My first reaction when I saw
Nvidia's blog post on Pascal was: are you kidding me? Only 3584 shaders from a 610mm^2 chip on a new node shrink? That's pathetic. Maxwell has 3072 shaders, so for a similarly sized chip, we should be seeing 6144. Instead we get a measly ~17% increase (okay, 25% if you count the full die, which apparently even Tesla buyers won't be getting at first).
After thinking it over, I realized that this is strong evidence that the "GP102" rumors are true - and that Nvidia's double-precision HPC chips will be completely separate from their graphics chips from now on. We saw the first steps in this direction with GK210, which was a completely new revision of Kepler's big die that never saw a consumer-grade release. As others have pointed out, the blog post on GP100 contains
no mention of ROPs at all. It could just be an oversight, but I think they aren't mentioned because they are not included on the chip. GP100 isn't designed to support video output at all, it's purely a HPC computing chip.
The apparent reason why Nvidia is doing this is that their method of DP computing takes up a tremendous amount of die space. To get the 1/2 DP/SP ratio, they need to have one DP CUDA core for every two SP CUDA cores. Assuming the DP cores need more hardware because they're wider, that means as much as
half the chip's shader power is for DP support only, and completely useless both to gaming and to ordinary single-precision GPGPU apps. If a chip of this same size was done Maxwell-style with minimal DP support, we could be looking at a whopping 7680 shaders! Now that's more like it. That said, though, I don't think GP102 will be quite this massive. A stronger possibility is 6144 shaders, double GM200's count. Whether Nvidia will use HBM2 on GP102 is another question, but given their traditional conservatism when it comes to new memory types, I think a 384-bit GDDR5X bus is more likely. GP102 would then be the highest actual GPU in the Pascal lineup, powering the most expensive Quadro card and the next-generation Titan when it arrives.
We might well see a situation where even GP104 has more single-precision power than GP100. That would be unprecedented, but today's announcement is a spanner in the works and is different from everything that Nvidia has done up until now. If they really plan on having the GP100 being the best in their lineup all-around, and everything else inferior to it, then AMD is going to win this generation without a doubt.