Originally posted by: tangent1138
Originally posted by: charrison
With that being said, we are not running out of oil anytime in the near future.
estimates put it at the next 10 to 40 years. i'm not sure about your definition of "near future" but in my lifetime and definitely in my children's lifetime is near future to me.
The problem is that people don't understand the concept of peak oil. it's not when we're at zero that it's a problem. it's as soon as we can't drill the same amount as last year, and it goes down each year after that. that's when countries start fighting for oil. China vs. USA? it's possible. we'll be the biggest oil consumers at that point.
most people: "eh, i'll drive less". driving less is the least of our problems. how about no power because we don't have enough nuclear plants? how about no food because the food is an average of 1500 miles from the suburbs?
this is why we need to find alternate energy sources NOW.
And 10 to 40 year estimates have been around for the last 100 years. And as time has passed technology has allowed us to only increase our known oil reserves. Our known oil reserves have doubled since the oil crunch of the 70s. I am not saying oil is an infinte source, as that would e false. I just dont underestimate out ability to create the energy we need. There will still be large quantities of oil in the ground when we stop using it.
Between more fuel effecient cars(plug in diesel powered hybrids/hydrogen), recycled plastics, nuclear power, coal(liquided/gasififed), tar sands, shale, methane hydrates we are not running out of energy anytime in the near future.