Holy Social Security

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Darwin333

Lifer
Dec 11, 2006
19,946
2,329
126
This is a terrible idea. Life expectancy has been increasing for wealthy people, not for the poor that Social Security is designed to help. Why would you cut poor people's benefits because rich people are living longer? I thought you were all about helping the poor?

Are there even enough rich people in the US to skew the average that far upwards?
 

Darwin333

Lifer
Dec 11, 2006
19,946
2,329
126
Of course, but there's no way to do it except for someone to eventually ignore politics.

Also, I'd make voluntary surrender an option. Anyone at anytime can surrender their contributions to date and any benefits in exchange for not contributing anymore in the future.

That would only force them to take money out of the general fund to cover all of the people opting out which means either more deficit spending or higher taxes. We are NOT going to just start kicking old folks out on the street nor should we.
 

Darwin333

Lifer
Dec 11, 2006
19,946
2,329
126
You are dumb if you think eliminating social security for those who save otherwise is going to bring that back.

He is saying that eliminating SS will do that to those who did not otherwise save because they couldn't or didn't because they were counting on SS, something they have been paying into all their lives BTW.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,524
54,359
136
Are there even enough rich people in the US to skew the average that far upwards?

I linked a study done by the SSA a few years ago. Life expectancy increases over the last 40 years have gone almost entirely to those in the upper 50% of the income distribution scale. They remain essentially unchanged for the poor.

So perhaps "rich" isn't exactly the word we're looking for in the upper half, but the point still stands that when you increase the retirement age you're punishing the poor because the wealthier half of the country is living longer.
 

Darwin333

Lifer
Dec 11, 2006
19,946
2,329
126
I linked a study done by the SSA a few years ago. Life expectancy increases over the last 40 years have gone almost entirely to those in the upper 50% of the income distribution scale. They remain essentially unchanged for the poor.

So perhaps "rich" isn't exactly the word we're looking for in the upper half, but the point still stands that when you increase the retirement age you're punishing the poor because the wealthier half of the country is living longer.

Lol, rich is pretty darn far away from the word you're looking for if you are talking about half of the population. And frankly that trend makes perfect sense, the more money you have then the better access you have to medical services. Add that to the numerous studies that I have seen that show poorer people tend to do more self destructive things (smoke, heavy drinking, drugs) and it's pretty cut and dry why that is the case. I can't believe they needed a study to figure that out.

IIRC black people (or maybe just men) statistically won't live long enough to ever collect SS or at least not very much of it. Should we lower the SS age for black folk? Should smokers get SS at a lower age too, after all they did pay into the system?

The upper half of the country will always receive/have better access to better care. That's just the way the world works, I'd bet even in socialized countries to a large extent. Yet we still have to tie SS somehow to increased life expectancy or else the numbers will continue to get worse over time.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,524
54,359
136
Lol, rich is pretty darn far away from the word you're looking for if you are talking about half of the population. And frankly that trend makes perfect sense, the more money you have then the better access you have to medical services. Add that to the numerous studies that I have seen that show poorer people tend to do more self destructive things (smoke, heavy drinking, drugs) and it's pretty cut and dry why that is the case. I can't believe they needed a study to figure that out.

IIRC black people (or maybe just men) statistically won't live long enough to ever collect SS or at least not very much of it. Should we lower the SS age for black folk? Should smokers get SS at a lower age too, after all they did pay into the system?

The upper half of the country will always receive/have better access to better care. That's just the way the world works, I'd bet even in socialized countries to a large extent. Yet we still have to tie SS somehow to increased life expectancy or else the numbers will continue to get worse over time.

Nothing in this post offers a good reason to make that situation worse.
 

piasabird

Lifer
Feb 6, 2002
17,168
60
91
Well we have had a lot of advancements in medical science like Antibiotics, cat scans, Hypertension medication, Diabetes medication, cancer treatments, etc. Probably even the food supply and available clean water and air is better. Then there have been a lot of advancements in safety in areas of transportation. Of course we keep getting an onslaught of new and more dangerous diseases like Aids, Bird Flu, and many other diseases that just keep propping up.
 

sothsegger

Member
Jul 6, 2004
106
0
76
"Why he is doing this, is pretty simple. People love it (even 6 in 10 conservatives). It polls through the roof. And anyone telling you anything different is trying to sell you something, probably private accounts on Wall Street that would have been blown up with the stock market crash in 2008."

And anything you had in the market in 2008 has since rebounded and much much more. I'd much rather have SS partially privatized over the course of my 40 working years then the way it is structured now.

The people that protest privatization don't understand investing at all.

But partial privatization weakens the system for those who are collecting, or near collecting, benefits under the old system. And they both vote and outnumber the rest of you.
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
I linked a study done by the SSA a few years ago. Life expectancy increases over the last 40 years have gone almost entirely to those in the upper 50% of the income distribution scale. They remain essentially unchanged for the poor.

So perhaps "rich" isn't exactly the word we're looking for in the upper half, but the point still stands that when you increase the retirement age you're punishing the poor because the wealthier half of the country is living longer.

Fine with me, what you're advocating basically means the rich get to collect Social Security for longer in comparison the poor, further increasing their total return past the breakeven point of their capped contributions. Funded in large part by retained funds for the poor who never make it to retirement age. Thanks for the reverse Robin Hood.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,524
54,359
136
Fine with me, what you're advocating basically means the rich get to collect Social Security for longer in comparison the poor, further increasing their total return past the breakeven point of their capped contributions. Funded in large part by retained funds for the poor who never make it to retirement age. Thanks for the reverse Robin Hood.

It's always interesting to see what policies your spite-based approach to public policy leads you to endorse, haha.
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
It's always interesting to see what policies your spite-based approach to public policy leads you to endorse, haha.

Likewise your infantilizing approach to the public. We can't let people have an ownership interest in their retirement funds, we have to ensure that it remains in the hands of the Treasury and that return of monies paid in dependent on the good graces of politicians.
 

WackyDan

Diamond Member
Jan 26, 2004
4,794
68
91
But partial privatization weakens the system for those who are collecting, or near collecting, benefits under the old system. And they both vote and outnumber the rest of you.

How? Seriously. Partially privatizing has always meant that part of the tax still goes in the SS trust. You structure it in such a way that the younger generation is still contributing a small portion to traditional fund. Over two or three generations everyone will be structured into that partially privatized system. They will get a higher rate of return and the gov't won't be dependent on any surpluses from them.

Lastly, it would never be fully privatized as we have to support those on SS benefits that are disabled early in life and wouldn't have the opportunity to have a 40 year working career, etc.
 

sothsegger

Member
Jul 6, 2004
106
0
76
How? Seriously. Partially privatizing has always meant that part of the tax still goes in the SS trust. You structure it in such a way that the younger generation is still contributing a small portion to traditional fund. Over two or three generations everyone will be structured into that partially privatized system. They will get a higher rate of return and the gov't won't be dependent on any surpluses from them.

Lastly, it would never be fully privatized as we have to support those on SS benefits that are disabled early in life and wouldn't have the opportunity to have a 40 year working career, etc.

The key phrase is "part of the tax." As it is, SS is underfunded, such that diverting any $ away from it toward a private structure weakens it.
 

boomerang

Lifer
Jun 19, 2000
18,883
641
126
The same topics come up repeatedly here which I know is no surprise to any of the regulars. Why not just tell it like it is on this topic? The left likes having that SS money as a reservoir to be tapped when they feel the need. A plan to privatize it either in whole or in part will never fly with them because it will mean that the funds are not available to them. How many times have we heard Pelosi over the years express interest in government taking over individual retirement accounts to varying degrees? More than I can remember. It's always wrapped up in some do-good bullshit but the reasons for the left wanting to do it are transparent. Rather that rein in spending, it's much more palatable to increase revenue.

Our government is enamored with taking the low road on far too much. We have allowed a system to develop and flourish that rewards politicians for not making hard decisions, for taking the path of least resistance. Borrow today and don't worry about tomorrow. Why should they worry? They're pretty certain they'll be dead or forgotten when the shit hits the fan. And if they're not, who's going to hold them responsible? Their brethren in D.C.? Fat chance of that.

Our nation is many, many tens of trillions in the hole. It is going to catch up with us.
 

bshole

Diamond Member
Mar 12, 2013
8,315
1,215
126
How? Seriously. Partially privatizing has always meant that part of the tax still goes in the SS trust. You structure it in such a way that the younger generation is still contributing a small portion to traditional fund. Over two or three generations everyone will be structured into that partially privatized system. They will get a higher rate of return and the gov't won't be dependent on any surpluses from them.

Lastly, it would never be fully privatized as we have to support those on SS benefits that are disabled early in life and wouldn't have the opportunity to have a 40 year working career, etc.

Privatizing sounds like a terrible idea. Betting your retirement that the stock market doesn't crash and wipe out your retirement savings VS a guranteed cash benefit for life? Absolute no brainer. If you want to play the market, that is what your 401K is for. Privatizing your SS effectively puts ALL of your retirement eggs in the same basket thus SIGNIFICANTLY raising your risk exponentially. I once supported privatization but the last market crash permanently cured me of that.
 
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drez

Member
Nov 26, 2014
31
0
0
groundedreason.com
I don't understand why so many want privatization. One of the first rules of investing is diversification. Social security is a guaranteed return of at least 4% with a max of 6.5% depending on your situation. That’s great for a low risk investment. It beats bonds.
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
I don't understand why so many want privatization. One of the first rules of investing is diversification. Social security is a guaranteed return of at least 4% with a max of 6.5% depending on your situation. That’s great for a low risk investment. It beats bonds.

It's neither an investment nor guarantee. Only someone very naive would make that claim about an account they have literally no ownership interest in. The "returns" are completely dependent upon the whims of a politician, the "principal" could be taken away by those same politicians at any time, and the entity administering the account also provides "regulatory oversight." What could possibly go wrong with all that?
 

bshole

Diamond Member
Mar 12, 2013
8,315
1,215
126
It's neither an investment nor guarantee. Only someone very naive would make that claim about an account they have literally no ownership interest in. The "returns" are completely dependent upon the whims of a politician, the "principal" could be taken away by those same politicians at any time, and the entity administering the account also provides "regulatory oversight." What could possibly go wrong with all that?


Not really. The AARP is the most powerful lobby in America. No politician would dare touch Social Security, the elderly vote would prevent that. In addition, politicians could raise taxes against retirement accounts at any time... so they have the same risk of political meddling that you claim SS has.

In any event having SS funded by current workers while your 401k is funded by market returns is definitely a world securer than having all of it funded by market returns.
 
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drez

Member
Nov 26, 2014
31
0
0
groundedreason.com
It's neither an investment nor guarantee. Only someone very naive would make that claim about an account they have literally no ownership interest in. The "returns" are completely dependent upon the whims of a politician, the "principal" could be taken away by those same politicians at any time, and the entity administering the account also provides "regulatory oversight." What could possibly go wrong with all that?

History has proven there is no return more garunteed at any given time. That's what you want from a retirement fund. 100% 401K folks had a hell of a time retiring in Late 2008.

It's pretty sad to think you have no ownership investment in your government. That attitude is the reason we are in the mess were in.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,524
54,359
136
I don't understand why so many want privatization. One of the first rules of investing is diversification. Social security is a guaranteed return of at least 4% with a max of 6.5% depending on your situation. That’s great for a low risk investment. It beats bonds.

People who want privatization tend not to think about 1.) the havoc it would wreck with market valuations and 2.) what we would do in case of another crash. Are we going to let old people die in the street? Probably not, we will bail them out... which basically eliminates the whole point to begin with.
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
People who want privatization tend not to think about 1.) the havoc it would wreck with market valuations and 2.) what we would do in case of another crash. Are we going to let old people die in the street? Probably not, we will bail them out... which basically eliminates the whole point to begin with.

So back to "you're too stupid to manage your own retirement and we literally trust a politician to do a better job of it than you."
 
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