Vega/Navi Rumors (Updated)

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jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
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Source for that blog post? It would make sense they want to wait for Computex to release info on the gaming cards.

Well, considering it's called the "Frontier Edition", and it's being released late June... it doesn't take much thinking to interpret that the consumer cards are coming at least a decent amount later.
 

zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
111,686
31,026
146
Why hasn't the original post been updated to reflect the recent Vega news? Might not be gaming related card news, but then again neither is the Volta threads recently updated news. Not news worthy?

good question. what's truly shocking is that the news can certainly be considered negative for AMD, so one would image that OP would have updated immediately.
 
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zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
111,686
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Well, considering it's called the "Frontier Edition", and it's being released late June... it doesn't take much thinking to interpret that the consumer cards are coming at least a decent amount later.

I believe the "frontier" naming is directed at the market they are targeting with this model, not the release schedule of the Vega line.
 
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Bacon1

Diamond Member
Feb 14, 2016
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Well, considering it's called the "Frontier Edition", and it's being released late June... it doesn't take much thinking to interpret that the consumer cards are coming at least a decent amount later.

So you have no idea and are just guessing. Frontier means they are going into new areas -> Machine Learning.
 

CatMerc

Golden Member
Jul 16, 2016
1,114
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To go out on a limb and speculate a bit here: might AMD be copying the Nvidia playbook even more than we're seeing here? How? I'll get to that in a minute, but here's my reasoning:

Previously, AMD/ATI has been a "gaming first, everything else second, third, or whatever really, we don't care, how about some games?" type of company. Before the Radeon Pro push, the FirePro line saw little adoption compared to Quadro cards, despite being far cheaper. Nvidia has since the Kepler days been pushing "pro-ish" cards (Titans) first on new architectures, and recently relegated the truly pro-level cards to dedicated silicon - due to the use/need for DP compute and the like, which takes up silicon area with no gains for most users.

Now, we see something similar from AMD: A Radeon Pro card being the first from a new architecture, with a somewhat inexplicably large die size (despite having 2x the SPs of an RX470, the die is significantly larger than 2x the 480/470 die - and that's without accounting for the die area savings due to HBM vs. GDDR5). AFAIK, the DP compute rate of Vega hasn't been disclosed, but I'd gather the extra hardware required for packed math does represent at least some of the die size increase, and it would be logical for a pro-level card to target something better than 1:32 DP compute rate - which would explain even more of the large die.

There used to be rumors of two Vega dice, yet in recent months, all we've been hearing of is the one presented to us yesterday in the Vega FE. Would it be entirely crazy to think the other Vega die might be a consumer-focused die, ditching packed math and whatever increased DP compute rate the VFE has, and using the freed-up die space and increased power efficiency to put in more CUs? After all, packed math has near zero value in the consumer space, as does DP compute. If they could push power efficiency to a point where we could have a 5-6000 SP Vega gaming card at tolerable power consumption at <600mm2, that would trounce anything Nvidia has to offer, at least if they can push it to 1500MHz or thereabouts. It would also make sense to launch it later, as a consumer focused "response" to Volta, while in the meantime selling partially disabled Vega ... 10? whatever the VFE has cores as a lower-end (and still reasonably competitive) stopgap until then. After all, it looks like even the VFE is reasonably competitive for gaming.

Of course, again, this is entirely unfounded speculation. But some times, dreaming is fun.
AMD in marketing clearly made a point for FP16 in gaming. There are uses for it, and potential massive performance gains, so I don't see them ditching packed math for a hypothetical consumer die.

As for DP, the original leak that told us most of what we know today about Vega specs say 1:16 DP, which is the same as Fiji and Polaris. So nothing on that front really.
 

jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
16,403
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So you have no idea and are just guessing. Frontier means they are going into new areas -> Machine Learning.

It sounds way too similar to Founders Edition to not be a coincidence. Besides, AT's article pretty much says the same:

As for consumers, while this is as big a change for them as it is for AMD, it’s likely a hallmark of what to expect in the future for new high-end GPU launches. For AMD gamers who have been holding out for Vega, it’s clear that they’ll have to hold out a bit longer. AMD is developing traditional consumer gaming cards as well, but by asking gamers to hold off a little while longer when the Vega FE already isn’t launching until late June, AMD is signaling that we shouldn’t be expecting consumer cards until the second half of the year.
 

Malogeek

Golden Member
Mar 5, 2017
1,390
778
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yaktribe.org
Source for that blog post? It would make sense they want to wait for Computex to release info on the gaming cards.
http://pro.radeon.com/en-us/vega-frontier-edition/

The Radeon Vega Frontier Edition graphics card is going to empower the pioneers creating the next generation of gaming experiences, but it does beg one question: Can you game on a Radeon Vega Frontier Edition? The answer is yes, absolutely. But because this graphics card is optimized for professional use cases (and priced accordingly), if gaming is your primary reason for buying a GPU, I’d suggest waiting just a little while longer for the lower-priced, gaming-optimized Radeon RX Vega graphics card. You’ll be glad you did.
 
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Head1985

Golden Member
Jul 8, 2014
1,867
699
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This is really sad.I am waiting for Vega since GTX1070 launch.I hate GTX1070 but AMD year later still dont have anything i can buy and probably next 3 months wont have(i want aftermarket air cooled vega.Not watercooled or with crap reference blower).This is just so sad.
 

JDG1980

Golden Member
Jul 18, 2013
1,663
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The Radeon Vega Frontier Edition graphics card is going to empower the pioneers creating the next generation of gaming experiences, but it does beg one question: Can you game on a Radeon Vega Frontier Edition? The answer is yes, absolutely. But because this graphics card is optimized for professional use cases (and priced accordingly), if gaming is your primary reason for buying a GPU, I’d suggest waiting just a little while longer for the lower-priced, gaming-optimized Radeon RX Vega graphics card. You’ll be glad you did.

I'm beginning to think that the delay for consumer Vega is not due to HBM yields or anything like that, but driver issues. Everything we've heard indicates that Vega is the biggest architectural change since GCN debuted, basically a new architecture. The subpar results we've seen from various leaked online benchmarks can be explained partially by lower-than-production clock speeds in the test units, but also by the fact that the consumer drivers aren't completely ready. It wouldn't surprise me if, given limited resources, they focused their driver team's attention on the pro parts, which need stability but don't need DX11 optimizations (hence AMD's statement about waiting for gaming-optimized cards). Higher margins, and faster time-to-market. The Frontier Edition drivers are probably already complete or close to it, and I suspect that as we speak the Radeon driver developers are working 80-hour weeks in crunch time trying to wring out the performance they need to be competitive in the consumer gaming arena.
 
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JDG1980

Golden Member
Jul 18, 2013
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Where do you see that I contradict 12.5 TFLOPs/1525 MHz?

There is nothing dead in 1.2 GHz RX Vega GPU rumors.

When was the last time that a professional graphics card was released with a higher clock rate than the corresponding consumer card? It never happens. Professional cards can't be clocked at the bleeding edge because they need to be 100% reliable.

It's possible that we will see a cut-down or low-power version of Vega with a 1.2 GHz clock rate. But we know from AMD's public announcement that the silicon can do >1500 MHz, so there's no way the top gaming Vega SKU will be any less than that. AMD usually pushes their gaming cards as hard as they can. Somewhere in the 1600+ MHz range for the flagship gaming card is more likely.
 

raghu78

Diamond Member
Aug 23, 2012
4,093
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When was the last time that a professional graphics card was released with a higher clock rate than the corresponding consumer card? It never happens. Professional cards can't be clocked at the bleeding edge because they need to be 100% reliable.

It's possible that we will see a cut-down or low-power version of Vega with a 1.2 GHz clock rate. But we know from AMD's public announcement that the silicon can do >1500 MHz, so there's no way the top gaming Vega SKU will be any less than that. AMD usually pushes their gaming cards as hard as they can. Somewhere in the 1600+ MHz range for the flagship gaming card is more likely.

Very true. professional graphics cards are clocked lower than the consumer graphics equivalents. We have seen that in the past with both Nvidia and AMD pro graphics.

Radeon R9 290X - 1000 Mhz

http://www.anandtech.com/show/7457/the-radeon-r9-290x-review

Firepro W9100 - 930 Mhz

http://www.anandtech.com/show/7927/amd-launches-firepro-w9100

I expect Radeon RX Vega to be clocked around 75-100 Mhz higher than the Frontier Edition cards. So if Frontier edition is clocked at 1550-1575 Mhz then I expect the fastest RX Vega to clock around 1625-1650 Mhz.
 

Paratus

Lifer
Jun 4, 2004
17,483
15,469
146
A couple of interesting things

  • The Instinct was set at 12.5TF which gives a 1525mhz clock speed
  • The FE is 13TF which gives ~1600mhz
  • The FE has a pixel film rate of 90Gpix/s which if we assume 64 ROPS has a clockspeed around 1400mhz
So does the FE have a core clock of 1400mhz and boost of 1600?

Is the Instinct boost clock lower due to being a more professional card or did the chips comeback better than expected so they bumped the clockspeed up. Or maybe they are pushing the FE faster to try and keep up with NV and that's why some card show 8+8 pin and older pics of the cards had 8+6pin power?

Enquiring Minds....
 

raghu78

Diamond Member
Aug 23, 2012
4,093
1,475
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One of the keys points to keep in mind is Radeon Instinct GPUs are passively cooled by the chassis fans found in the servers. So obviously they will be clocked lower than the Vega FE which has a blower type cooler. Moreover 4-8 Radeon Instinct GPUs will be packed in a single Naples server so that makes the TDP requirements even more stringent on the Radeon Instinct. Vega FE will be sold in workstations in a single or dual GPU configuration. Given these clock speeds for Vega Instinct and Vega FE I think we are going to see RX Vega clock closer to 1700 Mhz.
 
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Paratus

Lifer
Jun 4, 2004
17,483
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146
One of the keys points to keep in mind is Radeon Instinct GPUs are passively cooled by the chassis fans found in the servers. So obviously they will be clocked lower than the Vega FE which has a blower type cooler. Moreover 4-8 Radeon Instinct GPUs will be packed in a single Naples server so that makes the TDP requirements even more stringent on the Radeon Instinct. Vega FE will be sold in workstations in a single or dual GPU configuration. Given these clock speeds for Vega Instinct and Vega FE I think we are going to see RX Vega clock closer to 1700 Mhz.
That's a good point.
 

zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
111,686
31,026
146
Lots of good points, last several posts.

Only reminds me that yesterday was day 1 of "another 2-3 months" before we can reasonably expect to see RX Vega... eg.: day 1 of another 2-3 months of forum speculating and bickering back and forth with scant hard data to bicker about.
 

raghu78

Diamond Member
Aug 23, 2012
4,093
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Lots of good points, last several posts.

Only reminds me that yesterday was day 1 of "another 2-3 months" before we can reasonably expect to see RX Vega... eg.: day 1 of another 2-3 months of forum speculating and bickering back and forth with scant hard data to bicker about.

RX Vega will probably launch sometime in July. so yeah we are looking of 2 more months of wait. AMD has a problem going forward because Nvidia is moving at a furious pace with their GPU generations which are now 18-24 months apart and use intermediate nodes like 12FFN. AMD do not have the resources to launch entire GPU stacks between major nodes like 14nm and 7nm . The key is going to be AMD's Navi generation at 7nm. If AMD can have a competitive GPU architecture and launch a full stack of GPUs based on 3 chips like they did with original GCN based HD 7000 series then they might be able to slowly get back to a sustainable long term market share of 35-40%. 2018 will be difficult for AMD against Volta with GDDR6. We could see a repeat of the Maxwell generation in terms of Nvidia getting to 80+% market share.
 

Paratus

Lifer
Jun 4, 2004
17,483
15,469
146
RX Vega will probably launch sometime in July. so yeah we are looking of 2 more months of wait. AMD has a problem going forward because Nvidia is moving at a furious pace with their GPU generations which are now 18-24 months apart and use intermediate nodes like 12FFN. AMD do not have the resources to launch entire GPU stacks between major nodes like 14nm and 7nm . The key is going to be AMD's Navi generation at 7nm. If AMD can have a competitive GPU architecture and launch a full stack of GPUs based on 3 chips like they did with original GCN based HD 7000 series then they might be able to slowly get back to a sustainable long term market share of 35-40%. 2018 will be difficult for AMD against Volta with GDDR6. We could see a repeat of the Maxwell generation in terms of Nvidia getting to 80+% market share.
It's doubly tough for AMD. Not only did they have to rebuild their CPU architecture from scratch and their GPU architecture mostly from scratch but they are also rebuilding the business at the same time.

Oh and using the arguably inferior GloFlo.
 

zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
111,686
31,026
146
RX Vega will probably launch sometime in July. so yeah we are looking of 2 more months of wait. AMD has a problem going forward because Nvidia is moving at a furious pace with their GPU generations which are now 18-24 months apart and use intermediate nodes like 12FFN. AMD do not have the resources to launch entire GPU stacks between major nodes like 14nm and 7nm . The key is going to be AMD's Navi generation at 7nm. If AMD can have a competitive GPU architecture and launch a full stack of GPUs based on 3 chips like they did with original GCN based HD 7000 series then they might be able to slowly get back to a sustainable long term market share of 35-40%. 2018 will be difficult for AMD against Volta with GDDR6. We could see a repeat of the Maxwell generation in terms of Nvidia getting to 80+% market share.

but Navi is 7nm and still scheduled for mid-late 2018, no? From what it looks like, nVidia is planning to ride through 2018 with Volta, and probably into mid 2019? (consumer VOlta can only be Q1 2018, I imagine). So at least AMD will have a solid leap with 7nm while nVidia is stuck on 12nm for about a year...or is "Volta 2" or whatever scheduled to have a 7nm die out by end of 2018?

I'm still pretty positive with what Vega will be, because it has a lot of those goodies that nVidia has been coasting with for the last several years, so this should provide good cushion for AMD, because you know the performance will be there. Vega > Navi is the big part of Raja's plan, isn't it, with Navi being his baby? Polaris hit its segment pricewise and performance-wise really well, and I don't see any reason that Vega won't, either, but added to the efficiency gains that nVidia has already seen with Maxwell and Pascal, I bet Vega will still slot as a great performer where it needs to, and at a great value for the year or so that it needs to.
 
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zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
111,686
31,026
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It's doubly tough for AMD. Not only did they have to rebuild their CPU architecture from scratch and their GPU architecture mostly from scratch but they are also rebuilding the business at the same time.

Oh and using the arguably inferior GloFlo.

which, imm, makes their gains this last year all the more impressive (tech and finances/company health and efficiency). Those folks have been hitting on all cylinders (the ones that they have, anyway ) and punching well above their resources. It's really quite admirable.
 

OatisCampbell

Senior member
Jun 26, 2013
302
83
101
Jesus more than year later than pascal and probably only with crap reference cooler and another 2 months for good aftermarket cards...
Sigh.
Well, at least this will end the "It's only a few weeks, wait for Vega posts".
:-|
AMDs stars don't appear to be lining up lately, except with the Ryzen miracle launch.
 

Paratus

Lifer
Jun 4, 2004
17,483
15,469
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The card Raja held up on stage was only 8+6 as some people pointed out, I went back and got a screenshot of it:


Curiouser and curiouser.

Maybe power will be well under control.

I could see blower model 8+6 and water cooled 8+8.
 
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tamz_msc

Diamond Member
Jan 5, 2017
3,865
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AMD has departed significantly from the 1-2 year product cycles that NVIDIA has been executing since the first gen GCN.
It doesn't matter if their products are one year late compared to NVIDIA - the cadence is fundamentally different. Those who feel disappointed that AMD is only aiming for performance parity with year old NVIDIA products should have seen it coming. This is like the situation with CPUs and Intel, but something like Zen is impossible for AMD to do with respect to GPUs because unlike Intel, NVIDIA does not rest on its laurels and is relentless at pushing new architectures.

Having said that, my bet on why AMD is intentionally vague regarding gaming Vega is due to drivers.
 

IllogicalGlory

Senior member
Mar 8, 2013
934
346
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but Navi is 7nm and still scheduled for mid-late 2018, no? From what it looks like, nVidia is planning to ride through 2018 with Volta, and probably into mid 2019? (consumer VOlta can only be Q1 2018, I imagine). So at least AMD will have a solid leap with 7nm while nVidia is stuck on 12nm for about a year...or is "Volta 2" or whatever scheduled to have a 7nm die out by end of 2018?
They're still going to be using Vega in 2018. It was in the presentation yesterday (their GPU stack in 2018 did not include Navi) and on the leaked slides in the OP of this thread.

Although it is Vega on 7nm so your point may still stand.
 

Samwell

Senior member
May 10, 2015
225
47
101
There is no vega at 7nm, Vega ist 14nm/14nm+. 7nm is Navi and don't expect it to launch in 2018. I don't believe GF will be able to produce GPUs before the end of 2018 with launch early 2019.
But it's interesting, that they seem to make vega on 2 different processes. Probably Vega 20 is coming in 14nm+. Although i wouldn't expect too much of it, it'll be more like 12FFN Nvidia is using.


http://wccftech.com/amd-unveils-long-term-gpu-roadmap-confirms-navi-7nm-based/

But is 14nm+ the same process as RX580 is using, as it already has a better version of 14nm. Would be strange for vega not to use the process improvements of polaris. Or do they call the vega10/polaris improved process still 14nm and 14nm+ will be a bit bigger jump. This names in the foundy industry nowadays are just confusing.
 
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