Recent content by johnsonwax

  1. J

    Discussion Apple Silicon SoC thread

    Not sure where to report this, but it looks like some domestic semiconductor companies are furloughing employees next month due to reduced demand they attribute to tariffs. Source is my son who works in the industry who is being furloughed because their customers are shutting down operations...
  2. J

    Discussion Apple Silicon SoC thread

    There is no country not being tariffed right now, btw. It gets Apple out from behind the most crippling tariffs, but there's a 26% tariff on India imports that is temporarily suspended. That's $200 on the base iPhone.
  3. J

    Discussion Apple Silicon SoC thread

    Report that Apple will split iPhone releases into a pro/foldable and non-pro/se into a standard fall/spring schedule. That would create opportunities for Apple to differentiate by pro/non-pro A series and distribute that demand better across TSMC. That always seemed inevitable.
  4. J

    Discussion Leading Edge Foundry Node advances (TSMC, Samsung Foundry, Intel) - [2020 - 2025]

    Well, 4 months ago you could probably trust most of TSMCs talent would come to the US. Not so sure now.
  5. J

    Question Intel's future after Pat Gelsinger

    The reason why both AMD and Intel are losing to Apple on performance potential is not because of management or engineering, but lack of control. Apple is able to shed a shit ton of technical debt because they can force changes on the software/OS side (ensure backward compatibility through...
  6. J

    Question Intel's future after Pat Gelsinger

    20% isn't hard to hit, tbh. Particularly when you are acquiring and throwing off so many new businesses as Intel did. You build up these layers to mange the new complexity but you don't fully remove them when you cast that complexity off.
  7. J

    Question Intel's future after Pat Gelsinger

    Right, but that TSMC partnership is not independent of what I said. ARM + foundries blew holes in both of Intel's moats - proprietary x86 tied to the best process - which reinforced each other. Once enough dollars flowed into foundries like TSMC via mobile, they caught up quickly on process, and...
  8. J

    Question Intel's future after Pat Gelsinger

    They only had a massive CPU advantage because there wasn't PC volumes of dollars flowing into mobile architectures before. And they don't have an advantage now because there aren't mobile volumes of dollars flowing into PC architectures. And in 2013, their architecture was already darn crusty.
  9. J

    Discussion Leading Edge Foundry Node advances (TSMC, Samsung Foundry, Intel) - [2020 - 2025]

    I think we're past the point of most CEOs being gullible enough to fall for the 'maybe if we suck Trumps dick he'll give us a nice pat on the head' form of negotiating. Trumps whole thing is establishing dominance, and if you appease him, he's just going to demand more later. He only backs down...
  10. J

    Discussion Leading Edge Foundry Node advances (TSMC, Samsung Foundry, Intel) - [2020 - 2025]

    I'm of the view that Intels foundry business is only going to be saved by investment by domestic fabless industry, and that would need buy in from the government (which isn't going to happen with this crew), and that Apple would have plenty of uses for such a business commitment even if they...
  11. J

    Discussion Apple Silicon SoC thread

    In fairness, they aren't particularly well suited to a 19" rack either. For $100 you can get a mount for 3 M4 minis in 2U. So 2 racks, plus another $3K in mounts. Another $5K isn't huge, but not nothing either.
  12. J

    Discussion Apple Silicon SoC thread

    Nice to see the old ways haven't been completely forgotten. $1000 19" rack? How about an $89 wire shelf from Walmart and a bucket of power strips?
  13. J

    Discussion Leading Edge Foundry Node advances (TSMC, Samsung Foundry, Intel) - [2020 - 2025]

    You think it's more likely that Apple is going to be making an unprecedented reveal at a technology conference that they are now fabbing at Intel rather than they happened to be authors that previous worked at Intel? Same for Nvidia?
  14. J

    Discussion Leading Edge Foundry Node advances (TSMC, Samsung Foundry, Intel) - [2020 - 2025]

    Authors of the paper worked at Intel when it was developed, but now works at Nvidia/Apple. Doesn't imply that Nvidia/Apple are using Intel tech.
  15. J

    Discussion Leading Edge Foundry Node advances (TSMC, Samsung Foundry, Intel) - [2020 - 2025]

    The administration is objectively not aware of any of these issues, based on their own behavior. Bringing American manufacturing back is contradictory to raising revenue to balance the budget. Note, in the first Trump admin, the feds raised $0 net dollars because all of the revenue raised had...
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