2014 Gasoline Price Forecast

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dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
More from the 110% bullshit department.

It's obvious the Oil Thugs paid this author Lisa Smith

Bolded the 110% bullshit

Remember, the Oil Thugs have closed Refineries because they were refining too much.

Also the author suggest Americans switch to Motorcycles and Scooters.

I tried that and got hit with Motorcycle Road Use Tax which negated the entire gas savings for the year.

http://www.investopedia.com/articles/pf/05/gascrisisplan.asp?rp=y&partner=YahooSA

Getting A Grip On The Cost Of Gas

By Lisa Smith

For the past several years, motorists around the world have felt the squeeze from rising oil prices. While consumers in the United States have expressed displeasure with gasoline prices, the cost for fuel in Germany, Turkey, Denmark, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom is even higher, largely due to heavy governmental taxation designed to discourage consumption.

Increased global demand, shrinking supplies, limited refining capacity, the lack of investment in new refineries and regional instability in the Middle East have lead to significant pain at the pump - and it could get worse.

Rising gas prices put a spotlight on the cost of crude oil, which jumped from less than $2 a gallon to more than $3.50 in the last 10 years. It has been hovering around this price, and a look in the rear-view mirror shows that oil prices will likely continue to increase.
Many economists expect oil to remain pricey due to the following:

  • Limited pumping capacity
  • Limited supply of quality oil
  • Increased worldwide demand
  • Limited refining capacity

According to reports by Thomson Financial, most OPEC members are pumping at near-full capacity.

With the burgeoning economies in China and other emerging markets creating a sustained increase in the demand for oil, lower gas prices do not seem to be on the horizon.

The biggest players in the gasoline industry are booking record profits quarter after quarter.

When the staggering profits generated by oil companies are viewed in light of the percentage of the price of gas that is accounted for by the price of oil, it is clear that these firms have plenty of room to reduce the cost of gas and still make a profit.

If a hybrid isn't in your budget, perhaps you can take a cue from Europe. The cities over there are packed with tiny cars, scooters and motorcycles.
 

Londo_Jowo

Lifer
Jan 31, 2010
17,303
158
106
londojowo.hypermart.net
Gas is holding steady at $2.65/gal here. Looks like there are still many stations in Indy that are below $3.00/gal. Even Chicago has stations that are at or below $3.00/gal.

I don't see any chance of see $5.00/gal gas this year as winter blend prices are always lower than summer blend prices. Looks like Nostradumass was wrong yet again.
 

MagickMan

Diamond Member
Aug 11, 2008
7,460
3
76
Gas is holding steady at $2.65/gal here. Looks like there are still many stations in Indy that are below $3.00/gal. Even Chicago has stations that are at or below $3.00/gal.

I don't see any chance of see $5.00/gal gas this year as winter blend prices are always lower than summer blend prices. Looks like Nostradumass was wrong yet again.

100% real (no ethanol, non winter blend) gas is only $2.99 at my local co-op ($3.35 for 93 oct), that's a hell of a value.
 

cabri

Diamond Member
Nov 3, 2012
3,616
1
81
Doubt it. Chicago burbs are $3+, saw $3.16 on my way home yesterday. Not $5, but I haven't seen gas under $3 here in years.

A week and a half ago,gas in the northern burbs had gone down to 2.95 in many places.

Then on a week ago Friday afternoon it went up by $0.25. Now starting to slip back between $3.15 and $3.20 this past weekend
 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
OMFGBBQ I just have to laugh at this guy.

Gasoline is the biggest export and money maker for the United States Oil Thugs and he thinks they will stop using gasoline.

10-27-2014

http://www.cnbc.com/id/102125295?__...line|headline|story&par=yahoo&doc=102125295#.

Crude to 'go the way of whale oil': Dennis Gartman



Crude oil is going the way of the fossils that comprise it, commodities trader Dennis Gartman said Monday.



On CNBC's "Fast Money," the editor and publisher of the widely followed Gartman Letter cited a statement from Lockheed Martin that it was working on a compact fusion reactor that could be ready within 10 years.



"Fusion is going to be the great nuclear power of the next 150 years. And finally, we are driving less and less.



We are using so much less gasoline than we ever have, in global terms, in national terms, in per capital terms," he said. "All of those things, I think, are going to be weighing heavily on crude oil. And where could it go? A lot lower, a lot lower."
 

fleshconsumed

Diamond Member
Feb 21, 2002
6,486
2,363
136
http://www.chicagogasprices.com/

Chicago gas prices disagrees with you

Your link shows a grand total of 7 stations with under $3 per gallon gas. Of those seven five (sams and costco) require membership to get those prices. So in reality there are only 2 gas stations with under $3 prices. Now, no offence, but finding two gas stations under $3 and using it as evidence of low gas prices is just as bad as Dave's drive for five.

To be fair, the gas dropped 10 cents yesterday, so now the same station is $3.06, so maybe we'll get under $3 gas sometime in the next few weeks/months.
 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
Originally Posted by Londo_Jowo
http://www.chicagogasprices.com/

Chicago gas prices disagrees with you


Your link shows a grand total of 7 stations with under $3 per gallon gas. Of those seven five (sams and costco) require membership to get those prices. So in reality there are only 2 gas stations with under $3 prices. Now, no offence, but finding two gas stations under $3 and using it as evidence of low gas prices is just as bad as Dave's drive for five.

To be fair, the gas dropped 10 cents yesterday, so now the same station is $3.06, so maybe we'll get under $3 gas sometime in the next few weeks/months.

Thank you :thumbsup:
 

cabri

Diamond Member
Nov 3, 2012
3,616
1
81
Your link shows a grand total of 7 stations with under $3 per gallon gas. Of those seven five (sams and costco) require membership to get those prices. So in reality there are only 2 gas stations with under $3 prices. Now, no offence, but finding two gas stations under $3 and using it as evidence of low gas prices is just as bad as Dave's drive for five.

To be fair, the gas dropped 10 cents yesterday, so now the same station is $3.06, so maybe we'll get under $3 gas sometime in the next few weeks/months.

In the northern burbs (within 10 miles of my location),there are 2 stations below $3 and over 20 below $3.10 via GasBuddy.

I do not know how many of them have the low fuel tied to a car wash though.
 

Zaap

Diamond Member
Jun 12, 2008
7,162
424
126
A.friend of mine spends an incredible amount of time tracking prices/figures/commodities- you know, the computer setup with 4 monitors stuffed with charts and graphs.

He applies the knowledge he gleams from it to make a tremendous living; beautiful house on the beach in Newport Beach, family well provided for, nice cars parked out front.

The OP blows an incredible amount of time tracking prices. You know, sitting on his fat ass staring at a screen in a dark trash filled hovel, bike with no tires rusting outside.

He learns nothing from it, earns nothing from it, creates shit threads. Blows even more.time whining about people like my friend.having things he doesn't.

Contrasts.
 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
If anyone seriously believes this would lower gas prices on the East Coast I have a bridge for sale for you:

10-28-2014

http://www.businessweek.com/news/2014-10-28/u-dot-s-dot-shale-boom-revives-st-dot-croix-oil-refinery

U.S. Shale Boom Revives St. Croix Oil Refinery



The St. Croix refinery in the U.S. Virgin Islands, the world’s largest before being closed, is poised to see new life thanks to the U.S. shale boom.



Atlantic Basin Refining Inc. agreed to buy Hovensa LLC, the company said in a statement. Hovensa’s refinery, which was converted into an oil storage terminal in February 2012, will process about 300,000 barrels of light oil a day when it reopens.

It will take as long as two years to start the refinery, the Virgin Islands government said in a statement late yesterday.

Hovensa’s return will add an oil buyer to a market where crude prices have fallen 25 percent in the past four months because of growing supply and weaker global demand. It may also bring more gasoline to the U.S. East Coast, helping to reduce fuel prices for American drivers.

Hess Corp. built the refinery in 1966 and formed a joint venture with Petroleos de Venezuela SA in 1998 to create Hovensa. Hess expanded the plant to 650,000 barrels a day in 1974, making it the largest in the world. Operators reduced capacity in the years before shuttering it as the economic slowdown that began in 2007 reduced global fuel demand.

In 2011, Hovensa imported 283,000 barrels a day, EIA data show. About 88,000 of that was light, sweet crude from West Africa, some of the priciest barrels on the planet.

The U.S. Virgin Islands aren’t subject to U.S. crude export restrictions and deliveries can be made on foreign-flagged tankers, so the refinery can now purchase U.S. crude and ship it for a little more than $1 a barrel from the Gulf Coast
 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
Some Texas NPR reporters try and find out why the Oil Thugs are still importing so much oil into the U.S.

The excuses are as usual 110% bullshit

10-28-2014

https://stateimpact.npr.org/texas/2014/10/28/why-is-the-u-s-still-importing-so-much-oil/

Why Is the U.S. Still Importing So Much Oil?



Texas is leading the way in a massive boom in U.S. oil production: oil exports are higher than they’ve been since the 1950s, when the Suez Canal crisis caused a brief jump in shipments. Imports have dropped significantly, but even with that decline, Americans still import about a fourth of the oil they use. We called Tad Patzek, Chair of Petroleum and Geosystems Engineering Department at at the University of Texas in Austin, to ask why.


Q: So why do we still import so much oil?


A: We have built a very large refining capacity especially on the Gulf Coast, and refineries cannot run at half time. They have to run full-time, at 100% capacity. So, we are importing oil, we are exporting oil, and we certainly are exporting finished products. You know, gasoline, lubricants and so on, so that the refineries are running all the time.


Q: But the situation conjures up this image of two tankers ships passing each other. One is heading toward the U.S., and one is heading away. It’s like we’re bringing in the same product as we’re sending out.


Many of our refinieries have been specialized to process much heavier crudes from Venezuela, from Mexico, so you can’t change them overnight. That’s why we’re importing oil and we’re exporting gasoline, lubricants, and other products and at the same time, we’re exporting condensate and light crude.
 

TheSlamma

Diamond Member
Sep 6, 2005
7,625
5
81
I'm tired of gas dropping here... pretty soon everyone will trade in their Civics for more SUVs
 
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