Considering worldwide demand is around 60 million annually right now & Toyota is leading with 8 million cars sold...maaaaaaaaaaaaybe lol. I think a few things are going to happen:
1. Competition is going to heat up over the next few years.
2. Other manufacturers are going to offer better stuff. The Model 3 doesn't even have a heated steering wheel, which is flat-out ridiculous for a $40,000 car. I think we'll see a big focus on luxury interiors to differentiate them from the spartan Tesla interiors. I've driven nearly every Tesla model (still looking for a Roaster 1.0 to test drive!) & while they're nice, they're
super pared down compared to other cars. I'm mean, I'm a human being, and I like creature comforts. Plus, I'm a dude, and I like cool, unnecessary stuff lol - I mean, just check out the Porsche Taycan electric's interior vs. the Model 3's ultra-minimalist interior:
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3. I think LIDAR is going to make a big splash. GM's Super Cruise will be on over 22 vehicles by 2023, which among other things uses LIDAR-mapped road systems, so whether it's used to power the service or used in the car, it's out there now:
The impressive hands-free system is currently only available in the Cadillac lineup.
www.caranddriver.com
The Sierra truck is getting it soon:
In 2004, an award-winning artist performing at the Super Bowl halftime show suffered an accidental wardrobe malfunction. Why did Janet Jackson get blamed?
www.slashgear.com
I really like how the steering wheel lights up green to let you visually KNOW you're in self-driving mode:
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4. Tesla has a tremendous lead in self-driving cars. There are rumors Apple has something up their sleeve. Waymo...who knows. Honestly, I really like the current semi-automated but reliable systems quite a bit. I finally talked my mom into leasing this year, as she doesn't drive a ton of miles, and she got a Rogue that has some legitimately awesome self-driving stuff. I mean, I know Tesla will eventually beat it out, especially with city driving, but reliable adaptive cruise with lane-centering is pretty close to self-driving in practice! Plus the 360-degree camera system is DOPE! I wish Tesla had it (well, I wish Tesla had a HUD too, one can dream!). Ford doesn't have squat on their upcoming Mach-E SUV as far as anything serious self-driving related, given the capabilities. So there's going to be a few years of catch-up here.
My point here is the cost, however. Musk said he's confident they can deliver a $25k car in the next few years. If they can bundle in self-driving with a 300-mile battery for $25k, then yeah, they'll take over the world, because that would be like the new Civic or Corrolla - everyone on the planet would buy one. I'd imagine the current COVID-delivery economic will still be in place, so if they can get the robo-taxi thing going & you can rent out your car to Uber, Walmart, etc. for food & "stuff" deliveries, that would be pretty awesome! Pipe dream right now, but maybe! Haha.