Originally posted by: SP33Demon
Some more stats for you:
Let's take SLG% for peak years in comparison to rest of MLB:
In 1970: .202 pts (.587 vs .385) over the MLB avg.
In 1972: .187 pts (.541 vs .354).
In 1974: .138 pts over league avg (.507 vs .369).
In 1977: .139 pts over (.540 vs .401).
Piazza:
In 1997: .219 pts over (.638 vs .419)
In 2000: .177 pts over (.614 vs .437)
In 1999: .141 pts over (.575 vs .434)
In 2001: .146 pts over (.573 vs .427)
Note: I didn't include 1995 b/c Piazza only played 112 games, which is not a full season.
This nullifies your ABSURD Kingman/Bonds comparison, b/c Bonds destroyed Kingman in SLG% pts over MLB avg, whereas it's pretty even between Bench/Piazza.
LOL
You're playing fast and loose with MLB vs. league slugging averages to suit your purpose. You pick the lower baseline values to compare to Bench to enhance his difference, you pick the higher values for Piazza's comparisons. You compare Bench to MLB average in the pre-DH era, because at that time, early in Bench's career, the NL had a much higher SLG than the AL, and consequently higher than MLB average. Which is part of the reason the AL instituted the DH. (BTW, that was a lame move, AL ) In 1973, after the DH was established, you switch over and compare Bench to the NL average, because it's slightly lower than MLB average. Still, in '74 and '77 (and for almost all of Bench's prime), the AL was not hugely better than the NL at SLG.
By the time we get to Piazza, the AL
does have a consistently big advantage over the NL in SLG, and thus the MLB average is naturally higher than the NL. I suspect by the 90's, the AL had the speciality of DH'ing down to a science and got the appropriate players in the position. Or maybe they built a lot more "retro" bandboxes than the NL in the prime of Piazza's career. Whatever the case, the disparity between leagues is sizable throughout Piazza's best years. Yet you compare Piazza against the MLB average anyway -- because it makes him look worse.
How about consistently comparing their SLG to their respective league averages, park adjusted -- a truer peer comparison. 5 best SLG seasons for each from baseball-reference.com:
Bench
1970 +.179 (.587 vs .408 NL, park adjusted)
1972 +.172 (.541 vs .369 NL, p.a.)
1974 +.130 (.507 vs .377 NL, p.a.)
1975 +.132 (.519 vs .387 NL, p.a.)
1977 +.126 (.540 vs .414 NL, p.a.)
Piazza
1993 +.155 (.561 vs .406 NL, p.a.)
1995 +.202 (.606 vs .404 NL, p.a.)
1996 +.156 (.563 vs .407 NL, p.a.)
1997 +.229 (.638 vs .409 NL, p.a.)
2000 +.182 (.614 vs .432 NL, p.a.)
I'm not inclined to throw away the 1995 season. It was strike-shortened but they still managed to play 144 games. Piazza played 112 of those games, enough to qualify for inclusion in top 10 lists of rate statistics that year. But fine, you can throw 1995 out and take 1998, and Piazza still beats Bench. Extend this out for 6 years, 7 years, 8 years, cut it to 3 years, 2 years, Piazza BEATS Bench in SLG no matter how you want to dissect it.
Career SLG difference (player vs. NL, p.a.)
Piazza +.155 (.572 vs. .417)
Bench +.089 (.476 vs. .387)
Bench's 2+1 MVP's (they all came in his peak offensive years so u can't use defense as an excuse), to Piazza's ZERO
I'm looking at this now.
Bench was not definitively the best offensive player in his MVP years. In fact, in 1970 he was certainly *not* the best offensive player in the NL (hint, Willie McCovey). OTOH, Piazza was more clearly the best offensive player in his league in both 1995 and 1997, and has nothing to show for it, in part because of traditional biases toward HR/RBI. I can go into more depth on this later.
-Leading in Triple Crown categories (RBI/HR's) five times to Piazza's ZERO in only the NL, Bench led MLB 4 times
I think this has been beaten to death, ad naseum. Bench played in a better hitter's parks over the duration of his career. That's defined by the yearly
park adjustment, as defined by Total Baseball, which rates parks based on runs and wins and indirectly compares them to every other park in the league in that year.
If you want to simply look at outfield dimensions and ignore what the stats bear out about how a park affects offense, then don't use stats in any of your other arguments. Bench also played in the middle of one of the all-time great offenses and had tremendous RBI opportunities. Piazza played in home parks that for most of his career have rated as unfriendly to hitters relative to the other parks, and he did not play for any team resembling the Big Red Machine.
-Only catcher ever to lead MLB in extra base hits in a season
Good for him. Yet he's still worse than Piazza at SLG compared to his peers. I would list this as yet another random catcher fact.
Here's my random catcher fact: Mike Piazza has hit over 30 HR in 9 of his 11 full seasons. In only 2 seasons has he failed to produce 30+ HR, in '94 due to the strike (and he was on pace to easily get 30+) and in 2003 because of the major groin injury. No excuses for injuries in these comparisons (as that is part of the challenge of being great), but the strike year was completely out of his control.
How many times did Johnny Bench exceed 30 HR in his 17 seasons? 4 times. Different eras, yes. That different?
Head to head:
-Superior postseason SLG% of .527 to .482, comparing 169AB's to 110AB's (100 AB's is enough of a sample size for postseason b/c of superior pitching than reg. season, i.e. each AB holds more value than the regular season).
Postseason sample size is tiny, and the statistical significance you can attach to these numbers is very low compared to mountains of career data. You cannot argue differences in rate statistics convincingly on these puny little samples, Bench's and Piazza's playoff AB's are about 2% of their total lifetime AB's. You're basically reduced to talking about warm & fuzzy memories when you talk about playoff stats. Stuff like individual HR's in specific situations. I don't deny for a second that this contributes to a player's legacy -- but it is ridiculous to consider it statistically when the discussion is about better offensive player, and one man's (Piazza's) career and peak single season offensive stats are obviously superior to the other.
Here, let's look at those little postseason samples anyway:
-------------AB-AVG/HR/RBI--OPS
J. Bench 169 .266/10/20 .862
M. Piazza 110 .255/06/15 .799
Piazza's stats aren't that far off though. Give Piazza another 59 AB (Bench has 154% more AB's), and extrapolate his HR/RBI up by 154% also. They're literally right there with Bench, based on past rates in Piazza's limited postseason history. In Piazza's one World Series, the one with 22 AB and .273 BA, he also hit 2 HR in 5 games. We've seen worse playoff performances by greater players than Piazza or Bench.
It's blatantly obvious that Bench offensively peaked better (when in comparison against the peers of his era), aside from the fact that you already admit that Bench was the greatest catcher of all time.
No, it's obvious that Piazza is better.
Here's the prime of both careers. Piazza's best years are likely going to end up being '95-'00, and Bench's are '70-'75. I'm not cherry-picking years, I'm going with the meat of their careers, their best 6-year stretches. You can extend or reduce the number of seasons in this little comparison if you want, it doesn't matter -- Piazza still looks superior. Both were catching full-time at that point, putting up their best offensive numbers, and hadn't yet broke down and been put out to pasture.
Piazza
YR OPS+ NL Rank
1995 172 1
1996 167 5
1997 186 1
1998 152
1999 137
2000 159 6
Career 153 27th in MLB
Bench
YR OPS+ NL Rank
1970 145 9
1971 105
1972 166 2
1973 119
1974 143 7
1975 140 9
Career 126 >100th in MLB
Piazza's career 153 will likely decrease as he continues to play in his declining years, but not that much. He's already got 11 yrs worth of historically-great production behind him. You could put a generic, average major-league player (100 OPS+) in his place in the lineup for the remainder of Piazza's career and still have a career OPS+ exceeding Bench.