RIM death watch

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3chordcharlie

Diamond Member
Mar 30, 2004
9,859
1
81
Every public company works for shareholders.Because I don't care about BB10. I said RIMM's future sucks. I don't even care to get caught up in a debate about BB10. It's marginally more interesting to me than arguing the tenets of a key component in house paint.

I know is that BB is losing market share at a breathtaking rate, that its stock is nose-diving because the company is looking down the barrel of a gun. The rest is noise. BB10 is a hail mary pass.

This loyal fan base you pretend exists doesn't. People hate their blackberries, hence its catastrophic loss of market share.How do you guys say this with a straight face? India? Really, who cares? Indians don't care about good phones? They're not going to jump on the droid/iphone bandwagon?

RIMM is a dinosaur, it's an anachronism. The market has said it, the stock's nose dive mirrors it.How is cratering of market sure not valid again?At least three times, but, yes, it does spell doom. Companies losing market share at Blackberry's rate have three options:
1) Successful hail mary pass to stem the bleeding and recover ground
2) Go bankrupt
3) Get bought out

If BB10 doesn't count as 1) BB will suffer 2) or 3). I highly doubt BB10 will be that good. We now have another player coming online with Microsoft's Windows 8 phones, giving BB yet another huge, monetized competitor. Blackberry is fvcked. They have dithered for too long selling crap to corporations. They filled a niche just like typewriters used to.Sorry, these users are now so pissed that when they can leave they will. Really, many already have.

Every time I see somebody with a BB I ask them about it. As recently as yesterday a guy who said he has "the latest and greatest" was saying how he hates it, wants to get a droid. I literally only know one person in my group at work who when given the chance for an iphone went with another BB. The rest of us literally count down the months until we can get iPhones. Got mine this week and can't believe I put up with that crapberry for so long.
1. No one in this thread disagrees that BB10 is make or break. If it isn't good, and successful, there will be no BB11.

2. Everything else you posted is essentially garbage.

3. Enjoy your iPhone. I mean that.
 

theevilsharpie

Platinum Member
Nov 2, 2009
2,322
14
81
Roughly speaking, you need Exchange regardless. So to replace BES you need Activesync and whatever else you choose to use for management/security.

ActiveSync is part of Exchange.

That's not remotely close to being an argument. Or quantitative evidence. I'm not really sure what to make of it.

If you want a quantitative figure, three days of downtime within a one year period leaves RIM with barely 99% uptime within that same period, and that's assuming RIM has no further outages this year. I'm not sure if you're familiar with industry uptime standards, but if you're not, I'll give you a hint: that's bad.

You're the one that started with "whatever advantage Rim may have in security is countered...". Now you're electing to go with 'they have no advantage. Make up your mind already!

The keyword in that phrase was "whatever," but if you want me to be clear, I will: RIM has no technological advantage over the competition when it comes to security. Their sole advantage in the enterprise market at this point is that they're the incumbent.

No, it isn't. Actually, as BB-market share has dropped, even BBM isn't a replacement for BBM a couple of years ago, because fewer people actually have it.

So I'm stuck back in 1999 trading slow, limited, unreliable SMS messages with folks who can't stop telling me how great their iPhone is.

Such is the life of a proprietary program running in a decaying walled garden :'(

I will grant you that SMS is limited when compared to a true IM program, but it's universally compatible. For functional purposes, it works well enough as an IM, and I haven't found it any more or less reliable or fast than an IM. If you're having problems with SMS, maybe it's your phone
 

Doppel

Lifer
Feb 5, 2011
13,306
3
0
2. Everything else you posted is essentially garbage.
Doppel reminds the audience that RIM's loss of market share is breathtaking.



Doppel states that there is no great loyalty for RIM among its user base (in the West).

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/tech...oyalty-survey-rim-lags-behind/article4179997/

Doppel brings up Windows 8 phones, another thing RIM should worry about.

http://news.cnet.com/8301-1035_3-57528365-94/windows-phone-8-pre-orders-said-to-start-october-21/

3chordcharlie derides as "garbage". Well, I'm convinced
 

silverpig

Lifer
Jul 29, 2001
27,703
12
81
iOS has 600,000+ apps; Android has 500,00+ apps. How many will BB10 have?

1. You don't need 600,000 because in that group you are getting 1000+ "calculators" and 50 iFart apps and a whole ton of garbage
2. How many apps do you have on your phone? If you were to take only the top 2000 apps on iOS you could probably cover them all off. You don't need 600,000, you just need the top 30k or so.
3. This same argument was made when android started and lagged behind iOS.
4. Android app player. It takes literally 15 minutes to port over an android app for a developer. If there is something you really want, there is sideloading.
5. RIM has been courting devs heavily for months. Guaranteed $10k in revenue in year 1, 12,000 free dev alpha phones given out, very positive developer reviews and response... You can check out screenshots of the BB10 foursquare app already.
 

Doppel

Lifer
Feb 5, 2011
13,306
3
0
Oh, and about this nonsense that developers actually car about RIM's platform:

http://www.zdnet.com/developer-interest-in-blackberry-os-at-all-time-low-7000000884/

Developer interest in BlackBerry OS at all time low

Basically every argument for RIM in this thread can be cratered by a quick google search.

Everyone else has already caught up, which is why RIMM is now 25% what it was a year back. Why the crazy hold-outs in this thread? Your fanboism is hugely ill-conceived and baffling.
 

silverpig

Lifer
Jul 29, 2001
27,703
12
81
Oh, and about this nonsense that developers actually car about RIM's platform:

http://www.zdnet.com/developer-interest-in-blackberry-os-at-all-time-low-7000000884/



Basically every argument for RIM in this thread can be cratered by a quick google search.

Everyone else has already caught up, which is why RIMM is now 25% what it was a year back. Why the crazy hold-outs in this thread? Your fanboism is hugely ill-conceived and baffling.

You have admitted multiple times I. This tread that you don't know what you are talking about and don't even care to.

How about you try taking the opinion of someone who has actually sat down and used a BB10 device:

http://techcrunch.com/2012/10/11/rim-bb10-video-hands-on/
 

3chordcharlie

Diamond Member
Mar 30, 2004
9,859
1
81
Doppel reminds the audience that RIM's loss of market share is breathtaking.



Doppel states that there is no great loyalty for RIM among its user base (in the West).

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/tech...oyalty-survey-rim-lags-behind/article4179997/

Doppel brings up Windows 8 phones, another thing RIM should worry about.

http://news.cnet.com/8301-1035_3-57528365-94/windows-phone-8-pre-orders-said-to-start-october-21/

3chordcharlie derides as "garbage". Well, I'm convinced
Which one of these changes the basic situation that is obvious to everyone?

You may recall most of your previous post was simply whining about how much you hated your 3 year old Blackberry, and how you and your work buddies spend most of your working time consoling each other over not having an iPhone. Oh and how one guy has one of their newer phones and doesn't like it, proving that the company has nothing to offer.

If you had posted the above, I would have ignored it because it has been posted before, but I wouldn't have called it garbage.

Now, go play with your iPhone.
 

3chordcharlie

Diamond Member
Mar 30, 2004
9,859
1
81
ActiveSync is part of Exchange.



If you want a quantitative figure, three days of downtime within a one year period leaves RIM with barely 99% uptime within that same period, and that's assuming RIM has no further outages this year. I'm not sure if you're familiar with industry uptime standards, but if you're not, I'll give you a hint: that's bad.
Yes, it is. In government and corporate environments I've never experienced less than one significant outage (3+ hours, during office hours) per month.

You also cherry picked your dates. You can show anyone you like in that light as long as they have an outage once in a while - just start counting at that point.
The keyword in that phrase was "whatever," but if you want me to be clear, I will: RIM has no technological advantage over the competition when it comes to security. Their sole advantage in the enterprise market at this point is that they're the incumbent.
So now your argument was not only misdirected, it wasn't even needed because the original 'fact' was wrong. Got it. Is this the last time you're planning to adjust your argument? I'm not sure if you noticed, but you have now completely disconnected your reliability argument from the security thing, which is what I told you was needed back in my first post. You've also
Such is the life of a proprietary program running in a decaying walled garden :'(
If you recall the history of what became BBM, it makes more sense of just what it turned into. So far, eventual obsolescence has been the destiny of every IM, even ones that are cross-platform, sadly. I'd be happy enough if people would just pick one.
I will grant you that SMS is limited when compared to a true IM program, but it's universally compatible. For functional purposes, it works well enough as an IM, and I haven't found it any more or less reliable or fast than an IM. If you're having problems with SMS, maybe it's your phone
TBH it's been a few months since I had an SMS delayed an hour or more, and much longer since one wasn't delivered at all. I assume SMS to be mostly a 'carrier' issue, and it has improved. Lack of delivered receipts is problematic and limiting, even more so than the stupid character limit.

I think we are a little beyond needing something as bad as SMS to be 'universally compatible'. Well, sorry, 4 years ago we were, but now we're back where we started.

I mean, boiling water to make it safe to drink is pretty universally compatible, too
 
Sep 29, 2004
18,656
67
91
FWIW:

RIMM is expected to have over 100,000 apps at the launch of BB10. Wahtever the number is, it will be mroe than the zero that the iPhone had.

EDIT: I should add a grain of salt to this. I need to verify. I think that is their goal. And part of their goal is an internal list of 100 apps that they consider "must haves". The one missing app right now that everyone knows about is Netflix.
 
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Red Storm

Lifer
Oct 2, 2005
14,233
234
106
RIMMs only threat is the Windows phone. Apple and Android are way behind RIMM and MSFT OS wise.

Today we officially shut down BES as our last and final BlackBerry holdout switched over to an iPhone. Obviously government agencies will keep BBs in use but for the many, many other companies out there that's not the case.
 

Wreckem

Diamond Member
Sep 23, 2006
9,537
1,103
126
Today we officially shut down BES as our last and final BlackBerry holdout switched over to an iPhone. Obviously government agencies will keep BBs in use but for the many, many other companies out there that's not the case.

Some Agencies have already started abandoning Blackberry. Most Congressional offices abandoned them a while ago.
 
Sep 29, 2004
18,656
67
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Now that's funny. Gems like this are the reason I still read this thread.

They are. Go watch the BB10 videos of it's user interface. Apple and Android are resting on their laurels. The user interface paradigm is old (5 years at this point).

But these gems that you come hee to read ... show me one thing .... you probably havn't watched a single BB10 video that shows how the flow interface works.


Red Storm,
Anecdotal evidence doesn't work. Why arn't you reading about one of England's largest companies selecting BB less than a year ago?


All,
I'm not even concerned about the busienss segment. I'm concerned with consumer expansion in developing economies via BB10.

Time will tell. That is all.
 
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rockyct

Diamond Member
Jun 23, 2001
6,656
32
91
Now that's funny. Gems like this are the reason I still read this thread.
I think it context he does mostly make sense here. WP8 phones are built on the Win NT kernel and have complete device management/encryption available to IT. It's sort of the last advantage that BB phones have and WP8 comes out at the end of this month. It'll have a six month (?) head start before any BB10 phones come out and it runs all 100k WP7 apps.

Basically, if the iPhone/Androids haven't gotten everyone to switch by now, WP8 may just be the final blow.
 

the DRIZZLE

Platinum Member
Sep 6, 2007
2,956
1
81
I have seen videos of BB10 and it does look promising, but it just may be too late for RIM. Three years ago they were the incumbent and had a structural advantage in the industry, but now the opposite is true. In the consumer market they should be viewed as a new entrant.

Lets give them the benefit of the doubt and assume they release BB10 on time and it's close to parity with JB and IOS6. Why would someone who already owns an Iphone or Android switch? Will companies that adopted BYOD policies suddenly go back to mandating Blackberries? If individual users are making the purchasing decisions then RIM's historical strengths such as security become irrelevant.

I'm having a hard time seeing how this turns in their favor even if they succeed in the difficult task of producing a product that would be competitive with IOS6 or JB. There is also the risk that MS will push WP8 aggressively into the enterprise market and gain traction.
 

Doppel

Lifer
Feb 5, 2011
13,306
3
0
You have admitted multiple times I. This tread that you don't know what you are talking about and don't even care to.

How about you try taking the opinion of someone who has actually sat down and used a BB10 device:

http://techcrunch.com/2012/10/11/rim-bb10-video-hands-on/
I said I don't care about BB10. If you need to misrepresent me to make your argument, you've already lost. Try harder, or not at all.

You keep trying, myopically, to argue the tenets of BB10 as if a technical solution alone can atone for years of mismanagement and destructed market share, loss of loyalty, and an increasingly tarnished brand.

Remember Betamax? No, you don't, and yet it was better than VHS. There's more to business than the product. Unfortunately for RIM both their business AND products suck.
 

silverpig

Lifer
Jul 29, 2001
27,703
12
81
I said I don't care about BB10. If you need to misrepresent me to make your argument, you've already lost. Try harder, or not at all.

You keep trying, myopically, to argue the tenets of BB10 as if a technical solution alone can atone for years of mismanagement and destructed market share, loss of loyalty, and an increasingly tarnished brand.

Remember Betamax? No, you don't, and yet it was better than VHS. There's more to business than the product. Unfortunately for RIM both their business AND products suck.

Holy shit dude, they haven't even launched their new product and you say it sucks. They also have a new CEO and just underwent a massive corporate restructuring. They aren't the same company. You are talking betamax and vhs when they have moved on to dvd.
 

Ichinisan

Lifer
Oct 9, 2002
28,298
1,235
136
Holy shit dude, they haven't even launched their new product and you say it sucks. They also have a new CEO and just underwent a massive corporate restructuring. They aren't the same company. You are talking betamax and vhs when they have moved on to dvd.

He's talking about the current company's current products and the current situation.

I think he was pretty clear about that.
 
Sep 29, 2004
18,656
67
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I have seen videos of BB10 and it does look promising, but it just may be too late for RIM. Three years ago they were the incumbent and had a structural advantage in the industry, but now the opposite is true. In the consumer market they should be viewed as a new entrant.

Lets give them the benefit of the doubt and assume they release BB10 on time and it's close to parity with JB and IOS6. Why would someone who already owns an Iphone or Android switch? Will companies that adopted BYOD policies suddenly go back to mandating Blackberries? If individual users are making the purchasing decisions then RIM's historical strengths such as security become irrelevant.

I'm having a hard time seeing how this turns in their favor even if they succeed in the difficult task of producing a product that would be competitive with IOS6 or JB. There is also the risk that MS will push WP8 aggressively into the enterprise market and gain traction.

Why? Because Android is not that good of an OS? I have Android and think it's garbage.

Companies that have gone BYOD would probably include instead of exclude BB10 going forward if people want them.

Can easily turn in their favor in countries where BBs are loved as the economy's expand? There is a reason that the USA is not getting BB10 right off the bat if a simulataneous worldwide release does not happen.
 
Sep 29, 2004
18,656
67
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I said I don't care about BB10. If you need to misrepresent me to make your argument, you've already lost. Try harder, or not at all.

You keep trying, myopically, to argue the tenets of BB10 as if a technical solution alone can atone for years of mismanagement and destructed market share, loss of loyalty, and an increasingly tarnished brand.

Remember Betamax? No, you don't, and yet it was better than VHS. There's more to business than the product. Unfortunately for RIM both their business AND products suck.

Funny, most people that have the BB 7 OS love it. Most people that complain are still using BB5 devices. I wouldn't be so bold as to say that their products suck. If you want ot say that they currently don't have the ecosystem of Android or iOS, that is fair. But it is becoming clear that you are biased.

If BB10 is a better experience that iOS and Android there will be adopters that give it a whirl. All those people that buy a new phone every 6 months for no good reason are on that list.

For a company loosing loyalty, they sure are having fun growing hte subscriber base every quarter, even today.

The co-CEOs are gone. The new CEO is doing a wonderful job. What is his pay by the way? $1 a year or something?

No offense, but none of your thoughts are origianl They all seem to be from various articles you have read. I know this because I've read them to. But I took teh extra step of doing research into countries like India.
 
Sep 29, 2004
18,656
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Every public company works for shareholders.

Oh, now I get it. Not sure how I missed your response to one of my comments. You don't understand the behavior of CEOs at 90%+ of all companies.

PS: I said CEO, not "company". Find me a single person here working for a public company who goes to work in the morning and thinks to themselves that their first thought is "I must work hard for the company today. There are shareholders to make happy".

If you think all CEOs are born without greed and concern for their personal financial situation you are insane.

When CEOs say and do things that make it obvious that they are working for the shareholders, you have:
1) Something rare
2) Something that speaks louder than any financial statement will

On top of this, Prem Watsa sits on the board who is a shining example of someone that is aware that you have a job because of the shareholders. Watsa gets this and so does Thorsten.

PS: I am a value investor that has spent years studying people like Warren Buffet and Charles Munger and Prem Watsa and a few others like Seth Klarman. Not to mention studying some of the company's that they own. WFC and PG and JNJ are valuable companies to learn from. WFC makes it painfully obvious that they are interested in running a company and greed is not part of the equation. I don't need to prove anything about understanding these things. You are starting to make it glaringly obvious that you don't know how good businesses operate.
 
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