France to form new government

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Greenman

Lifer
Oct 15, 1999
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Ironic that the conservatives have waved the white flag of surrender in a thread about France.

What post was that? All I've taken away from this is that the French want a lot of stuff, and don't have the money to pay for it. How to get said stuff without any money seems to be the discussion.
 
Nov 30, 2006
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Continuation from the CBD thread

Yes that was the conversation you were having there.
The conversation in the current thread was actually something different...tax increase vs. spending cut austerity programs and their relative effectiveness....not tax cut vs. spending increase effectiveness as a means to stimulate the economy.

The bolded statement does not support your assertion at all. The fiscal multiplier for the tax cuts in 1981 was 0.32 which is abysmal if I understand this correctly.

Here it is.
Like I previous said, there were many complex factors affecting our economy at that time and would take the multiplier cited with a grain of salt. I've seen several studies which suggest much higher multipliers. Anyway, you said that the bolded statement does not support my assertion at all. This is what I bolded from the Wikipedia link...

In New Keynesian economics, tax cuts give a greater stimulus to the economy than that of increases in government spending.

...and this is exactly what I've asserted.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
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So long as you add in the caveat of "except in the current circumstances of a liquidity trap".
 

dank69

Lifer
Oct 6, 2009
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Continuation from the CBD thread


The conversation in the current thread was actually something different...tax increase vs. spending cut austerity programs and their relative effectiveness....not tax cut vs. spending increase effectiveness as a means to stimulate the economy.


Like I previous said, there were many complex factors affecting our economy at that time and would take the multiplier cited with a grain of salt.
This is you dismissing data with no real reason other than you just don't believe it. That data came from a Republican adviser.



I've seen several studies which suggest much higher multipliers.
Link?



Anyway, you said that the bolded statement does not support my assertion at all. This is what I bolded from the Wikipedia link...

In New Keynesian economics, tax cuts give a greater stimulus to the economy than that of increases in government spending.

...and this is exactly what I've asserted.
No, you asserted that we had to cut taxes in the 80s because that's what Keynesian theory said to do. I followed that link to the New Keynesian page and don't see anything on that page that supports that statement on the wiki page for tax cuts. In other words, what you have there is a completely unsupported statement. Now I am not saying it is wrong, because I honestly don't know if it is wrong or right, but I am not convinced it is right.
 
Nov 30, 2006
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This is you dismissing data with no real reason other than you just don't believe it. That data came from a Republican adviser.

Link?
Bullshit. I told you that I've read many studies on this subject and .32 looks really low. I didn't dismiss it with no real reason other than not wanting to believe it. There's a thread around here where I cited several studies which suggest much higher multipliers. If I find time, I'll try to find it.

No, you asserted that we had to cut taxes in the 80s because that's what Keynesian theory said to do. I followed that link to the New Keynesian page and don't see anything on that page that supports that statement on the wiki page for tax cuts. In other words, what you have there is a completely unsupported statement. Now I am not saying it is wrong, because I honestly don't know if it is wrong or right, but I am not convinced it is right.
eskimospy...dare to weigh in on this?
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,541
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eskimospy...dare to weigh in on this?

As a general rule a tax cut is more effective than higher spending if economic growth is your goal. Broadly speaking, people know how to spend their money better than the government does in many cases.

This is not necessarily the case in a liquidity trap, however.
 
Nov 30, 2006
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As a general rule a tax cut is more effective than higher spending if economic growth is your goal. Broadly speaking, people know how to spend their money better than the government does in many cases.
Thanks.

This is not necessarily the case in a liquidity trap, however.
Do you think we're in danger of following in Japan's footsteps which started 20 years ago?
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,541
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Do you think we're in danger of following in Japan's footsteps which started 20 years ago?

I do. I'm much less worried about it now than I was maybe a year ago, but I think it is still a danger. We seemed to be teetering on the edge of that path for several years but recently it looks like we are dragging ourselves out of it slowly but surely. Fingers crossed!
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
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As a general rule a tax cut is more effective than higher spending if economic growth is your goal. Broadly speaking, people know how to spend their money better than the government does in many cases.

This is not necessarily the case in a liquidity trap, however.

You mean a targeted tax cut, one aimed at working people. Slashing rates on capital gains doesn't do that at all. Working people in general don't earn capital gains.

It's also like the Bush tax rebate- ours is still in the bank, with more piled on top of it. Giving money to people who won't spend it stimulates the economy not at all.

You wasting your effort, anyway. Righties want deflation to stimulate the economy, the same way that anal rape stimulates the victim.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,541
54,404
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You mean a targeted tax cut, one aimed at working people. Slashing rates on capital gains doesn't do that at all. Working people in general don't earn capital gains.

It's also like the Bush tax rebate- ours is still in the bank, with more piled on top of it. Giving money to people who won't spend it stimulates the economy not at all.

You wasting your effort, anyway. Righties want deflation to stimulate the economy, the same way that anal rape stimulates the victim.

Yes, of course the type of tax cut matters (as does the type of spending). I was just speaking broadly.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,684
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Yes, of course the type of tax cut matters (as does the type of spending). I was just speaking broadly.

In today's economy, tax cuts are pointless. As Mittens pointed out, 47% pay no federal income tax. A fair % of those are already receiving varying levels of assistance. Half the population won't even take part in the stimulative effort, along with those who are habitual savers, anyway.

It's like trying to push on a string.

What will stimulate the economy is greater employment & higher wages, neither of which are forthcoming from Job Creators.
 

Tango

Senior member
May 9, 2002
244
0
0
The depression is right here:



This chart shows that the Eurozone's economic performance since the financial crash has been worse than it was in the 1930's.

Completely different demographics. Take GDP/capita for both periods and you'll see very different pictures for most areas.
 
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