Fair enough; however, believing that N2 would be used for ALL Zen 6 markets flies in the face of history and common sense.
Nobody said, that, though?
The monolithic 4+4+8CU APU will apparently use N3P, and also serve as IOD for the Strix successor.
In other words, it's going to be the highest-volume part of the generation, as mobile nowadays eclipses the latest desktop gen in volume.
N2 will ALSO be limited in supply, expensive, and lower yield than N3.
N3 was a completely new process vs. N5/4.
N2 is mostly just GAA transistors on the N3E/P BEOL, so if they got GAA transistors under control, there's no reason for a significantly lower yield or significantly higher prices.
Also, supply shouldn't be an issue.
TSMC isn't GlobalFoundries, if a process is promising and has high demand, they ramp it up rather quickly.
If demand for N3E/P came in below expectations, they can probably convert N3E/P lines to N2 relatively quickly and easily.
Performance/high-end desktop is also a drop in the pond in terms of volume, and the bulk of demand will be for 1-CCD models like the 10800X3D, where the CCD is only like 75-80mm², so you get a ton of them out of a wafer.
DC volume usually also ramps up very slowly for new products, since there's a lot more validation and longer decision-making processes before demand really picks up, so I don't see a slow ramp of Venice as that much of a problem, either.
And like I pointed out before, a good chunk of mobile demand will actually be covered by that N3P 8C APU.
Best speculation I have seen in this thread for some time .
I tend to disagree though. I think it more likely that we will see:
Zen 6 10950X
12c CCD x2 = 24 (full Zen 6) + 4 LP Zen 6c on IOD
N3P
2026 Q2
$699
Multiple people with access to official internal AMD slides have clearly stated that
- the CCD will be N2
- the IOD will have only 2 LP cores
The logical conclusion is that
- maximum core config can be 26 cores (2x12 +2)
- Zen6 will be a H2 (probably Q4) product, since N2 HVM only starts in H2
- the 2xCCD models will likely only arrive in 2027, if Zen5 is any indication
- as both the IOD and CCD will be made on costlier processes than their predecessor and TSMC raised prices on top of that, I don't see the 950X launching at such a low price
My desktop line-up expectation kind of goes like this:
Zen6 desktop launch:
10700X
12+2 (12 from N2 CCD, 2 from N4C IOD)
105W
2026 Sept, Oct or Nov
$429
~9800X3D perf in games, much faster in everything else
10600X
8+2
65W
2026 Sept, Oct or Nov
$299
~15-30% faster than 9700X in everything, especially games (because 50% bigger L3)
January 2027 (after CES announcement):
10800X3D
12+2+VCache
105-120W
$599
Spring 2027:
10950X
24 (2x12) + 2
170W
$749-799
10900X
16 or 20 + 2
120W
$649
10950X3D
24 + 2 + VCache (maybe under both CCDs?)
120W
$999