It's funny that for all the "economy bad" talk, people are still spending tons of money on discretionary things, and overall spending more eating out than eating in from some of the last Federal Reserve data I saw.
All the available data shows that as a whole, American households are doing fine but they keep shit talking the national economy. Now this is SOP for Repub voters, but it's also spilled over to swing voters and some (D) voters. Not only that, but the "bad vibes" have been incredibly durable until just recently (consumer confidence is creeping up). So the political question is whether Biden's approval ratings will recover in time for November. Repub strategists are no doubt "reading the room," and pivoting to immigration as the fallback option to the economy. There's always this lag effect with the economy and voters; bad news gets absorbed quickly while good news just takes time.
I've enjoyed Vox reporting in the past, and I have no reason to doubt this article. Their premise IMO is that the Biden economy is way better than people say, and at least as good as the Trump economy. So it's horseshit to say they're cherry picking or mis-representing data. The wage growth vs inflation chart comes from the Fed Reserve Bank of Atlanta/US BLS. Is Vox lying?
@dank has asked how did real incomes rise in 2021-2022 when inflation was running hot? Answer: it wasn't.
The personal savings rate is indexed to disposable income. Finally CC debt appears to have gone from about $840B to $1040B in five years. That could just be inflation, but I think most of us know people who are putting more on their credit cards lately than anytime since after the Great Recession. But like you said, this also reinforces that people's consumption actions do not back up their "sky is falling" rhetoric.
To be clear, I'm all for "taking the win" and agree there's no strategic value in talking down the economy. But the challenge for the Biden campaign is to convince swing voters that the economy has been resilient and the Fed has engineered a mythical soft landing. Our policies are simply better for Americans, and a fair part of SOTU was focused on that. Screaming "this is the best economy of my lifetime" hasn't worked so far, and I don't think that's gonna resonate with a lot of people.