Discussion Official 2025 Stock Market Thread 💰

FelixDeCat · May 27, 2025

I did pretty good today myself. Been watching NVTS starting last week. Bought shares at 5.39 on Thursday after a crazy open up 300% (I should have known better to wait for a pull back). They pulled back hard to $4 and change. This morning I saw them go back up over $5.00. Sensing they might want to break out to a 52 week high and test the next Fibonacci level of 8.00, I bought 25 $5 call options for $1.05.

Sure enough NVTS started charging higher as big money inflows starting buying up prior to Nvidia earnings tomorrow. It went over $7.50 today! I sold the $5.00 call options for around $2.32 (they hit nearly $3.00). My total profit was $3,225.00 (108%), the amount gambled was $2624. Not bad for a 90 minute bet.

NVTS is working with Nvidia to develop energy delivery mechanisms to reduce copper usage and maximize power flow to rack server systems.

Today’s existing data center architecture uses traditional 54 V in-rack power distribution and is limited to a few hundred kilowatts (kW). Bulky copper busbars are required to transfer this low-voltage electricity from the rack-mounted power shelves to the compute trays. As power increases above 200 kW, this architecture runs into physical limits due to power density, copper requirements, and reduced system efficiency.

Modern AI data centers require gigawatts (GW) of power for the increasing demand for AI computation. Nvidia’s approach is to directly convert the 13.8 kV AC grid power to 800 V HVDC at the data center perimeter using solid state transformers (SST) and industrial-grade rectifiers, eliminating several AC/DC and DC/DC conversion steps, maximizing efficiency and reliability.

Due to the higher voltage level of 800 V HVDC, the thickness of copper wires can be reduced by up to 45%, due to I2R losses, where the same amount of power can be delivered with increased voltage and lower current. Using a traditional 54V DC system, over 200 kg of copper would be needed to power a 1MW rack, which is not sustainable for next-generation AI data centers with GW power demand.

The 800V HVDC directly powers the IT racks (eliminating the need for additional AC-DC converters) and is converted by DC-DC converters to lower voltages, which will drive GPUs, such as the Rubin Ultra.

Navitas is an established leader in AI data center solutions enabled by GaN and SiC technology.

Click to expand...

Current market cap is $1.2 Billion. Sales are no where near justifying the current market cap, however I wonder if momentum could carry the stock higher. Mabye $2 billion? / $10 to $13 one day? Who knows. I took profits right away as I dont make 100% all the time.

MrSquished · May 27, 2025

The stock market is mostly a vibes based casino, with some fundamentals in the mix. The last few months have proved that 100%.

dullard · May 28, 2025

US Constitution, Article 1, Section 7: "The Congress shall have Power To lay and collect Taxes, Duties, Imposts and Excises...To regulate Commerce with foreign Nations"

Somehow, some set of reckless leftist woke judges thinks that text means the president can't do whatever he wants with tariffs with all countries at any duty rate. Stock futures skyrocket after hours.

JTsyo · May 28, 2025

Yea, tomorrow is going to be popping day. Question is, is it because of tariffs being removed or nVidia's earnings. /s

FelixDeCat · May 29, 2025

dullard said:
US Constitution, Article 1, Section 7: "The Congress shall have Power To lay and collect Taxes, Duties, Imposts and Excises...To regulate Commerce with foreign Nations"

Somehow, some set of reckless leftist woke judges thinks that text means the president can't do whatever he wants with tariffs with all countries at any duty rate. Stock futures skyrocket after hours.

JTsyo said:
Yea, tomorrow is going to be popping day. Question is, is it because of tariffs being removed or nVidia's earnings. /s

Chicken tacos for lunch?

FelixDeCat · May 29, 2025

Indus · Jun 4, 2025

Indus said:
I got my money back and a little bit from Broadcom..

That was quite a trip for $4700.. it became $3100.. but when it became $4715.00 I cashed out..

I'm still down 10% in GOOGL/ AMZN but atleast now I'm feeling a lot better.. I am planning to go ETF's when I see an opportunity.

Learned a lot over the last 5 months.. FOMO hurts more than it helps!

Now I feel stupid for selling it.. I made $15.

But if I had held on for another week.. I would have made $600.

Dunno why I always thought I bought it too expensive especially as it went down to $140 a share, and my purchase price was $234 something. Now it's trading at $265 something.

Oh well another lesson learned.. I have patience but need more!

FelixDeCat · Jun 4, 2025

Short term long trade today APLD, NVTS

dasherHampton · Jun 4, 2025

Thanks for the tip on NVTS Felix.

I bought 1000 shares, turned around and sold calls at 7 for next month. Got 1200. Couldn't believe it on such a cheap stock.

I cant say NVTS without cracking up.

FelixDeCat · Jun 4, 2025

dasherHampton said:
Thanks for the tip on NVTS Felix.

I bought 1000 shares, turned around and sold calls at 7 for next month. Got 1200. Couldn't believe it on such a cheap stock.

I cant say NVTS without cracking up.

If you shorted the 7.18.25 call, those are ones Im long at .95. It was just for a trade.

Good luck.

dasherHampton · Jun 4, 2025

I hit sell at a very fortuitous moment because iirc the calls lined up at like $1050 and sold for like $1180.

FelixDeCat · Jun 4, 2025

Looks like I might be lucky to break even with NVTS and just get out. I was hoping to break the 7.50 high and reach the 8.00 fib. It still might do it, but the stock looks weak.

On the other hand, APLD is profiting handsomely. Ive read people reason its a cheap stock selling for 5x revs on the recently announced Coreweave $500m per year data center lease contract. (APLD has a $2.5 billion market cap)

After the market close, it was revealed besides signing the long term lease with APLD, Coreweave also took an equity stake in Applied Digital. The stock hit nearly $15 after hours on the news.

I bought APLD this morning when I noticed it rose from 10 to 12, hoping for the 13 fib ...which it reached with strong momentum. I was hoping for the $18 fib in a month, and with the Coreweave news it might do it, or hug $13. Who knows.

But for now I may consider selling my call contracts prematurely because heaven forbid I make too much money.

dasherHampton · Jun 5, 2025

So what deal did you do exactly? People are paying big money for calls next month on NVTS so there is positive thought there. I'm just curious.

I'm protected down to 5.60 a share.

FelixDeCat · Jun 5, 2025

Bought call options in both.

Edit...Sold both, but bought back 1 APLD call as 18 seems hopefull.

FelixDeCat · Jun 5, 2025

Elons lovers spat might crash market. Just bought a 220 Tsls put.

biostud · Jun 5, 2025

FelixDeCat said:
Elons lovers spat might crash market. Just bought a 220 Tsls put.

It is times like this I'm really glad I only invest in index funds and ETFs.

biostud · Jun 5, 2025

ECB lowers its interest rates to 2%

The ECB cut its main deposit rate from 2.25% to 2% after inflation across the eurozone fell to 1.9% last month, below the central bank’s 2% target, for the first time since last September.

ECB cuts interest rates to 2% in effort to bolster flagging eurozone growth

European Central Bank makes eighth quarter-point cut in a year as bloc reels from impact of Trump’s trade wars

www.theguardian.com

jpiniero · Jun 5, 2025

biostud said:
It is times like this I'm really glad I only invest in index funds and ETFs.

Tesla (was?) the fourth or fifth biggest stock in most US stock ETFs.

biostud · Jun 5, 2025

jpiniero said:
Tesla (was?) the fourth or fifth biggest stock in most US stock ETFs.

Yeah, well I'm situated in Denmark so I'm a bit more diverse, so in total probably ~1.5% of my portfolio.

linkgoron · Jun 5, 2025

jpiniero said:
Tesla (was?) the fourth or fifth biggest stock in most US stock ETFs.

Just under 2% of SPY and 3.2% of QQQ.

dullard · Jun 5, 2025

linkgoron said:
Just under 2% of SPY and 3.2% of QQQ.

Exactly. While Telsa is in those indicies, and there is a bit of a correlation, even large moves in Tesla have a negligible impact on the indices.

dullard · Jun 5, 2025

Much more interesting to me is how Trump Media's stock correlates quite well with Tesla stock. If you own one, it is like owning the other.

As Stephen Colbert said yesterday, the thinkable happened. Two narcissistic megalomaniacs with the total inability to see the value in other human beings are having a hard time being friends. I'm just sitting back in my lawn chair with popcorn in hand.

FelixDeCat · Jun 6, 2025

Apld on fire 🔥

Red Squirrel · Jun 6, 2025

Fun.

Canada’s unemployment rate in May at almost 9-year high outside pandemic years

Canada’s unemployment rate in May jumped to its highest level in almost nine years, excluding the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic, with 1.6 million jobless people in the country, data showed on Friday.

www.bnnbloomberg.ca

biostud · Jun 7, 2025

This is just dandy...

Wall Street fears foreign tax in budget bill may reduce allure of US assets

Bill could impose 20% tax burden on foreign investors' passive income
Demand for US Treasuries, dollar may weaken
Some analysts raise more bearish US market outlook

https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/wall-street-fears-foreign-tax-budget-bill-may-reduce-allure-us-assets-2025-05-29/

Discussion ***Official*** 2025 Stock Market Thread 💰

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Wall Street fears foreign tax in budget bill may reduce allure of US assets​

Discussion Official 2025 Stock Market Thread 💰

Wall Street fears foreign tax in budget bill may reduce allure of US assets