I'm thinking Q2. Meets the yearly release schedule a lot of these types of companies have. Probably around April
Hardware Unboxed seem to think they won't announce anything to do with desktop ryzen but that makes zero sense to me. It's a long keynote, I doubt they are going to spend it talking about AI and 12nm laptop parts.
Yeah, that wouldn't make much sense. EPYC Zen 2 has already been announced (and I feel like AMD said it was already being used by partners, same with Vega 20. I do expect them to do a big show (basically aping Intel and Nvidia) about their enterprise stuff (EPYC and Vega 20), so I'm not gonna be surprised if they talk that up quite a lot. And I really don't expect much detail (more just announcement) of Zen 2 based Ryzen 3000, and Navi (nothing much concrete, maybe core counts and some "up to" clock speed and performance claims on Ryzen compared to previous Ryzen, and Navi will basically just be "new architecture", and probably that it'll be using GDDR6). Would be disappointing to basically get nothing about either though.
Wasn't he one of the guys specifically trying to debunk Adore's leak? This is where a bunch of kids who haven't worked a real job do the internet version of road rage. Adored tried his best not to call anyone specifically out but has posted video's about tech journalism out for bad practices. They make a big deal so Adored covers his but. Adored supposedly has a source, that source actually matches up kind of well with the made for the fun of it spreadsheet (which may have been an attempt to keep people from wanting to figure out that source when the it went viral). Since then they seem to basically be taking the "If Adored says it, say the opposite". They want ammo to use against Jim, even if it means being wrong 100 times just to say that Jim was wrong once.
There's definitely something fishy going on. I have a hunch that AMD has been intentionally seeding misinformation (I doubt its even targeted at media, and more is to screw up say Intel and Nvidia getting info about what AMD is doing). Guess we'll see.
But, I still don't see how one can reconcile that AMD outright said Vega 20 is not consumer/gaming, that Navi is their first 7nm gaming chip, but that they're going to have some 7nm Vega II. I might be wrong, but I seem to recall AMD told their investors that outright when asked on one of their conference calls. They didn't give much more detail (just that Vega 20 was ahead of schedule and doing well; they didn't give any indication on Navi other than its in development on the way in the future and is 7nm). They haven't said anything about Vega II and I think its been off their roadmaps for over a year. Granted I don't know that they said anything about Polaris 30 (maybe they did, most of the stuff I saw pertained to 7nm and Navi and Vega 20, but I think if they'd have gotten any concreted details on it we'd have heard about it), so that leaves some room.
Plus how all the rumors were 16 core chip but now its suddenly just 12? Which I wouldn't be surprised if AMD did just the 12 core for now - I've even argued it might be smart to just tout higher clocking and reduced power 8 cores for now and then wait for like Computex or when there's an Intel product they'd like to show up, but maybe they want to stay ahead and know the 10 core is coming so they go for 12 now). And then either maybe Computex or when Intel announces or launches the 10 core they drop the 16 core bombshell.
There's a noticeable schism in the rumors and it seems like there's some undercurrent of rivalry or something at play. Caveat emptor! And make decisions based on what actually is there when you go to buy.