Shutdown over?

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sdifox

No Lifer
Sep 30, 2005
99,100
17,447
126
The one thing that did work to cut illegal immigration was the housing bubble collapse. When the jobs dried up, lots of illegal immigrants packed up and went home. So we know that denying jobs to illegal immigrants is an effective method of reducing illegal immigration. Yet nailing employers' asses to the wall never quite makes it into law or policy. I wonder why that is?


How dare you go after job creators!
 

SMOGZINN

Lifer
Jun 17, 2005
14,318
4,587
136
Such "caving" is highly speculative at this point, isn't it?

Of course it is, so is the 2018 elections. We are talking about 'what ifs..' here.
If they cave on DACA, and/or military/domestic parity, how will it effect them in the 2018 election.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,684
136
Of course it is, so is the 2018 elections. We are talking about 'what ifs..' here.
If they cave on DACA, and/or military/domestic parity, how will it effect them in the 2018 election.

Failure to protect the Dreamers would likely have a much stronger impact on the GOP than the Dems. I mean, who's the asshole if it's not accomplished?

The GOP will ultimately have to release the hostages after they extract what ransom they can or suffer the consequences. This weekend shutdown was just a shot across the bow from the Dems.
 

IronWing

No Lifer
Jul 20, 2001
72,176
32,553
136
Failure to protect the Dreamers would likely have a much stronger impact on the GOP than the Dems. I mean, who's the asshole if it's not accomplished?

The GOP will ultimately have to release the hostages after they extract what ransom they can or suffer the consequences. This weekend shutdown was just a shot across the bow from the Dems.
The GOP base wants the dreamers deported and anyone who would consider voting Republican wouldn't give the dreamers a second thought. Screwing the dreamers wouldn't hurt the GOP in the slightest. There is no better bargaining chip than an issue your opponents care about passionately but for which you don't give a flip. Expect the dreamer issue to linger through the 2018 elections.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,684
136
The GOP base wants the dreamers deported and anyone who would consider voting Republican wouldn't give the dreamers a second thought. Screwing the dreamers wouldn't hurt the GOP in the slightest. There is no better bargaining chip than an issue your opponents care about passionately but for which you don't give a flip. Expect the dreamer issue to linger through the 2018 elections.

The GOP knows full well that they can't win on their base alone other than in select locales. Support for the Dreamers is overwhelming & the misfortunes that would befall them would be played upon in devastating fashion, rightfully so. There's a whole bunch of reverse Horatio Alger stories lurking here. Dreamers have success stories- people who have drive & who've worked hard, became educated & successful who'll be devastated losing their legal status. Right on the front page of every major news outlet in the country other than Fox.
 

Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
35,199
9,378
136
Personally, I'm in favor of both the dreamers being protected and the wall. Close the door, but do what we can to assimilate those here. Problem with supporting that is Republicans got burned before in the 80s. They were promised something similar.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,684
136
Personally, I'm in favor of both the dreamers being protected and the wall. Close the door, but do what we can to assimilate those here. Problem with supporting that is Republicans got burned before in the 80s. They were promised something similar.

Their claim to piety is false. The GOP has not made any honest effort to "correct" the claimed deficiencies over the intervening 30 years. They're not making one now. What did they do about it during the Bush years when illegal immigration was strongest? Nothing. The GOP intends to milk the issue for nativist votes & cheap labor as long as they possibly can. They want to keep it nicely fucked up so that they can keep people nicely riled up & irrational.
 
Nov 30, 2006
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389
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Personally, I'm in favor of both the dreamers being protected and the wall. Close the door, but do what we can to assimilate those here. Problem with supporting that is Republicans got burned before in the 80s. They were promised something similar.
I don't understand why opposing the wall is so important to Democrats...so important that that apparently prefer to have DACA fail rather than giving Trump any semblance of victory on this particular campaign promise. The extreme sides from both parties are doing their best to f*ck this up.
 
Nov 30, 2006
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Their claim to piety is false. The GOP has not made any honest effort to "correct" the claimed deficiencies over the intervening 30 years. They're not making one now. What did they do about it during the Bush years when illegal immigration was strongest? Nothing. The GOP intends to milk the issue for nativist votes & cheap labor as long as they possibly can. They want to keep it nicely fucked up so that they can keep people nicely riled up & irrational.
And Democrats did nothing the 2 years they had when in control of Congress and the Presidency. Their claim to piety is false as well.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,684
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I don't understand why opposing the wall is so important to Democrats...so important that that apparently prefer to have DACA fail rather than giving Trump any semblance of victory on this particular campaign promise. The extreme sides from both parties are doing their best to f*ck this up.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/judicial-watch-fbi-cant-trusted-012856828.html

And Dems don't understand why we need it given that the illegal population fell & stabilized nearly 10 years ago. We're clearly doing something right or it wouldn't be that way. That's particularly true when the GOP is sportin' a hard-on for the least fortunate among us. It's diversion of needed funding from better use. Might as well spend the money finding Bigfoot.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,413
54,102
136
Details, details... They only had a filibuster proof majority while Ted Kennedy was alive, anyway, not two years.

Not even then exactly, they had a filibuster proof majority from when Al Franken was seated in July, 2009 through February 2010 when Scott Brown was seated. Even this doesn't capture everything as Ted Kennedy was alive during some of that time but not voting because...well... he was about to die. He died in August but his replacement wasn't seated until September (restoring the 60 vote majority), until February. So really, the Democrats had that filibuster proof majority inconsistently for about six months.

You wouldn't know it from the Republicans' way of doing things, but crafting competent legislation takes time. The idea that Democrats could have passed all their priorities in that time period while still legislating responsibly is ridiculous.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
51,394
43,862
136
Details, details... They only had a filibuster proof majority while Ted Kennedy was alive, anyway, not two years.

Next time this happens they should reset apportionment for the HoR to 250K per rep and admit Puerto Rico/DC as states.
 
Nov 30, 2006
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Uhmm, they tried to pass immigration reform but Republicans filibustered it.
Republicans filibustered it because they were unwilling (and still are) to take action on immigration reform or any other immigration bill until America's borders are secured. If Democrats had included a legitimate border security compromise, the DREAM Act would have passed.
 
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Sunburn74

Diamond Member
Oct 5, 2009
5,076
2,635
136
I don't understand why opposing the wall is so important to Democrats...so important that that apparently prefer to have DACA fail rather than giving Trump any semblance of victory on this particular campaign promise. The extreme sides from both parties are doing their best to f*ck this up.
Why the opposition? The wall is a ridiculous waste of 24 billion USD that as per some studies would slow the transition across the US border of most migrants by 5-10 seconds at maximum. Not to discuss the logistic and legal issues associated, the historical evidence of how walls have worked out in the past when used for this type of issue, the fact that the money could be used in other ways for other more meaningful things, and the fact that there isnt even a basic definition of what type of wall is proposed (we've heard everything from a wall only in philosophy and ideology to a solar paneled layered 100 meter thing spanning from California to Texas)

Currently people tunnel under walls, climb walls, are smuggled in via 18 wheeler trailers or simply come over to visit and just stay.

If you want to have an immigration discussion have an immigration discussion but still least start the discussion with your feet standing in reality.
 
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K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
51,394
43,862
136
Conservatives keep demanding border security and democrats keep giving it to them. Yet Republicans will never sign on the dotted line.

At a certain point one must ponder why.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,413
54,102
136
Republicans filibustered it because they were unwilling (and still are) to take action on immigration reform or any other immigration bill until America's borders are secured. If Democrats included a border security compromise, the DREAM Act would have passed.

It did include additional resources for border security. (also, separate from this legislation border security funding went up about 50% during Obama's term)

Regardless, you've now gone from saying the Democrats 'did nothing' to that the Democrats didn't sufficiently meet the Republicans' demands. Odd how it's always the Democrats' fault each way. If you look back over the last 20 years or so you will see over and over again that Republicans have been the ones who refuse to sign off on immigration reform. (I think you even provided a link previously that showed as much)
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,684
136
Conservatives keep demanding border security and democrats keep giving it to them. Yet Republicans will never sign on the dotted line.

At a certain point one must ponder why.

It keeps the nativists voting for that good ol' trickle down feeling...
 
Nov 30, 2006
15,456
389
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Why the opposition? The wall is a ridiculous waste of 24 billion USD that as per some studies would slow the transition across the US border of most migrants by 5-10 seconds at maximum. Not to discuss the logistic and legal issues associated, the historical evidence of how walls have worked out in the past when used for this type of issue, the fact that the money could be used in other ways for other more meaningful things, and the fact that there isnt even a basic definition of what type of wall is proposed (we've heard everything from a wall only in philosophy and ideology to a solar paneled layered 100 meter thing spanning from California to Texas)

Currently people tunnel under walls, climb walls, are smuggled in via 18 wheeler trailers or simply come over to visit and just stay.

If you want to have an immigration discussion have an immigration discussion but still least start the discussion with your feet standing in reality.
There will be no productive discussion on DACA if the wall is not part of it. Democrats need to give him a bone here or they're wasting their breath trying to get this deal done. It's just that simple.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,413
54,102
136
There will be no productive discussion on DACA if the wall is not part of it. Democrats need to give him a bone here or they're wasting their breath trying to get this deal done. It's just that simple.

While the wall is a deeply, deeply stupid idea DSF is probably right here. Trump runs on ego and in order to get him to behave the way you want you need to do things that flatter that ego. It's basically a question of whether or not we're willing to pay a ransom of that money to be lit on fire in order to give these people legal protection.

Maybe people aren't, which is reasonable. To get a deal done something like that is probably necessary though.
 
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