Are you watching Greece implode?

Page 18 - Seeking answers? Join the AnandTech community: where nearly half-a-million members share solutions and discuss the latest tech.

Zebo

Elite Member
Jul 29, 2001
39,398
19
81
I watched thier world cup team explode. Are they still blaming Germany for 60 years ago and Turks for 200 years ago and asking for handouts? Time to get spartan Spartans.
 
Jul 10, 2007
12,041
3
0

seriously, the greeks were living in a twisted dream and waking up to a very different reality.

"They want to put us in a straitjacket so we work for free all our lives so that some can have their wealth and get very rich at our expense," said Sotiris Poulikogiannis, a protester in Piraeus. "We don't accept this. Day by day we'll grow stronger and more aware of how to overturn this situation."
 

StageLeft

No Lifer
Sep 29, 2000
70,150
5
0
This is madness!

Day by day we'll grow stronger and more aware of how to overturn this situation."
God bless 'em, they sound like they are on the verge of discovering alchemy's greatest goal, for if not he's talking out of his ass. The Greeks are like rats in a cage that cannot be chewed through but the rat tries nonetheless. They have no out here, not until they truly appreciate the position they're in. So far they have not.
 

nick1985

Lifer
Dec 29, 2002
27,153
6
81
Spending is not what is hurting the US right now.

Not spending is.

I guess we can agree to disagree.

We spent ~20 billion last month on interest for our debt, and that number will get larger and larger every month. Assuming it stays at 20 billion a month (its growing), thats 240 billion dollars a year in interest. Saying that is not whats hurting us is just silly.
 

StageLeft

No Lifer
Sep 29, 2000
70,150
5
0
Spending is not what is hurting the US right now.

Not spending is.
The problem is simply a multi-decade campaign of spending more than is brought in. So you can blame it on excess spending or on inadequate income; but the balance has been untenable for many years.

Even now with the US spending like a drunken sailor in a whore house there is no tangible plan of sufficient aggression to deal with the spiraling debt issue. No talk of slashing spending or of jacking taxes, just more of the same spend and borrow.

I suspect that those who are likely to feel this pain most intensely will be pensioners first and other retirees as things are tailored back. But this is exactly what they deserve; it is the bed they have willingly made in their voting careers. They will do what they can to pass the burden onto people like me who are working but there's only so far we can carry them.
 

yllus

Elite Member & Lifer
Aug 20, 2000
20,577
432
126
I don't know if anyone is interested in this topic aside from the doomsday sort of thing it implies for the world, but the IMF is due to release a report on whether Greece is doing the right thing by them on the 30th. They have an initial statement out already that's pretty positive about the country's progress.

Statement by the EC, ECB, and IMF on the First Review Mission to Greece

Staff teams from the European Commission (EC), the European Central Bank (ECB), and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) visited Athens during July 26-August 5 for the first quarterly review of the Greek government’s economic program, which is being supported by a EUR 80 billion loan from Euro area countries and a EUR 30 billion Stand-By Arrangement with the Fund. The strategy and key policies remain as described in the May 2010 Letter of Intent and Memorandum of Economic and Financial Policies (see Country Report No. 10/111).

Our overall assessment is that the program has made a strong start. The end-June quantitative performance criteria have all been met, led by a vigorous implementation of the fiscal program, and important reforms are ahead of schedule. However, important challenges and risks remain.
 

PricklyPete

Lifer
Sep 17, 2002
14,582
162
106
I'm glad to hear that they seem to be taking some good steps toward cleaning this up...but for some reason I just get the "too little, too late" feeling about it.

Either way, I really hope this continues to be a wake up call to the American/European public.
 

Darwin333

Lifer
Dec 11, 2006
19,946
2,329
126
I guess we can agree to disagree.

We spent ~20 billion last month on interest for our debt, and that number will get larger and larger every month. Assuming it stays at 20 billion a month (its growing), thats 240 billion dollars a year in interest. Saying that is not whats hurting us is just silly.

Its actually much worse. Our bond rates are at historical lows so our "interest rate" is well below the historical average. In order to reduce our interest payments we moved almost all of our debt to the short end so we basically have to roll over almost ALL of our debt every 4-5 years. When our interest rate rises, and history tells us it will rise significantly from where it is, we will almost instantly see a very large increase in the cost to service our debt.

Its akin to getting an ARM when interest rates are at historical lows. The interest rate really only has one way to move and when it does its gonna hurt, bad...

Unless of course someone wants to argue that we can continue to indefinitely borrow assloads of money AND keep bond rates where they are?
 
Dec 30, 2004
12,553
2
76
Its actually much worse. Our bond rates are at historical lows so our "interest rate" is well below the historical average. In order to reduce our interest payments we moved almost all of our debt to the short end so we basically have to roll over almost ALL of our debt every 4-5 years. When our interest rate rises, and history tells us it will rise significantly from where it is, we will almost instantly see a very large increase in the cost to service our debt.

Its akin to getting an ARM when interest rates are at historical lows. The interest rate really only has one way to move and when it does its gonna hurt, bad...

Unless of course someone wants to argue that we can continue to indefinitely borrow assloads of money AND keep bond rates where they are?

As long as the Fed plans to keep buying UST...
 

yllus

Elite Member & Lifer
Aug 20, 2000
20,577
432
126
In order to reduce our interest payments we moved almost all of our debt to the short end so we basically have to roll over almost ALL of our debt every 4-5 years.

What's your source on this? Bonds across the board are incredibly cheap (for the government). It wouldn't be that much worse to go with a 10 year bond over a 5-year note.
 

EagleKeeper

Discussion Club Moderator<br>Elite Member
Staff member
Oct 30, 2000
42,589
5
0
Wow - depressing article. That nation seems to be in a death spiral. There's a very powerful lesson there for the U.S., but we probably will ignore it.
Public shuts down businesses in protest - what else can be expected. They are cutting off their nose in protest of how ugly their face is.

One works to keep business and grow new business; not destroy existing business. do not be like the US UAW
 

zephyrprime

Diamond Member
Feb 18, 2001
7,512
2
81
This was all bound to happen. All austerity measures will fail all over the world including Greece. These austerity measures will fail just like all austerity measures that were enacted back during the great depression failed.

There has been too much credit created and those who profit from credit creation have accumulated too great a portion of the world economy while not be sufficiently productive enough to justify having such a large portion. The economy is trying to rectify that. However, the economy is much like nature and the way it fixes overpopulation is extremely unpleasant.

There are only 3 ways to fix the economic problems of the world:
1. Allow deflation to occur. Prices will then reset at a much lower level. Unemployment will be super high and many will lose their life savings.
2. Print unhindered money to dilute away existing debt.
3. Default on debt. This has the same effect as printing money but doesn't create quite as much inflation. Also punishes foolish investors but helps foolish borrowers.

(a combination of the 3 ways can also be used)

Those are the ONLY two solutions to fix this problem. Austerity DOES NOT WORK because it reduces economic activity at exactly the time when economic activity needs to increase. Macroeconomics IS NOT LIKE microeconomics. If an individual has too much debt, austerity is an effective response. If a nation has too much debt, austerity measures will shrink the entire economy.
 
Last edited:

StageLeft

No Lifer
Sep 29, 2000
70,150
5
0
zephy doesn't austerity have a deflationary effect ultimately anyway? If it's severe enough. So it really sounds inline with your first option.

In the case of Greece they had little recourse. It was either austerity to get more loans or simply start defaulting on them.
 

zephyrprime

Diamond Member
Feb 18, 2001
7,512
2
81
zephy doesn't austerity have a deflationary effect ultimately anyway? If it's severe enough. So it really sounds inline with your first option.

In the case of Greece they had little recourse. It was either austerity to get more loans or simply start defaulting on them.

Yes, austerity is deflationary. So eventually, austerity forces default. Before that point happens, the bond vigilantes will force something to happen as cds spreads skyrocket on greece debt. And yes, they had no recourse. As the crisis gets more and more dire, we will have fewer and fewer options.
 
sale-70-410-exam    | Exam-200-125-pdf    | we-sale-70-410-exam    | hot-sale-70-410-exam    | Latest-exam-700-603-Dumps    | Dumps-98-363-exams-date    | Certs-200-125-date    | Dumps-300-075-exams-date    | hot-sale-book-C8010-726-book    | Hot-Sale-200-310-Exam    | Exam-Description-200-310-dumps?    | hot-sale-book-200-125-book    | Latest-Updated-300-209-Exam    | Dumps-210-260-exams-date    | Download-200-125-Exam-PDF    | Exam-Description-300-101-dumps    | Certs-300-101-date    | Hot-Sale-300-075-Exam    | Latest-exam-200-125-Dumps    | Exam-Description-200-125-dumps    | Latest-Updated-300-075-Exam    | hot-sale-book-210-260-book    | Dumps-200-901-exams-date    | Certs-200-901-date    | Latest-exam-1Z0-062-Dumps    | Hot-Sale-1Z0-062-Exam    | Certs-CSSLP-date    | 100%-Pass-70-383-Exams    | Latest-JN0-360-real-exam-questions    | 100%-Pass-4A0-100-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-300-135-exams-date    | Passed-200-105-Tech-Exams    | Latest-Updated-200-310-Exam    | Download-300-070-Exam-PDF    | Hot-Sale-JN0-360-Exam    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Exams    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-JN0-360-exams-date    | Exam-Description-1Z0-876-dumps    | Latest-exam-1Z0-876-Dumps    | Dumps-HPE0-Y53-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-HPE0-Y53-Exam    | 100%-Pass-HPE0-Y53-Real-Exam-Questions    | Pass-4A0-100-Exam    | Latest-4A0-100-Questions    | Dumps-98-365-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-98-365-Exam    | 100%-Pass-VCS-254-Exams    | 2017-Latest-VCS-273-Exam    | Dumps-200-355-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-300-320-Exam    | Pass-300-101-Exam    | 100%-Pass-300-115-Exams    |
http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    | http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    |