SP33Demon
Lifer
- Jun 22, 2001
- 27,928
- 142
- 106
Welp, 4 more hours til Phils/Cards. Although the Phils should have already swept this series. Some good reading:
Cliff Lee's bad luck on BABIP in Game 2:
http://crashburnalley.com/2011/10/04/cliff-lee-and-babip/
Most sabersticians agree, Jerry Meals called a shtty game 2 and the Cards got the better calls after Tony bitched:
http://crashburnalley.com/2011/10/03/kudos-to-tony-la-russa/
Must pray to the baseball gods for better luck tonight!
Cliff Lee's bad luck on BABIP in Game 2:
http://crashburnalley.com/2011/10/04/cliff-lee-and-babip/
In the end, I only have Lee on the hook for four of the 12 hits. Now, to be fair, I’d have to do the same exercise for the eight batted ball outs, but the point of this exercise should be evident. As mentioned, Lee pitched well in the areas that didn’t involve his fielders: he struck out nine in six-plus innings of work, walked two, and induced ground balls at a 45 percent rate. If you roll the dice again with the same defense-independent numbers, Lee will have a much better night a majority of the time. As many will point out, though, baseball games are only played once and Lee’s results are what they are.
Most sabersticians agree, Jerry Meals called a shtty game 2 and the Cards got the better calls after Tony bitched:
http://crashburnalley.com/2011/10/03/kudos-to-tony-la-russa/
Meals’ strike zone did appear to change — should La Russa be faulted for using Meals’ lack of confidence in his own calls to carve a slight edge for his team? We would be applauding Charlie Manuel if he was the one yelling from the dugout. The ire should have been directed at Meals, and at Major League Baseball for letting a mediocre umpire call an important post-season game.
Must pray to the baseball gods for better luck tonight!