shall see how it is going to turn out but massive BW improvement if it turns out to be the case.
 
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Markfw

Moderator Emeritus, Elite Member
May 16, 2002
25,668
14,676
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Ehhh, if AMD could keep RDNA 3's underwhelming performance under wraps, they could keep Zen 5 under wraps.
Thats one bad example. But I just saw the benchmark where 2 Genoa 48 core beat both a dual 56 core and dual 60 core Intel setup, their best. And Zen 5 promises to be even better. Not to mention, no test of Genoa-x or Bergamo. Yes, these are all Zen 4 but virtually nobody ir arguing that en 5 will be at LEAST 15% better, maybe as much as 30%.

You find the one bad thing and point it out. Nice way to go.
 

adroc_thurston

Platinum Member
Jul 2, 2023
2,813
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I think AMD leaks like a sieve
No lol, they're not Intel.
I don’t think RDNA3 was kept a secret but just hyped beyond belief by the usual suspects to where it was always going to underperform relative to expectations.
It underperformed their FAD'22 slides.
Lying to the investors is bad mkaay.
 

TESKATLIPOKA

Platinum Member
May 1, 2020
2,381
2,879
136
So what price do you expect instead for 8950X, assuming only 16C and only 15% perf increase?
But I could be wrong, and Zen5 will actually be as bad as mentioned in my previous recent posts (only 15% perf increase, and price bump to around $999). However then I’ll definetely go for Zen4 instead, which would be much better bang for the buck.
Just because @adroc_thurston mentioned $999, doesn't mean he is right.
I don't think price is set at this point.

MSRP:
5950X -> $799
7950X(3D) -> $699
7950X saw a 32% increase in performance(TPU) compared to the predecessor, yet It cost less money. It saw a 51% increase in perf/$.
Of course this reduced price was likely also due to high platform cost vs Intel platform.
15% increase at $999 price point for Zen5 would mean 19% reduction in perf/$, so It's a nonsense.

I won't guess Zen5 performance, because I don't know.
What I know is that they have to set the price to be competitive in perf/$ not just against Intel but also Zen4.
 
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Thunder 57

Platinum Member
Aug 19, 2007
2,753
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Just because @adroc_thurston mentioned $999, doesn't mean he is right.
I don't think price is set at this point.

15% increase at $999 price point is nonsense.
MSRP:
5950X -> $799
7950X(3D) -> $699
7950X saw a 32% increase in performance(TPU) compared to the predecessor, yet It cost less money. Of course this reduction in cost was most likely due to high platform cost vs Intel platform.

I won't guess Zen5 performance, because I don't know.
What I know is that they have to set the price to be competitive in perf/$ not just against Intel but also Zen4.

Price is almost always set just before launch. Another reason I don't believe a thing he says.
 

adroc_thurston

Platinum Member
Jul 2, 2023
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How could they only know the performance failure so late?
I assume they've ID'd the uArch or implementation issues but those couldn't be fixed with a stepping and needed retapes (which is a lot of effort and money).
Price is almost always set just before launch
Vendors always clearly communicate platform-level pricing creep before launch.
Given that Turin is unfortunate amount more expensive than Genoa no reason to think GNR won't be (for slightly different reasons tho).
 
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HurleyBird

Platinum Member
Apr 22, 2003
2,697
1,293
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Price is almost always set just before launch. Another reason I don't believe a thing he says.

I have a quantum of belief due to some seeming corroboration with @Kepler_L2 (who despite not having a perfect track record himself, obviously has real sources).

Rather, I see him as less reliable more based on the number of predictions he makes, and the fact that for each one he is totally confident. I think he knows a bit, but also speculates and passes that off as fact (pricing being the most extreme example).

As much crap as MLID gets on here, he does at least give confidence ratings to various predictions and makes few absolute proclamations. Imagine if he instead took after Adroc.

That said, I'd rather Adroc stay on the forum than leave. Even if there's a lot of noise, anything with some signal can be valuable.
 
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Goop_reformed

Member
Sep 23, 2023
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Well, I said 15% perf. So that would be the net of any IPC increase and frequency reduction.

Or are you suggesting 10-15% IPC increase, with frequency reduction of X %, resulting in 10-15% IPC - X% frequency reduction, resulting in 10-15% - X% net performance improvement for Zen5 over Zen4?
The slides don't mention clock anywhere
No lol, they're not Intel.

It underperformed their FAD'22 slides.
Lying to the investors is bad mkaay.
Here's the vod

Can't find what you are talking about anywhere
 

Timmah!

Golden Member
Jul 24, 2010
1,436
673
136
Regardless of price difference?

The 7950X3D is around $650 now, and will likely be $500-600 by BF. Meanwhile some in this thread have suggested the non-X3D successor 8950X will be around $999. Now if 8950X is only 15% faster than 7950X3D, would you still be willing to wait ~6 months for 8950X and pay close to double the price for it compared to 7950X3D?

Well, if its 999, than it would be something to consider, sure, as thats bit too much for 16C CPU. What is this, 2017 again? :-D
When talking about price-bump, i was thinking its supposed to be more like 100+ compared to Zen4.

The price $999 for 16C 8950X was mentioned by adroc_thurston, whom some here apparently hail as an AMD insider, whether accurate or not. If not accurate, I guess that puts his insider status into question.

I think that was just a guess, even if he is an insider. No way at this point they know what the pricing it will have.
And anyway, good luck to them selling it at that price. I bought my 7950x in December last year, like 2,5 months after it started to sell, and already at that point it was 100 euros cheaper than its starting price, as it did not sell that great. No reason to think it will be different with Zen5, regardless of its fabled IPC jump. If anything, people might be willing to pay even less, as its another generation / 1,5 years and still the same core-count.
 

biostud

Lifer
Feb 27, 2003
18,320
4,848
136
Probably referring to RDNA 3's projected performance/watt uplift being stated as >50% starting at 1:05:30.
And if you compare a 6950XT with a 7900XTX it is only about 28% (using TDP values and relative speed from TPU)

 

PJVol

Senior member
May 25, 2020
572
496
136
Since L3 runs at core clock it is going to be really fast if width is 2x but it will burn more power. Interesting thoughts to be had for V cache here.
No idea how things are with the zen4 3d, but on my 5800x3d I see kinda the opposite, i.e. the cores are running at L3 clock speed, since the L3 process/infrastructure limitations come into effect way before those for the cores, so their effective clocks almost always follow the current L3 Fmax.
(That is never seems to happen with my prev. 2D 5600X)
 
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JoeRambo

Golden Member
Jun 13, 2013
1,814
2,105
136
Same thought here but I was just refraining from pointing it out since it is not explicitly mentioned but also seems ambitious
L2 evictions are 32B/cycle or 2 cycles for each cache line.
So it is quite intriguing for a possibility of evictions as each cache line per cycle.

The first Intel's CPU that had 64 byte path from L2 was Haswell. While "sustained" BW was not that great, the path was 64 bytes.
So i think 99.99% that AMD's L2 will have 64 byte / cycle width, it's long overdue.

L3 having that wide path would make little sense tho as AMD's L3 is already excellent and X3D variants even more so.

The real shenanigans come with how many "ports" L1 will have and how many 256bit loads / stores they will support per cycle.
 

PJVol

Senior member
May 25, 2020
572
496
136
Probably referring to RDNA 3's projected performance/watt uplift being stated as >50% starting at 1:05:30.
For me as a non-native english speaker, it's not quite clear how one should interpret "going to" at 1:06:10, in
"the rdna 3 is going to deliver another greater than 50% perf/w uplift over the previous gen"
Can someone clarify?
 
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inf64

Diamond Member
Mar 11, 2011
3,713
4,087
136
The first Intel's CPU that had 64 byte path from L2 was Haswell. While "sustained" BW was not that great, the path was 64 bytes.
So i think 99.99% that AMD's L2 will have 64 byte / cycle width, it's long overdue.

L3 having that wide path would make little sense tho as AMD's L3 is already excellent and X3D variants even more so.

The real shenanigans come with how many "ports" L1 will have and how many 256bit loads / stores they will support per cycle.
Well the slide did mention 4 loads/ 2 stores per cycle, which would imply 4x 256 bit (AVX2) or 2x512bit (AVX512). If the core can sustain it, that would mean it doubles the FP throughput versus Genoa.
 
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