PA 18 Special Election Updates

[uclaLabrat]

Real time results here:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive...ults-pennsylvania-house-special-election.html

Conor Lamb seems to be up big, but it's still early.

 

[uclaLabrat]

Benchmarks here:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/feature...about-the-pennsylvania-18th-special-election/

 

[uclaLabrat]

Going by the benchmarks, the blue bastion (Allegheny) is at 72% reporting, while the red bastion (Greene) is at 73%, and Lamb is up by 8.5%. I don't think Westmoreland has enough to put Saccone over the hump.

 

[JSt0rm]

this is good for trump because...

 

[Sunburn74]

Looking pretty good for Lamb right now

 

[soundforbjt]

2500 votes difference now

 

[TheVrolok]

2500 votes difference now

Damn it's close. Even this close is a statement. Let's go Lamb.

 

[JSt0rm]

its close but freedumb will win.

 

[cliftonite]

Doesn't look like Lamb will win this.

 

[ivwshane]

This is already a victory for Democrats at this point, even if they lose.

 

[FIVR]

Lamb is quite tasty


Saccone doesn't sound tasty at all.

I think Lamb wins

 

[Jhhnn]

Click refresh for updates-

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive...ults-pennsylvania-house-special-election.html

 

[soundforbjt]

I predict Saccone will barely win. But repubs spent $10 mil compared to $2 mil by Dems, terrible showing for the republicans, for a seat that has to be won again in November.

 

[FIVR]

Democrats need to buy this Drew Miller guy a new car or something. He's handing this election to Lamb

 

[FIVR]

My math says Lamb wins by 300 votes

 

[Sunburn74]

Democrats need to buy this Drew Miller guy a new car or something. He's handing this election to Lamb

Not really sure whose race he's spoiling but I never understand why these 3rd party guys run.
You'd think after last year when we got trump in part because of the actions of Johnson and that other lady they'd have learned something.

 

[Paratus]

So I did some quick calculations based on the remaining precincts and it really is to close to call.

If they split the same way they have been then Lamb picks up about 4050 more votes to Saccones 4000.

Although it already looks like it’s breaking a little more for Saccone. So to close to call

 

[Jhhnn]

I predict Saccone will barely win. But repubs spent $10 mil compared to $2 mil by Dems, terrible showing for the republicans, for a seat that has to be won again in November.

The PA GOP is in deep trouble in November because of court ordered redistricting. No gerrymander for you!

 

[FIVR]

Not really sure whose race he's spoiling but I never understand why these 3rd party guys run.
You'd think after last year when we got trump in part because of the actions of Johnson and that other lady they'd have learned something.

He's a libertarian. He's spoiling it for Saccone.


I just notice Steve Kornaki on MSNBC claims that there are "at least 1400" early voter ballots that have to be counted also and they may not count them tonight lmao. This is where the love from Russia will come in. Suddenly these ballots will go from 58% Lamb to 90% Saccone and that's how you get Republican congressman!

 

[FIVR]

What is the point of holding an election if you don't collect all the ballots to count? This is not "democracy", it's a farce! Where are these absentee ballots?

 

[soundforbjt]

7000 absentee ballots won’t be counted until tomorrow.

 

[BoomerD]

Currently. Sitting at D/R by 700 voted. What’s PA election law say about elections that close? Automatic recount?

 

[FIVR]

lol. So basically go to sleep and wake up tomorrow and Putin will pick the name of your congressman out of his hat.

 

[vi edit]

7000 absentee ballots won’t be counted until tomorrow.

A lot of them are from blue counties.

 

[soundforbjt]

Currently. Sitting at D/R by 700 voted. What’s PA election law say about elections that close? Automatic recount?

No automatic recount, has to be by petition.