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Rakehellion

Lifer
Jan 15, 2013
12,181
35
91
Also: see above, the Euro being cut by up to 80% in some Cyprus accounts. I guess we can add the euro to your list of volatile currency. Where does that leave the world economy?

Nice slippery slope there.

Cyprus has the population of San Jose, California. This fiasco did not significantly change the value of the Euro or the world economy anymore than some nerd whining about the value of Bitcoin will drag it out of this slump.
 

Rakehellion

Lifer
Jan 15, 2013
12,181
35
91
Yes you can.

https://www.bitcoinstore.com/

That $93,000 in sales says you are wrong.

Compared to the quadrillions that are invested in stable currencies. Hell, my checking account has more than that.

Oh, and will you look at the sidebar in your link, the prices are in USD and converted to Bitcoin dynamically just like every other business out there that takes Bitcoins. Well, there goes your theory.
 

Rakehellion

Lifer
Jan 15, 2013
12,181
35
91
And how will you know this exactly? I'm sure a lot of people said that too before this crash. It's easy to say "oh there will be more ups and down and I just need to sell it before it tanks", but actually timing it right is damn near impossible.

Well, when you look at the charts, try to get out before the line graph hits a 60 degree angle.
 

Doppel

Lifer
Feb 5, 2011
13,306
3
0
To be fair, I bought a dozen bitcoins for novelty not long ago for a little over $20 ea. I don't follow the price at all or anything bitcoin in general but a little over a week ago I saw some article or blog that had something to do with bitcoins and I remembered the ones I had. Checked the price and immediately sold out at around $140 ea. It was a very good thing that I didn't check the price in between because I would have sold for way lower to lock in the profits.

I guess my point is, while it definitely shows that its an absurdly volatile "currency" it is (at least currently) well above what it was at the beginning of the year when I originally bought those few. People actually day trading them who lost a ton of actual money, well thats the risk of day trading anything. If I would have held on to mine they would still be worth over double what I paid.
Heck it may not even be a bad idea to buy some now. The bitcon-faithful are still spamming the internet about it and there is a good chance it can go up.

It's absolutely not ever going to be a valid currency, but the pyramid probably hasn't crumbled yet.
 

lxskllr

No Lifer
Nov 30, 2004
59,243
9,750
126
It's absolutely not ever going to be a valid currency, but the pyramid probably hasn't crumbled yet.

There is no pyramid. Because people use tools inappropriately doesn't invalidate the tool. Chainsaws, guns, and cars are all useful tools despite the dumbasses that fuck themselves up with them, and so is bitcoin.
 

Doppel

Lifer
Feb 5, 2011
13,306
3
0
There is no pyramid. Because people use tools inappropriately doesn't invalidate the tool. Chainsaws, guns, and cars are all useful tools despite the dumbasses that fuck themselves up with them, and so is bitcoin.
Phokus posted a number of articles debunking this as a currency. They echo what most of us have been saying. It is a pyramid, of course.
 

Doppel

Lifer
Feb 5, 2011
13,306
3
0
Oh god, just look at the comments on that article. Bitcoin pushers are so scammy.
They are the equivalent of Paulbots. I guaran-damn-tee you that Bitcoin owners are, as a whole, more likely to support Ron Paul than the average person. Like Paulbots they spam the net to represent themselves as bigger than they really are. And via this spam they pull new acolytes into the fold. It's effective, we have some of them here. I think there is probably still money to be made from suckers running this up, though I won't personally risk it. I doubt the pyramid is built yet, though. Lots of suckers still to come in and max out their credit cards buying bitcoins.
 

Miramonti

Lifer
Aug 26, 2000
28,653
100
106
Well, when you look at the charts, try to get out before the line graph hits a 60 degree angle.

And if it's not 60 degrees, just adjust the x/y axis to create the appropriate angle to bring on an intense need to sell.

Reports of bitcoins death are greatly exaggerated. Current price back up over $100.
 

Charles Kozierok

Elite Member
May 14, 2012
6,762
1
0
Chainsaws, guns, and cars are all useful tools despite the dumbasses that fuck themselves up with them, and so is bitcoin.

Chainsaws, guns and cars are useful tools because you can actually do something useful with them.

Near as I can tell, the only thing that ever gave bitcoins value was the Greater Fool Theory.
 

Doppel

Lifer
Feb 5, 2011
13,306
3
0
Chainsaws, guns and cars are useful tools because you can actually do something useful with them.

Near as I can tell, the only thing that ever gave bitcoins value was the Greater Fool Theory.
I think it must be one of the purest pyramid schemes ever created. Even more than tulips, as they have innate value.

Anyway! Enough of this bitcoin stuff, who's in with litecoins? Get in early, folks!
 

irishScott

Lifer
Oct 10, 2006
21,562
3
0
They are the equivalent of Paulbots. I guaran-damn-tee you that Bitcoin owners are, as a whole, more likely to support Ron Paul than the average person. Like Paulbots they spam the net to represent themselves as bigger than they really are. And via this spam they pull new acolytes into the fold. It's effective, we have some of them here. I think there is probably still money to be made from suckers running this up, though I won't personally risk it. I doubt the pyramid is built yet, though. Lots of suckers still to come in and max out their credit cards buying bitcoins.

Oh look, a conspiracy theorist.

There is no bitcoin pyramid. Could someone conduct a pyramid scheme with bitcoins? Of course, but I'm pretty sure a lot of commission-based "insurance sales companies" operate in US dollars.

I can guarantee no one but me is making money off of my bitcoin mining, but then again I'm not stupid enough to treat bitcoins as a commodity.

I think what's happening to bitcoin right now could actually be good. Scare off the "investors" so bitcoin can relatively stabilize and get back to being a currency.
 
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irishScott

Lifer
Oct 10, 2006
21,562
3
0
I think it must be one of the purest pyramid schemes ever created. Even more than tulips, as they have innate value.

Anyway! Enough of this bitcoin stuff, who's in with litecoins? Get in early, folks!

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pyramid_scheme

A pyramid scheme is a non-sustainable business model that involves promising participants payment or services, primarily for enrolling other people into the scheme, rather than supplying any real investment or sale of products or services to the public.

And that describes bitcoin... how?
 

lxskllr

No Lifer
Nov 30, 2004
59,243
9,750
126
Chainsaws, guns and cars are useful tools because you can actually do something useful with them.

Near as I can tell, the only thing that ever gave bitcoins value was the Greater Fool Theory.

There's tons of useful things that can be done with bitcoin. You don't hear about them because it takes too much thought, with deeper concepts than 'gimme MORE money'. It also isn't especially exciting, so websites don't get the button clicks for the almighty ad dollars. You get the circus show as you do with all news these days. Sensationalist news for the tl;dr crowd.

Edit:
I accidentally a word
 
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Miramonti

Lifer
Aug 26, 2000
28,653
100
106
We need a financial organization with legitimacy and credibility to govern and regulate bitcoins as a currency, someone like the Federal Reserve or IMF...
 

irishScott

Lifer
Oct 10, 2006
21,562
3
0
There's tons of useful things that can be done with bitcoin. You don't hear about them because it takes too much thought, with deeper concepts 'gimme MORE money'. It also isn't especially exciting, so websites don't get the button clicks for the almighty ad dollars. You get the circus show as you do with all news these days. Sensationalist news for the tl;dr crowd.

This. People saw bitcoin's value naturally rising, decided to make a get-rich-quick scheme out of it, over-invested, got burned, and now it's normalizing.

But don't tell anyone that. ZOMG BITCOIN VALUE IN FREE-FALL! THOUSANDS [of idiots] LOSE MONEY! MAN LOSES ENTIRE LIFE SAVINGS, WILL HIS FAMILY MAKE IT?

It's funny that the people who actually use bitcoin as a currency don't seem to give much of a shit. And that segment, although stalled for the moment, is slowly growing.

I do love that this is hurting the big-time miners who bought the multi-thousand dollar ASICs though. A lot of them aren't going to make back their initial investment anytime soon.
 
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Doppel

Lifer
Feb 5, 2011
13,306
3
0
Oh look, a conspiracy theorist.

There is no bitcoin pyramid. Could someone conduct a pyramid scheme with bitcoins? Of course, but I'm pretty sure a lot of commission-based "insurance sales companies" operate in US dollars.

I can guarantee no one but me is making money off of my bitcoin mining, but then again I'm not stupid enough to treat bitcoins as a commodity.

I think what's happening to bitcoin right now could actually be good. Scare off the "investors" so bitcoin can relatively stabilize and get back to being a currency.
No conspiracy. It was a choice of words. I don't think the pyramid building is over. Eventually it will be and the suckers left on the bottom will do what suckers do, which is suck.

I know you're smart so it makes me sad to read that potentially you see bitcoin as a viable currency (?)...despite multiple articles posted just today on some econ sights laughing outwardly at the notion. See Phokus' links from this afternoon.
And that describes bitcoin... how?
Generally, those in early win by the inclusion of more people. And at some point everybody figures out hey this sucks, and if you got in on the bottom you get screwed. That's bitcoins. People with bitcoins tell others how great it is, those in early see the value of their bitcoins rise.
 

LegendKiller

Lifer
Mar 5, 2001
18,256
68
86

So do you get paid in 1900 dollars?

Also, quit repeating that the "Euro" declined by 20%, it didn't. The Euro didn't decline by anything as a result of Cyprus (at least not materially). Nor is there a Cyprus euro. There is just a Euro.

Now, if you want to say that Cypriots took a haircut to bail-in the banks, I will agree with that. It's no more different than debt holders (which is what a depositor effectively is) being mostly wiped out and having the rest of their money turned into equity above 100k.
 

irishScott

Lifer
Oct 10, 2006
21,562
3
0
No conspiracy. It was a choice of words. I don't think the pyramid building is over. Eventually it will be and the suckers left on the bottom will do what suckers do, which is suck.

I know you're smart so it makes me sad to read that potentially you see bitcoin as a viable currency (?)...despite multiple articles posted just today on some econ sights laughing outwardly at the notion. See Phokus' links from this afternoon.Generally, those in early win by the inclusion of more people. And at some point everybody figures out hey this sucks, and if you got in on the bottom you get screwed. That's bitcoins. People with bitcoins tell others how great it is, those in early see the value of their bitcoins rise.

I haven't read all of those articles, but I've read some, including a slate article that blatantly calls Bitcoin a ponzi scheme, and I think they're all missing the point. In typical media fashion they're running to the extremes. BITCOIN WILL NEVER EVEN COME CLOSE TO STATE-REGULATED CURRENCIES! Well no shit, and a Honda civic is unlikely to win any NASCAR races. Why does it have to again?

So long as people accept it for use in transactions, it has value. I see bitcoin having a future as a virtually unregulated international transfer mechanism, and that alone can have vast repercussions beyond the financial world.

What I see happening is people treating bitcoin as a commodity continually getting burned, hopefully earning it a bad enough reputation as a commodity such that people will stop and the value will eventually stabilize enough for it to be a viable alternative, if niche currency.

At the very least, it's spurred discussion of unregulated online currency, and has already spawned several derivatives with their own spin already.
 

Chiropteran

Diamond Member
Nov 14, 2003
9,811
110
106
It's no more different than debt holders (which is what a depositor effectively is) being mostly wiped out and having the rest of their money turned into equity above 100k.

Try to spin it if you want, but the end result is the same. Bitcoin weekly inflation comes crashing down and bitcoin loses 60% of it's value, Cyprus banks steal 80% of your deposits- same end result, you lost money value. The difference is that the bitcoin crash was caused by market forces with no special privileged or powers, while the Euro situation was decided by the governments involved.

Pick your poison. If you want to be under the thumb of oppressive governments, it's your choice.

Cyprus has the population of San Jose, California. This fiasco did not significantly change the value of the Euro or the world economy anymore than some nerd whining about the value of Bitcoin will drag it out of this slump.

Wrong. The precedent has been made. The world doesn't always move at internet speed, but everyone everywhere with significant Euro savings is thinking about what happened in Cyprus and wondering if the same could happen to them.

So do you get paid in 1900 dollars?

No, but I also didn't buy my bitcoin 2 days ago at maximum possible value. Less than two weeks ago, bitcoin was crossing the $100/BTC barrier for the first time ever. So what if it crashed? It's now back at $115. Except for tiny fraction of investors chasing the recent gains, value has been steadily increasing.

Taken as a whole, bitcoin has historically gained a fairly smooth 10X of value per year for the last 4 years. Taking the extreme bumps, you see higher growth followed by crashes, but after the crash has settled out the previous level of growth continues. While 10X per year will not continue forever, bitcoin is far from market saturation and I expect it to continue to grow at some rate.

Taken as a whole, the USD has been in steady decline for a century. I don't expect this to change significantly either.
 
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