HD DVD is already winning. The cost of the players are already dropping. BluRay are sticking around $1000 still.
This cost diff will kill Sony's little invention off, like beta max. Cost always wins out in the end. As for PS3, all I can say is... nice try Sony, but not good enough.
I just got the rca HD player that has dropped in price to around $300.
Now I will hook it up to the plasma and see if all the hype is worth it.
Netflix now rents both type DVD formats, so thats a big plus. You dont have to buy, just rent.
Zillions have DVD players, now. It took many a long long time to give up their VCR. But when you can get a DVD player for $50, and your VHS breaks down, you go with DVD.
Funai will make a HD DVD player well under $200 in 2007. And around the same price as a standard DVD player by next Christmas. I dont see BluRay following that trend. And it wont be long after you'll find HD dvd's in the $5 bin at wally world.