**OFFICIAL** Hurricane Emily Thread

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ViRGE

Elite Member, Moderator Emeritus
Oct 9, 1999
31,516
167
106
She's amazingly small for a Cat 3, I can't think of many major hurricanes that looked as small as Emily.
 

digitalsm

Diamond Member
Jul 11, 2003
5,253
0
0
Originally posted by: ViRGE
She's amazingly small for a Cat 3, I can't think of many major hurricanes that looked as small as Emily.

Small but will pack a huge punch to what ever it hits. The latest update has her barely clipping the Yucatan. Current path puts her hitting Brownsville by Weds. Its looking like she will indeed hit the texas coast, hopefully not as a 5, but in all probability its going to be a 4. Actually I wouldnt be suprised if tomorrow mornings update has her missing the Yucatan completely, in which case she will be a tightly packed cat 5, which will be devastating to whatever city she hits.

I still pray it doesnt hit the Texas coast because then a conference Im a part of will be canceled, irregardless of strength. Grrr. Go away.
 

ViRGE

Elite Member, Moderator Emeritus
Oct 9, 1999
31,516
167
106
Originally posted by: digitalsm
Originally posted by: ViRGE
She's amazingly small for a Cat 3, I can't think of many major hurricanes that looked as small as Emily.

Small but will pack a huge punch to what ever it hits. The latest update has her barely clipping the Yucatan. Current path puts her hitting Brownsville by Weds. Its looking like she will indeed hit the texas coast, hopefully not as a 5, but in all probability its going to be a 4. Actually I wouldnt be suprised if tomorrow mornings update has her missing the Yucatan completely, in which case she will be a tightly packed cat 5, which will be devastating to whatever city she hits.

I still pray it doesnt hit the Texas coast because then a conference Im a part of will be canceled, irregardless of strength. Grrr. Go away.
It's not necessarily going to hit as a 5 even if it misses the Yucatan; Atlantic storms can't usually maintain Cat 5 strength, and often fluxuate between 4 and 5 as a result. If it hits, it will hopefully be on a downswing.
 

mwtgg

Lifer
Dec 6, 2001
10,491
0
0
I was talking to a friend in the Caribbean (Barbados if you must know), and he said that it hit Grenada as a Cat1. Just what that poor place needs after Ivan.
 

Nitemare

Lifer
Feb 8, 2001
35,461
4
81
Originally posted by: ViRGE
She's amazingly small for a Cat 3, I can't think of many major hurricanes that looked as small as Emily.

Category 4 now, wind speeds at 135, as I said earlier if it misses the Yucatan...some state in the US is going to be so fvcked up
 

Medea

Golden Member
Dec 5, 2000
1,606
0
0
Originally posted by: ViRGE
It's not necessarily going to hit as a 5 even if it misses the Yucatan; Atlantic storms can't usually maintain Cat 5 strength, and often fluxuate between 4 and 5 as a result. If it hits, it will hopefully be on a downswing.

Hmm, Hurricane Camille hit MS/LA in 1969 as one of the strongest hurricanes ever to hit the U.S. Gusts were above 200 mph.

If Emily takes a slightly northern turn from it's current projected path, it'll pass through Cuba and the Yucatan - and I predict that, if she does, she'll hit the U.S. as a Cat 5.
 

Nitemare

Lifer
Feb 8, 2001
35,461
4
81
Originally posted by: Medea
Originally posted by: ViRGE
It's not necessarily going to hit as a 5 even if it misses the Yucatan; Atlantic storms can't usually maintain Cat 5 strength, and often fluxuate between 4 and 5 as a result. If it hits, it will hopefully be on a downswing.

Hmm, Hurricane Camille hit MS/LA in 1969 as one of the strongest hurricanes ever to hit the U.S. Gusts were above 200 mph.

If Emily takes a slightly northern turn from it's current projected path, it'll pass through Cuba and the Yucatan - and I predict that, if she does, she'll hit the U.S. as a Cat 5.

As warm as the Gulf is I'd agree with you on that easily, Deenis went from 100-135 like overnight after it left Cuba
 

digitalsm

Diamond Member
Jul 11, 2003
5,253
0
0
Originally posted by: Medea
Originally posted by: ViRGE
It's not necessarily going to hit as a 5 even if it misses the Yucatan; Atlantic storms can't usually maintain Cat 5 strength, and often fluxuate between 4 and 5 as a result. If it hits, it will hopefully be on a downswing.

Hmm, Hurricane Camille hit MS/LA in 1969 as one of the strongest hurricanes ever to hit the U.S. Gusts were above 200 mph.

If Emily takes a slightly northern turn from it's current projected path, it'll pass through Cuba and the Yucatan - and I predict that, if she does, she'll hit the U.S. as a Cat 5.

All but one of the computer models show Emily missing the Yucatan.
 

digitalsm

Diamond Member
Jul 11, 2003
5,253
0
0
Originally posted by: ViRGE
Originally posted by: digitalsm
Originally posted by: ViRGE
She's amazingly small for a Cat 3, I can't think of many major hurricanes that looked as small as Emily.

Small but will pack a huge punch to what ever it hits. The latest update has her barely clipping the Yucatan. Current path puts her hitting Brownsville by Weds. Its looking like she will indeed hit the texas coast, hopefully not as a 5, but in all probability its going to be a 4. Actually I wouldnt be suprised if tomorrow mornings update has her missing the Yucatan completely, in which case she will be a tightly packed cat 5, which will be devastating to whatever city she hits.

I still pray it doesnt hit the Texas coast because then a conference Im a part of will be canceled, irregardless of strength. Grrr. Go away.
It's not necessarily going to hit as a 5 even if it misses the Yucatan; Atlantic storms can't usually maintain Cat 5 strength, and often fluxuate between 4 and 5 as a result. If it hits, it will hopefully be on a downswing.

Its not going to be on the downswing because the gulf is warmer than it normally is in July and there is a ton of moisture. Its going to hit as a strong 4 or a 5. Frankly it could go days without hitting land before making landfall. The current projections withit still going over the Yucatan have it as 3 when it enters the gulf, it could still reach a 5 even if it hits its. Its going to be in the open waters of the gulf for ~3 days.
 

ViRGE

Elite Member, Moderator Emeritus
Oct 9, 1999
31,516
167
106
The bitch is back in a big way; Emily has now undergone extensive strengthening in a short period of time, and now packs winds of 125mph. What was expected to hit land at Cat 2(and maybe Cat 3) status is now going to hit at Cat 4, as she's expected to put on at least another 10mph before landfall.
 
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