Gemini (FuryX2) looms near

Mondozei

Golden Member
Jul 7, 2013
1,043
41
86
So repi, or Johan Andersson at DICE, tweeted this out recently.

This is significant for two reasons. The first is that repi has a close relationship with AMD. He has publicly bashed Nvidia and recent DICE games, Battlefront comes to mind, has shifted to being pro-AMD after being pro-NV(BF3/4).

Secondly, and more importantly, repi has been leaking info about new GPU launches from AMD before. He did it with Fiji and he did it with Hawaii. His track record is rock solid.

So after being AWOL and even rumored to be MIA, we're almost certainly close to seeing Gemini before the end of the year.

The question now is timing: is it too late? I guess AMD is making a calculated bet that the people willing to pay for this kind of product are more than happy to upgrade within 6-7 months once more simply because they have to have the best at all times, no matter the cost. We'll see.
 

Gikaseixas

Platinum Member
Jul 1, 2004
2,836
218
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Tough sell since we're close to 14/16nm products but you're correct, some do not care, they just want the latest and fastest no matter what
 

Thickdeltoid

Junior Member
Oct 16, 2015
7
0
0
When AMD gets beaten by nVidia, just go for a dual GPU card that only guys with the right mainboard can go along with. OH and don't forget to buy a 1200 W PSU too!

AMD is pathetic at this point. No wonder the GTX 680 GTX to 980 TI went from 500€ to 700€. The last good AMD was the 7970 GHZ edition. The Fury X gets completely destroyed by the 980 TI.
 

Techhog

Platinum Member
Sep 11, 2013
2,834
2
26
When AMD gets beaten by nVidia, just go for a dual GPU card that only guys with the right mainboard can go along with. OH and don't forget to buy a 1200 W PSU too!

AMD is pathetic at this point. No wonder the GTX 680 GTX to 980 TI went from 500€ to 700€. The last good AMD was the 7970 GHZ edition. The Fury X gets completely destroyed by the 980 TI.

Are your other 4 posts as bad as this one?
 

Thickdeltoid

Junior Member
Oct 16, 2015
7
0
0
Are your other 4 posts as bad as this one?

Yes. Let's just put on another [inferior] AMD products so the 1080 TI can cost 800€.

If you think AMD being horrible is good for competition, good for you. Not everybody wants to pay a 700€ GPU for 500€ just because AMD is so bad they're not even competitive. A few Years ago the entusiast-tier GPU was 500€ (GTX 680). but thanks to AMD slacking off we can pay up to an extra 250.€ for that.

Profanity isn't allowed in the technical forums.
-- stahlhart
 
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Techhog

Platinum Member
Sep 11, 2013
2,834
2
26
Yes. Let's just put on another [inferior] AMD products so the 1080 TI can cost 800€.

If you think AMD being horrible is good for competition, good for you. Not everybody wants to pay a 700€ GPU for 500€ just because AMD is so bad they're not even competitive. A few Years ago the entusiast-tier GPU was 500€ (GTX 680). but thanks to AMD slacking off we can pay up to an extra 250.€ for that.

AMD's problem is marketing. The 290X was competitive.
 
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Glo.

Diamond Member
Apr 25, 2015
5,930
4,990
136
Yes. Let's just put on another [inferior] AMD products so the 1080 TI can cost 800€.

If you think AMD being horrible is good for competition, good for you. Not everybody wants to pay a 700€ GPU for 500€ just because AMD is so bad they're not even competitive. A few Years ago the entusiast-tier GPU was 500€ (GTX 680). but thanks to AMD slacking off we can pay up to an extra 250.€ for that.

Its not due to AMD slacking, but due to silicon wafer costs, and shrinking market of Discreet GPUs.

But if you would be interested in anything about market, rather than bashing any specific vendor, you would know that.
 
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Gikaseixas

Platinum Member
Jul 1, 2004
2,836
218
106
Yes. Let's just put on another [inferior] AMD products so the 1080 TI can cost 800€.

And you know this how? Crystal ball?
Thing is, product is not out, it could be a bad product or the best multi gpu monster ever
 
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Atreidin

Senior member
Mar 31, 2011
464
27
86
Dual-GPU cards usually cost more than I am willing to spend but I am interested in how small they can get this thing.
 

Thickdeltoid

Junior Member
Oct 16, 2015
7
0
0
Its not due to AMD slacking, but due to silicon wafer costs, and shrinking market of Discreet GPUs.

But if you would be interested in anything about market, rather than bashing any specific vendor, you would know that.

I like to go from nVidia to AMD and vice versa.

This is the first time in history that AMD has given me a hard choice.

I can guarntee you that the GTX 1070 will blow the R9 490 away. AMD in recent Years has all been about keeping up intead of setting new standards. There's nothing AMD does better that nVidia doesn't do better. More power, less heat, more silent.
 

Glo.

Diamond Member
Apr 25, 2015
5,930
4,990
136
Do you remember what happens for Nvidia when they are going the transition in node or memory type?

I would not put my hopes high for Pascal, when you have both of them at the same time. But that will be only answered with time.
 

railven

Diamond Member
Mar 25, 2010
6,604
561
126
Am I the only one who thinks the image and tweet are probably NOT something you want to be the first leak (pun not intended) of your AIO dual GPU card?

After Fury X had it's own pump issues, something about seeing a leaking dual GPU card as the first "reveal" is not reassuring. [EDIT: What I mean is Repi is definitely under some NDA (otherwise he'd leak everything) so what he does reveal is most likely controlled/approved by AMD. This is just an example of AMD's botched marketing "Guys got my new secret card, but it's leaking!" -Post approved by AMD!.]

As to question asked, definitely never too late for a Halo product. Again, these products are never intended for anyone but the "I got to have the best" and those people exist on both sides of the fence. They will sell enough of them to be satisfied. It isn't going to affect Nvidia one bit and I doubt it will steal any sales from Nvidia (as these "must have the best" people are often loyal to their respective brands.)
 

AtenRa

Lifer
Feb 2, 2009
14,003
3,362
136
How much faster are CF two Fury Nano at $1500 against Titan-X ???

That is what you will get.
 

bystander36

Diamond Member
Apr 1, 2013
5,154
132
106
The cool thing about the product is that it should be good with cooling and size constraints, the bad is the 4Gb, unless they can up that. It might not be an issue with a single card at 4K, but with 2, it may be an issue, since you can raise your settings higher.
 

3DVagabond

Lifer
Aug 10, 2009
11,951
204
106
Yes. Let's just put on another shitty AMD products so the 1080 TI can cost 800€.

If you think AMD beeing horrible is good for competition, good for you. Not everybody wants to pay a 700€ GPU for 500€ just because AMD is so bad they're not even competitive. A few Years ago the entusiast-tier GPU was 500€ (GTX 680). but thanks to AMD slacking off we can pay up to an extra 250.€ for that.

It's not AMD's job to make your nVidia GPU's cost you less. I hope it $2K.
 

maddie

Diamond Member
Jul 18, 2010
5,086
5,413
136
Tough sell since we're close to 14/16nm products but you're correct, some do not care, they just want the latest and fastest no matter what
Maybe 14/16nm consumer GPU products are not as close as some may think and hope.
 

RussianSensation

Elite Member
Sep 5, 2003
19,458
765
126
The question now is timing: is it too late?

Imo, unless it's priced at $999, it is too late:

1) 980Ti SLI/Fury X CF have been available for sale for 6-7 months now. Most gamers who wanted top-of-the-line 28nm GPUs already purchased them by now. The remaining few who are looking to drop $1-1.5K on 28nm GPUs is going to be a lot less than 6 months ago.

2) We are almost in December so AMD missed the strategic holiday run-up as many gamers who were holding off finally upgraded due to AC Syndicate, SW:BF, Fallout 4, MGS V, etc. AMD missed the biggest wave of upgraders because they simply didn't get he product out during the 1st half of 2015 when we had Dying Light, GTA V and the Witcher 3 and they missed the holiday run-up -- missing September, October and November is a huge deal. They will probably miss the release date of Just Cause 3 and Rainbow 6 Siege too.

Generally speaking, dual-chip cards from both NV and AMD don't sell well. Even when $600-650 R9 295X2 was wiping the floor with the $550 980 for barely more $, it still didn't sell. Ask yourself this, would a dual Fiji X2 with 4GB HBM stand a chance now when many gamers are already getting hyped up for 16nm FF?

When AMD gets beaten by nVidia, just go for a dual GPU card that only guys with the right mainboard can go along with. OH and don't forget to buy a 1200 W PSU too!

This post is highly misleading.

- You do not need 1200W PSU to run HD6990, HD7990, R9 295X2 or any NV equivalents. This is total system power with a highly overclocked 6-core i7:



- What are the chances that a high-end user who is paying $1K+ on 980Ti SLI, Fury X CF, Fury CF, Fiji X2 cannot afford a $90-120 850-1000W Platinum PSU?

Power supply prices and quality of PSUs have never been better.

EVGA 850W Platinum = $90 (enough to run any dual chip GPU setup out today)
EVGA 1000W Platinum = $110 (enough to run any dual chip GPU setup today
with max overclocked CPU + GPUs)

Your point about PSU requirements is basically irrelevant in the real world for this type of a consumer.

AMD is pathetic at this point.

Are you suggesting that because a graphics manufacturer releases a dual-chip card, they are pathetic? This is the strategy both ATI/AMD and NV have used for generations. Did you suddenly forget about GTX295, GTX590, GTX690, Titan Z? They are simply catering to a niche market segment that requires as much GPU raw horsepower per a single PCIe slot as possible. Both companies even had/have dual-chip Quadro/FirePro series.

No wonder the GTX 680 GTX to 980 TI went from 500€ to 700€.

There are many reasons for this but the most important one has nothing to do with AMD. If tomorrow the price of milk, bread, eggs, coffee, tea, gasoline, increases by 50%, are consumers still going purchase those products? If consumers are willing to pay higher prices, companies will raise prices to maximize profits. Also, your statement is ironic at best because AMD already tried the price/performance strategy with HD4000-7000 series and how did that work out? The market has spoken as a whole and both AMD and NV raised prices as a result. If you want to point the blame towards someone, the consumers are largely responsible: fewer GPU buyers are willing to pay higher prices, while because there are fewer dGPU sales compared to the historical periods, AMD/NV are raising prices to compensate for declining dGPU volume unit sales (including sub-$100 dGPU market collapse).

The last good AMD was the 7970 GHZ edition.

This is false. R9 290 was better than 780 and now that the dust has settled, R9 290X is better than the 780Ti. Not only were the R9 290/290X cards cheaper overall throughout their life, they have better driver support, more VRAM and perform better in modern titles and many legacy titles.

Fury/Fury X is where AMD dropped the ball in terms of competitiveness. R9 290/290X were solid cards.

The Fury X gets completely destroyed by the 980 TI.

Yes, once 980Ti is overclocked. At stock speeds, they are basically identical. 980Ti wins at 1080P, they are tied at 1440P and Fury X wins at 4K.
http://www.techpowerup.com/reviews/MSI/GTX_980_Ti_Lightning/23.html

Also, 980Ti SLI loses to Fury X CF on average, unless 980Ti is overclocked.
http://www.techspot.com/review/1033-gtx-980-ti-sli-r9-fury-x-crossfire/

AMD's problem is marketing. The 290X was competitive.

I agree but I'd add engineering blunder too with the reference blower. 780Ti is looking like one of the worst $700 purchases in recent years. Thankfully with the excellent 970 and 980Ti cards, most NV users have moved one and they don't care about how poorly 780Ti performs now in many games, new and old.

--------------

Sticking to the topic, if AMD wants to make a big splash with the Fury X2, they could target $999-1099. A single Fury X is now about $570. Still too expensive against GTX980Ti though.

AMD Cuts All GPU Prices Including R9 Fury X, Fury And Nano – Down To As Low As $569, $499 And $549 Respectively

I am surprised neither AMD nor NV are offering the option of a bare PCB dual-chip flagship card. With expandable AIOs becoming much more affordable, many gamers would probably rather save $80-100 on the cooling solution and buy their own water blocks instead.

Fury X2 looks significantly smaller than the R9 295X2. They could have fit 3 Fiji chips on there



vs.

 
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tential

Diamond Member
May 13, 2008
7,348
642
121
I'm excited for the release because when arctic islands releases this card will be around $500-600 similar to the R9 295x2. But it'll use a lot less power, and be smaller.

If the Gemini GPU is faster than the $500 gpu from Arctic Islands... well we'll see anyway when the time comes.

It's cool, but way too late of a release to really change the market much. From the current prices/sales of Fury X/Nano, I'm expecting a $1100 regular price, $1200 launch price, and a $1000 price later on and then we'll see how the price drops once the Arctic Islands GPUs release and how the price/performance is.
 

RussianSensation

Elite Member
Sep 5, 2003
19,458
765
126
I'm excited for the release because when arctic islands releases this card will be around $500-600 similar to the R9 295x2. But it'll use a lot less power, and be smaller.

If the Gemini GPU is faster than the $500 gpu from Arctic Islands... well we'll see anyway when the time comes.

Good point. Some people also don't realize that even if Pascal/AI themselves might not set price/performance world on fire at launch, the presence of newer cards makes them more attractive to many gamers (new = better), while older cards are viewed as "old tech" and almost "no one wants them." I remember when $499 GTX580 came out, over the next weeks, after-market GTX480 fell to $299-349 for barely less performance. When $469-489 HD7970Ghz came out, HD7970 925-1Ghz fell to $300-375. A lot of the time what happens is the older cards may drop exponentially, resulting in older tech having superior price/perf.

For AMD though they are trying to maximize profits so launching Fury X2 this late isn't good at all. The 980Ti/Titan X captured the Halo status for most of 2015 and it certainly influenced many GTX750/750Ti/950/960/970 purchases simply because NV was the fastest.
 

RussianSensation

Elite Member
Sep 5, 2003
19,458
765
126
Power limits and all? Highly doubt it. Same max core clock, maybe.

It actually doesn't make that much difference in reality if you CF Fury, Nano or Fury X. This is because the performance difference among those 3 cards isn't that large and CF (and SLI) scaling is not 100%.



Nano + Fury X CF is just 16% faster than R9 295X2. Think about $520 R9 390 CF vs. $1140 Fury X CF. AMD's problem is that Fury/Nano/Fury X do not scale linearly vs. 390/390X. Prices on 390/390X are so much lower, ensuring that Fury X2 would be still be meh value even at $999 against R9 390/X CF. That's why AMD needed this card June-July 2015 while prices of R9 390/390X were still high, while the demand for whatever few Fury cards were available was also higher than today.

The overclocking of 980Ti is a killer feature for NV this generation in this market segment.




Right now it's possible to buy an after-market 980Ti for $560 and that's without taking $15-25 off with various AMEX?Visa deals. Would you buy a Fury X2 for $999 when GTX980TI SLI when the latter has 25% overclocking headroom and 6GB of VRAM as a bonus, but costs just $1120? I wouldn't.
 
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MagickMan

Diamond Member
Aug 11, 2008
7,460
3
76
A 1200W PSU for modern 2x SLI? What? While I do have an AX1500i, that's only because it's so freaking efficient (and as JG said, it's the best built PSU ever). I'm still only pulling 780W from the wall, and that's with a heavily OC'd 5930K (4.6GHz) and 2x 1520MHz 980 TIs during intense gaming. While it can go as high as 880W using OCCT's PSU test, that's not representative of any real world load (though comically, that's the only thing that makes the fan in the PSU turn on).
 

RussianSensation

Elite Member
Sep 5, 2003
19,458
765
126
A 1200W PSU for modern 2x SLI? What? While I do have an AX1500i, that's only because it's so freaking efficient (and as JG said, it's the best built PSU ever). I'm still only pulling 780W from the wall, and that's with a heavily OC'd 5930K (4.6GHz) and 2x 1520MHz 980 TIs during intense gaming. While it can go as high as 880W using OCCT's PSU test, that's not representative of any real world load (though comically, that's the only thing that makes the fan in the PSU turn on).

:thumbsup: Thank you, and that's max overclocked. People over-exaggerate power usage and consequently the PSU requirements so much, it's ridiculous.



It's not correct to estimate power usage by taking maximum CPU TDP + maximum GPU TDP x2. That is not how games scale or how real world power usage works because you aren't going to have 100% CPU load + 100% GPU 1 + 100% GPU 2 load unless you are running some synthetic combination of Intel IBT/Prime95/LinX + FurMark
 
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