Another Hurricane (Michael)

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highland145

Lifer
Oct 12, 2009
43,431
5,852
136
I always head to weather.com to chuckle at their ridiculous headlines at times like these.
Ha, maybe we can get the news guy faking the wind speed.

Ventusky posted here during the last hurricane.

We're supposed to get 40MPH winds tomorrow, S.C. Nasty storm. Sis may very well not have anything to go back to.
 

allisolm

Elite Member
Administrator
Jan 2, 2001
24,998
4,347
136
Is Tallahassee far enough inland to be safe?

We're about 30 miles from the coast. Elevation at my house is 123 ft above sea level and no rivers near so hopefully surge or river flooding shouldn't be a problem. Rainfall, depending on which weatherman you listen to, should be less than 6". The ground isn't already soaked and maybe that won't do too much damage either. I'm worried about wind vs trees. I have huge live oaks, one pine, a tulip tree, a maple and others that could hit the house depending on which way the wind sends them. We have an internal hallway on the bottom level of the house (it's a tri-level) where we plan to hunker down. I'm sure we will lose electricity and I have been making ice to stuff the freezers with since Sunday.

Our son called yesterday announcing himself as Jim Cantore saying he was in Tallahassee which meant we could kiss our a**** goodbye, and saying we needed to make sure our son had a copy of our will leaving all our stuff to the son.
 
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highland145

Lifer
Oct 12, 2009
43,431
5,852
136
Our son called yesterday announcing himself as Jim Cantore saying he was in Tallahassee which meant we could kiss our a**** goodbye, and saying we needed to make sure our son had a copy of our will leaving all our stuff to him.
Excellent upbringing.
 
Reactions: pcgeek11

highland145

Lifer
Oct 12, 2009
43,431
5,852
136
Mom/Sis are in Gulfport...+1 Sis says she doesn't expect to have a house or business after the storm...-1
 

BUTCH1

Lifer
Jul 15, 2000
20,433
1,769
126
We're about 30 miles from the coast. Elevation at my house is 123 ft above sea level and no rivers near so hopefully surge or river flooding shouldn't be a problem. Rainfall, depending on which weatherman you listen to, should be less than 6". The ground isn't already soaked and maybe that won't do too much damage either. I'm worried about wind vs trees. I have huge live oaks, one pine, a tulip tree, a maple and others that could hit the house depending on which way the wind sends them. We have an internal hallway on the bottom level of the house (it's a tri-level) where we plan to hunker down. I'm sure we will lose electricity and I have been making ice to stuff the freezers with since Sunday.

Our son called yesterday announcing himself as Jim Cantore saying he was in Tallahassee which meant we could kiss our a**** goodbye, and saying we needed to make sure our son had a copy of our will leaving all our stuff to the son.

Well the minor amount of rainfall might help, during Irma last year we got heavy rain for 10 hours, then the wind switched direction as it came up through the middle of the state, this is when '75 pine tree called it quits and dropped on the house. I have several others around too, what I learned is pine trees in FL do not have to go down far for water so they invest their energy into trying to outgrow the other pine trees, this makes them suspect to toppling in heavy winds. Stay safe and best of luck.
 

Paratus

Lifer
Jun 4, 2004
16,768
13,632
146
Holy crap, i never imagined it would strengthen so quickly and hit a category 4

Is Tallahassee far enough inland to be safe? it seems like you wouldn't get the direct storm surge (which is the worst part), but that's not a lot of distance for the winds to dissipate.

Stay safe, Allisolm.

Right? It really blew up. The NHC only started issuing advisories on the system 84 hours (3.5 days) ago. Michael has already shot well past the initial intensity forecast (it wasn't originally expected to even make hurricane status). Apparently that warm Gulf water has everything a growing tropical system could want.

(Meanwhile they've been tracking Leslie for two weeks, and she may go for another week yet!)

See that nice red blob near the Florida panhandle? That’s a lot of nice warm water to fuel Michael.

 

DrunkenSano

Diamond Member
Aug 8, 2008
3,892
490
126
Can't believe it's a Cat 4, I thought at one point they weren't even sure if it was going to become a Cat 3.
 

zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
110,702
29,402
146
wow, it technically made landfall @ Cat 5.

OK it looks like 2mph short of Cat 5. come on, science--let's just call it 157mph, OK???
 
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vi edit

Elite Member
Super Moderator
Oct 28, 1999
62,396
8,175
126
Man that's a scary freaking storm. I know it's going to impact people, but thankfully it didn't square up on highly populated area. This thing makes Florence look like a walk in the park wind wise.
 

ponyo

Lifer
Feb 14, 2002
19,689
2,811
126
I was planning to spend Christmas break down at the beach house in Cape San Blas. I guess that plan is now canceled. Forgotten Coast area isn't highly populated but it's been slowly growing in recent years. Now everything is going to be destroyed. My fear is they will rebuild the area bigger and commercialize the area. I love the peace and quiet of Mexico Beach, Port St Joe, Indian Pass, and Apalachicola. That's where I go to get away. I don't want it turn into place like Panama City or Destin.
 

ViRGE

Elite Member, Moderator Emeritus
Oct 9, 1999
31,516
167
106
Things you never actually want to see in person: a category 4 hurricane from inside the eyewall.



Michael had a 919mb central pressure when it made landfall. That makes it the third-lowest landing in the history of the US, behind only the Labor Day hurricane and Camille. (Which means it's been nearly 50 years since we've seen a storm this deep)

We're about 30 miles from the coast. Elevation at my house is 123 ft above sea level and no rivers near so hopefully surge or river flooding shouldn't be a problem. Rainfall, depending on which weatherman you listen to, should be less than 6". The ground isn't already soaked and maybe that won't do too much damage either. I'm worried about wind vs trees. I have huge live oaks, one pine, a tulip tree, a maple and others that could hit the house depending on which way the wind sends them. We have an internal hallway on the bottom level of the house (it's a tri-level) where we plan to hunker down. I'm sure we will lose electricity and I have been making ice to stuff the freezers with since Sunday.

Our son called yesterday announcing himself as Jim Cantore saying he was in Tallahassee which meant we could kiss our a**** goodbye, and saying we needed to make sure our son had a copy of our will leaving all our stuff to the son.
I hope you're still safe. This was not a good storm to stay home for.
 
Reactions: Exterous

13Gigatons

Diamond Member
Apr 19, 2005
7,461
500
126
This storm is surprisingly strong. I assumed it would be just a Tropical storm when it made landfall. It's going to do some damage.
 

ViRGE

Elite Member, Moderator Emeritus
Oct 9, 1999
31,516
167
106
Michael is now officially the strongest storm to make landfall since Andrew in 1992. (Katrina, for all she did, was technically only a cat 3 at landfall)

What does that mean?
Deep is another way of describing central pressure. The lower the pressure, the deeper a hurricane.
 

BUTCH1

Lifer
Jul 15, 2000
20,433
1,769
126
Things you never actually want to see in person: a category 4 hurricane from inside the eyewall.



Michael had a 919mb central pressure when it made landfall. That makes it the third-lowest landing in the history of the US, behind only the Labor Day hurricane and Camille. (Which means it's been nearly 50 years since we've seen a storm this deep)

I hope you're still safe. This was not a good storm to stay home for.
Wow, who posted that pic?, anyway, the original forecast back on Sunday predicted a shear coming out of the west that would somewhat inhibit growth. This shear never materialized, and with favorable relative humidity and the very warm Gulf water this time of year nothing stood in this monster's way. Shoot, imagine if it made landfall 24 hours later, it might have smashed every record imaginable.
 

NoTine42

Golden Member
Sep 30, 2013
1,387
78
91
Wow, who posted that pic?, anyway, the original forecast back on Sunday predicted a shear coming out of the west that would somewhat inhibit growth. This shear never materialized, and with favorable relative humidity and the very warm Gulf water this time of year nothing stood in this monster's way. Shoot, imagine if it made landfall 24 hours later, it might have smashed every record imaginable.
I saw Reed Timmer retweeted it from @basehunters on Twitter
“please credit Basehunters Chasing & Colt Forney & Scott Peake”
They said they will also post video when they have enough internet.
 

BUTCH1

Lifer
Jul 15, 2000
20,433
1,769
126
I saw Reed Timmer retweeted it from @basehunters on Twitter
“please credit Basehunters Chasing & Colt Forney & Scott Peake”
They said they will also post video when they have enough internet.
Oh, OK, this is an amazing (in a bad way) storm, the 1st ever cat 3 to hit central GA, this beast is resisting winding down.
 

ViRGE

Elite Member, Moderator Emeritus
Oct 9, 1999
31,516
167
106
I saw Reed Timmer retweeted it from @basehunters on Twitter
“please credit Basehunters Chasing & Colt Forney & Scott Peake”
They said they will also post video when they have enough internet.
https://twitter.com/Basehunters/status/1050088615550877698

Shoot, imagine if it made landfall 24 hours later, it might have smashed every record imaginable.
I don't know if it would have broken every record. But the fact that it was moving as fast at it did was probably a benefit. It certainly limited how much time the storm had to strengthen, which also keeps the size of the hurricane wind field relatively compact since it didn't get to undergo a bunch of eyewall replacement cycles. This and the fact that it didn't come ashore in a heavily populated area are both important lucky breaks.
 
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