GOP ACA Replacement Imminent....Predictions

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woolfe9998

Lifer
Apr 8, 2013
16,237
14,237
136
This is how it was last time, though now with the addition of Rand Paul cheerfully pissing into the GOP's punch bowl.

I'm not ready to lay bets yet. If they thought they had the votes they would have voted.

I might have missed some coverage here, but I seem to recall at least Murkowski and Collins on record as no voters well before it came to a vote last time, but I haven't seen that happen here yet. I hope you're correct and it turns out the same way it did last time.
 

FIVR

Diamond Member
Jun 1, 2016
3,753
911
106
The whole idea of caring for other people makes zero sense for "the market". The market cares about what profits. If it profits for you to be sick and die and pay out exorbitant amounts of cash for your low quality treatments... then that's what you'll get from "the market".
 

ivwshane

Lifer
May 15, 2000
33,282
16,606
136
This is how it was last time, though now with the addition of Rand Paul cheerfully pissing into the GOP's punch bowl.

I'm not ready to lay bets yet. If they thought they had the votes they would have voted.

Mitch McConnell is horrible at counting votes and Paul Ryan sucks at wrangling in the votes both are pretty incompetent at their job assuming they don't think their job is to simply obstruct.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
51,524
44,073
136
I might have missed some coverage here, but I seem to recall at least Murkowski and Collins on record as no voters well before it came to a vote last time, but I haven't seen that happen here yet. I hope you're correct and it turns out the same way it did last time.

IIRC, they were widely thought to be No's but had not openly declared. Anything is possible but Collins doesn't look any closer to a yes and flipping Murkowski looks pretty questionable.

Apparently they've barely bothered to engage McCain and by his comments so far I don't think he's on board for the most bastardized process he's probably seen in his political lifetime.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
51,524
44,073
136
Mitch McConnell is horrible at counting votes and Paul Ryan sucks at wrangling in the votes both are pretty incompetent at their job assuming they don't think their job is to simply obstruct.

Mitch is finding out it's a lot harder to move legislation with a fractured majority than it is to oppose as the minority.
 

snoopy7548

Diamond Member
Jan 1, 2005
8,225
5,290
146
They're so desperate to get something through they're resorting to just completely destroying their own base. They've gone mad. I don't really know what else to say.

http://thehill.com/policy/healthcar...ns-to-pay-16k-more-under-gop-obamacare-repeal


A new study from the AARP finds that older people could pay as much as $16,174 more per year for health coverage under the Republican bill to repeal ObamaCare sponsored by Sens. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) and Bill Cassidy (R-La.).

The study finds that on average nationwide, a 60-year-old making $25,000 per year would have to pay as much as $16,174 more per year for health insurance.

A 60-year-old making $25,000 per year in Alaska would have to pay as much as $31,790 more per year, and in Arizona, the person would have to pay $22,074 more, according to the AARP study.
 

FIVR

Diamond Member
Jun 1, 2016
3,753
911
106
They're so desperate to get something through they're resorting to just completely destroying their own base. They've gone mad. I don't really know what else to say.

http://thehill.com/policy/healthcar...ns-to-pay-16k-more-under-gop-obamacare-repeal


A new study from the AARP finds that older people could pay as much as $16,174 more per year for health coverage under the Republican bill to repeal ObamaCare sponsored by Sens. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) and Bill Cassidy (R-La.).

The study finds that on average nationwide, a 60-year-old making $25,000 per year would have to pay as much as $16,174 more per year for health insurance.

A 60-year-old making $25,000 per year in Alaska would have to pay as much as $31,790 more per year, and in Arizona, the person would have to pay $22,074 more, according to the AARP study.

I wonder what percentage of these boomers voted for trump? They deserve this bill. It is unfortunate that good people must suffer also... but we failed to stop them from taking over the government. We let the russians trick them on Facebook into voting for Trump. We didn't riot. We all just rolled over.


We must suffer with them. In the end, the ones that survive will know the truth about the free market and healthcare. And they will rebuild with single payer.
 

FIVR

Diamond Member
Jun 1, 2016
3,753
911
106
James Comey is somewhere on this earth and he is to blame for half of it. The rest is all our fault though.
 

Blackjack200

Lifer
May 28, 2007
15,995
1,688
126
I can think of lots of people who deserve that. Trump, his family, his friends. Paul Manafort. MANY people deserve that.


It is not a problem with "our culture"... it is a problem with republican culture. They deserve this bill and I hope they get it. They deserve to FEEL what its like to be screwed over by their government for real. They haven't suffered, so they haven't learned. Let them suffer.

The Republican elites will never suffer from these policies, so I'm not sure what your point is there. I'm talking about the average idiots that are owning themselves on Facebook and Twitter.

If Republicanism is the disease, Democrats are the immune system that's too weak to fight it off. We need to ask what's wrong with our immune system.

Single payer will NEVER happen until thousands and thousand of americans have died as a result of the "free market" healthcare system. Right now people think things are expensive... but they still have healthcare. They aren't dead. When they die, they'll learn.

Give them the system they desire. Let them learn the truth about the "free market": it cares for nobodies health. The market does not care if you die.

The problem with this is that our healthcare system today under the ACA already kills tons of people, what makes you think that killing more will help? When people are crushed by society, whether it's health care or falling though some other part of the tattered social net, they don't smack their foreheads and start voting for Democrats. They become dislocated from politics and don't vote at all. Look at the 2016 election. The story wasn't how many votes Trump got, it's how FEW votes Clinton got. It's insane to hope for this bill because you think it will hasten some social shift to liberalism, it absolutely won't.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,684
136
The Republican elites will never suffer from these policies, so I'm not sure what your point is there. I'm talking about the average idiots that are owning themselves on Facebook and Twitter.

If Republicanism is the disease, Democrats are the immune system that's too weak to fight it off. We need to ask what's wrong with our immune system.



The problem with this is that our healthcare system today under the ACA already kills tons of people, what makes you think that killing more will help? When people are crushed by society, whether it's health care or falling though some other part of the tattered social net, they don't smack their foreheads and start voting for Democrats. They become dislocated from politics and don't vote at all. Look at the 2016 election. The story wasn't how many votes Trump got, it's how FEW votes Clinton got. It's insane to hope for this bill because you think it will hasten some social shift to liberalism, it absolutely won't.

All I'm sure of is that it'll be a very, very disappointing 4 years for Trumpsters. Trump can't deliver & neither can the Repubs.
 

Bitek

Lifer
Aug 2, 2001
10,676
5,238
136
It remains to be seen if Murkowski will be swayed by this approach. She openly rebuffed a previous payoff attempt on the basis that it was bad for the country and would, eventually, be bad for Alaska too.

She owes the GOP leadership nothing, isn't up until 2022, received considerable local acclaim for rejecting the last proposal, the bill still has stuff she doesn't like (defunding PP), and to give in now would require a near total reversal of her stated positions. I don't think it's impossible she would flip it just doesn't look super likely.

Well at least she is using her position get more for her state.

What are all those blue/purple state senators doing?

Eg. Look at Gardner and Toomey. Both blue states, both look get fucked by this, yet they are loyally lining up to screw their own people over.

Burn down the GOP
 

vi edit

Elite Member
Super Moderator
Oct 28, 1999
62,484
8,345
126
I wonder what percentage of these boomers voted for trump? They deserve this bill. It is unfortunate that good people must suffer also... but we failed to stop them from taking over the government. We let the russians trick them on Facebook into voting for Trump. We didn't riot. We all just rolled over.

Around 55% of those over 50 (I think that's the age) voted for Trump. It wasn't as high a percent as you would think. Remember he lost by 3 million in popular vote while squeeking in with a 80k'ish Electoral advantage spread over 3 states.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
51,524
44,073
136
Well at least she is using her position get more for her state.

What are all those blue/purple state senators doing?

Eg. Look at Gardner and Toomey. Both blue states, both look get fucked by this, yet they are loyally lining up to screw their own people over.

Burn down the GOP

What's probably most perplexing for me is Heller. If I set out on a mission to intentionally ruin my own chances of getting elected in 2018 I doubt I could do a better job than he has.

Co-sponsoring the bill is just begging for someone to pass you the hemlock.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
51,524
44,073
136
The only poll I've seen on G-C is from PPP. 24% approve of G-C, 50% disapprove.

54% now approve of the ACA.

The results get progressively darker for the GOP from there. A large majority agree with the Kimmel Test for healthcare. They think the bill will hurt people with pre-existing conditions. They think a fix should be bipartisan. They think the CBO should fully score the bill before anything is done. Etc.

Just about every conceivable sign that this is a real bad political and policy idea is flashing on their dashboard but they're going ahead anyway.
 

vi edit

Elite Member
Super Moderator
Oct 28, 1999
62,484
8,345
126
Why GOP Healthcare Plans are so Bad....

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gop-health-care-plans-bad-110056282.html

Notice the Koch mentions in the story. $400 million in donations at stake.

And that is where this narrative has to go. Why. WHY the GOP is so frothing at the mouth to get this passed. This is where the Democrats have to dig their heals in. This isn't about reforming health care. This is PURELY about securing campaign funds and saving their own ass. Flip the narrative on it's side and call this what it is. Desperation. The GOP is desperate to keep their handlers happy. I want those two rich old bastards plastered on every TV and billboard. I want every GOP candidate that has received funds from them plastered right along with them. Push it and make it personal. The GOP doesn't give a shit about you. It doesn't give a shit about your health. It doesn't give a shit about this country. It only cares about itself and the purse that pays their bills. The GOP is fucking you over. WAKE UP. You are losing access to care so that some rich old assholes can buy a few more yachts. Call. March. Protest. Whatever you do, STOP VOTING FOR THESE PEOPLE. They have zero interest in you other than your vote to keep them in power.
 

vi edit

Elite Member
Super Moderator
Oct 28, 1999
62,484
8,345
126
In other news, Graham and Cassidy are doing a town hall on CNN with Bernie and Amy Klobuchar (Senator from MN) on Monday night.

http://www.cnn.com/2017/09/21/politics/graham-cassidy-town-hall-sanders-kobuchar/index.html

I don't like this. This isn't the time for Bernie to grandstand about his plan. He's not the right person for this and I don't think that there's anything more for the Democrats to gain from it. They need to be united in preserving the ACA first. If they go off message with his plan the Republicans win.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
51,524
44,073
136
In other news, Graham and Cassidy are doing a town hall on CNN with Bernie and Amy Klobuchar (Senator from MN) on Monday night.

http://www.cnn.com/2017/09/21/politics/graham-cassidy-town-hall-sanders-kobuchar/index.html

I don't like this. This isn't the time for Bernie to grandstand about his plan. He's not the right person for this and I don't think that there's anything more for the Democrats to gain from it. They need to be united in preserving the ACA first. If they go off message with his plan the Republicans win.

I'm of two minds about this:

1) Meh. Who watches CNN town halls anyway? Graham somehow thinks he'll deliver a coup de grace to the of idea single payer healthcare in this forum. I don't see how that really happens and it isn't the point anyway since single payer isn't on offer, their plan is. I assume he'll try to bait Sanders into that fight anyway.

2) If anybody still needed proof that Sanders isn't/wasn't/never will be a team player here you go. To risk, even minimally, helping the GOP pass Graham-Cassidy is governance malpractice since by every metric it's a terrible bill that will only be passed by nakedly lying to everyone.
 

obidamnkenobi

Golden Member
Sep 16, 2010
1,407
423
136
It just makes my head hurt reading comments on other sites arguing *for* this thing. This isn't just about 20 or 30 million people. EVERY SINGLE ONE OF US who use any form of health care are impacted by this. Not just people covered by the ACA.

The ACA introduced a TON of expansion money to health care providers. There are thousands of regional hospitals/clinics that sprouted up because of the influx of medicaid dollars. Coverage is also access to care. Regional hospitals thrive off of this since so many of the people in those areas are covered by medicaid dollars. That money goes away and what happens? Those regional hospitals shut down. Access to primary care and non-ICU based care is gone or greatly reduced. People that had a small town hospital are now forced to travel and hour or more to a large hospital. The well above normal pay that the hospital workers and community had from that regional hospital is gone. Jobs are lost. The large hospitals are now forced to take in a higher patient volume than they were prepared for so wait times go up. They are also seeing patients that no longer have any form of major reimbursement so they either have to write it off or jack up the rates for everyone that does have coverage. They are getting a huge reduction in reimbursement as well so they cut back on well paying jobs.

This has such a slippery slope of effect that a gaggle of geriatric old fucks in some mahogany lined state room who don't know the first damn thing about healthcare are driving to save face for promising it for years.

Those states who are benefiting the most are the exact ones that have representatives voting for it.

Keep on MAGA MAGA'ing assholes.

So let me get this straight. My tax dollars go to pay for hospitals in economically nonviable parts of the country, then also to pay for the healthcare for the people who live there. Then those people vote Trump into office (check the urban/rural vote breakdown)?! Hmm,maybe I'm changing my mind, let this thing pass and let the redneck racists suffer..

I could move to the middle of nowhere too, but I suffer through heavy traffic and living on a tiny plot of land. Because? There are jobs here!
 

vi edit

Elite Member
Super Moderator
Oct 28, 1999
62,484
8,345
126
So let me get this straight. My tax dollars go to pay for hospitals in economically nonviable parts of the country, then also to pay for the healthcare for the people who live there. Then those people vote Trump into office (check the urban/rural vote breakdown)?! Hmm,maybe I'm changing my mind, let this thing pass and let the redneck racists suffer..

I could move to the middle of nowhere too, but I suffer through heavy traffic and living on a tiny plot of land. Because? There are jobs here!

Yep. Medicaid expansion has been a major boost to rural health care systems.

https://www.cbpp.org/research/healt...sion-benefits-hospitals-particularly-in-rural
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,462
54,228
136
It's subtle but I don't think Rand Paul is on board...

It's interesting to see Rand Paul doing the 'shameless lying' thing, only the other way around. He doesn't want to vote for this bill because it would crater health care in his state but instead of arguing that way he's trying to say it doesn't go far enough. lol.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
51,524
44,073
136
It's interesting to see Rand Paul doing the 'shameless lying' thing, only the other way around. He doesn't want to vote for this bill because it would crater health care in his state but instead of arguing that way he's trying to say it doesn't go far enough. lol.

Well since it's Rand Paul I'm hardly surprised. Part of me is wondering however now if they are short a lot more votes than they've been letting on.
 
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