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Phokus

Lifer
Nov 20, 1999
22,994
779
126
bitcoin is good for people, based on all the reasons listed in my post. if it is not currently a good currency because it is volatile, so what? it can be used for it's intended purpose just fine despite the volatility.

Also: see above, the Euro being cut by up to 80% in some Cyprus accounts. I guess we can add the euro to your list of volatile currency. Where does that leave the world economy?

Believe it or not there are more currencies than just the Euro. Again, the Euro is a poor currency because it locks every country into the currency and no country has independence over their own currency. It acts very much like a gold standard. The USD is a stable currency, UNLIKE BITCOIN. Unstable currencies are bad for both consumers AND businesses. How do you even plan business around such wild fluctuations? You can't!
 

Phokus

Lifer
Nov 20, 1999
22,994
779
126
A couple years back I saw an image that had four circles. The middle one was bitcoins and the others partially intersected with it, like ignorant of currencies or whatever, with bitcoin overlapping all these shortcomings. Can anybody remember that?

Google image 'bitcoin venn diagram'.
 

Chiropteran

Diamond Member
Nov 14, 2003
9,811
110
106
How do you even plan business around such wild fluctuations? You can't!

Yes you can.

https://www.bitcoinstore.com/

That $93,000 in sales says you are wrong.

Believe it or not there are more currencies than just the Euro. Again, the Euro is a poor currency because it locks every country into the currency and no country has independence over their own currency.


Huh?

The USD is a poor currency because it locks every state into the currency and no state has independence over the currency.
 
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randomrogue

Diamond Member
Jan 15, 2011
5,449
0
0
Unless they peg this to gold it's useless. You can't just have something like this where one person can come in, buy a billion dollars worth, watch it skyrocket, and then dump it.
 

Phokus

Lifer
Nov 20, 1999
22,994
779
126
Yes you can.

https://www.bitcoinstore.com/

That $93,000 in sales says you are wrong.

Are you fucking serious? 93,000 is NOTHING. Good lord you're delusional.



Huh?

The USD is a poor currency because it locks every state into the currency and no state has independence over the currency.

Except the problem with the Euro was that the European union is a monetary union but not a fiscal union. The US is both a monetary AND fiscal union.

You don't know what you're talking about.
 

randomrogue

Diamond Member
Jan 15, 2011
5,449
0
0
The United States is a country that uses the Dollar. They have the power to print more money.

The Euro is a monetary union where each country has no power over their own currency. They cannot print more Euros.

Huge difference.
 

Mxylplyx

Diamond Member
Mar 21, 2007
4,197
101
106
Lets assume I worked at the NYSE, and I created a stock symbol in their computer system with no actual company or commodity behind it, and just let people trade on it with real money. There are no press releases, reported earnings, etc to provide any kind of underlying value to the stock. How is bitcoin different than this?
 

KeithTalent

Elite Member | Administrator | No Lifer
Administrator
Nov 30, 2005
50,231
118
116
The Winkelvi must be freaking out!

KT
 
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Chiropteran

Diamond Member
Nov 14, 2003
9,811
110
106
Are you fucking serious? 93,000 is NOTHING. Good lord you're delusional.

Okay, now you have just gone past the point of logic. I'll do whatever you want in this thread, including calling you a monetary genius, for $90,000. Since $93,000 is nothing I'm sure this is a wonderful deal for you. Pay up or shut up.

Also: that is $93,000 for 12 days. This is a company that started up a few months ago, and holds no inventory. Doesn't seem bad to me. Care to share your company invoices proving you make more sales?


Except the problem with the Euro was that the European union is a monetary union but not a fiscal union. The US is both a monetary AND fiscal union.

You don't know what you're talking about.

A few hours ago you said "the Euro is a poor currency because it locks every country into the currency and no country has independence over their own currency."

Now you are backpedaling already? What is the point of even talking to you if you change your mind by the hour?

http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2013/04/exchange-rates?fsrc=rss

I'm going to play the pedant and note that this isn't quite right. The dollar is one of history's most successful currencies, I think it's fair to say, and yet it, like virtually every floating currency, is prone to wild volatility. In the late 1990s, the trade-weighted dollar soared nearly 50%. It then turned on a dime, dropping 30%. Then, in a matter of weeks in late 2008 it jumped nearly 20%. Once again, that's the trade-weighted dollar, not an individual currency pair (which can be much more crazily volatile).

Proof you are completely wrong on all counts

Wild volatility does not disqualify a currency from being successful, QED.

The United States is a country that uses the Dollar. They have the power to print more money.

The Euro is a monetary union where each country has no power over their own currency. They cannot print more Euros.

Huge difference.

No European nation can print more euros. No US state can print more USD. Zero difference.
 
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Chiropteran

Diamond Member
Nov 14, 2003
9,811
110
106
Lets assume I worked at the NYSE, and I created a stock symbol in their computer system with no actual company or commodity behind it, and just let people trade on it with real money. There are no press releases, reported earnings, etc to provide any kind of underlying value to the stock. How is bitcoin different than this?

Nobody starts the game with any bitcoin. Bitcoin are distributed based on doing work which secures the network, called "bitcoin mining".

In your scenario, you begin with all the currency, and you have complete control over it. There is no reason to trust you, and no work was done to earn your fake currency.

In the USD scenario, you begin with a currency backed by gold, and then change the law and remove the gold backing. For good measure, confiscate all the gold people were hording as well. Now your currency is backed by nothing, but since nothing better has come along and because you have the most powerful military on the planet it will work out. Kinda- as long as you ignore the trillions of debt.
 

Phokus

Lifer
Nov 20, 1999
22,994
779
126
Okay, now you have just gone past the point of logic. I'll do whatever you want in this thread, including calling you a monetary genius, for $90,000. Since $93,000 is nothing I'm sure this is a wonderful deal for you. Pay up or shut up.

Also: that is $93,000 for 12 days. This is a company that started up a few months ago, and holds no inventory. Doesn't seem bad to me. Care to share your company invoices proving you make more sales?

In the grand scheme of things, it's nothing. Try organizing a several trillion dollar economy around bitcoin and see what happens. Answer: The economy will crash because it's deflationary.



A few hours ago you said "the Euro is a poor currency because it locks every country into the currency and no country has independence over their own currency."

Now you are backpedaling already? What is the point of even talking to you if you change your mind by the hour?

What i'm a backpeddling on? Show me where i backpeddled. THEY DON'T have independence over their own currency. THAT'S WHAT A MONETARY UNION IS.

http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2013/04/exchange-rates?fsrc=rss



Proof you are completely wrong on all counts

Wild volatility does not disqualify a currency from being successful, QED.

I can post articles too. Proof you're completely wrong on all counts:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-04-11/bitcoin-s-wild-ride-shows-its-not-real-money.html

http://news.yahoo.com/todays-bitcoin-crash-shows-why-not-really-currency-212335143.html

http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2013/04/bitcoin-is-no-longer-a-currency/274859/

http://www.businessinsider.com/bitcoins-have-no-value-2013-4

http://pandodaily.com/2013/04/10/great-now-engineers-think-that-they-are-economists-too-2/
 
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Chiropteran

Diamond Member
Nov 14, 2003
9,811
110
106
In the grand scheme of things, it's nothing. Try organizing a several trillion dollar economy around bitcoin and see what happens. Answer: The economy will crash because it's deflationary.

No deflationary currency has ever failed as you describe, ever.

Theory and reality differ sometimes, especially when the one giving the theory is paid to keep the status quo.

What i'm a backpeddling on? Show me where i backpeddled. THEY DON'T have independence over their own currency. THAT'S WHAT A MONETARY UNION IS.

Which US states have the right to print USD?

None of them. Quit posting lies.


I can post articles too. Proof you're completely wrong on all counts:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-04-11/bitcoin-s-wild-ride-shows-its-not-real-money.html

LOL, that one is a real winner.

"Matthew Zeitlin shows he has no idea what real money is with the title of this article... it needs to be clearly understood that the recent drop in price is completely irrelevant to the working of bitcoin. The community who built and invested in bitcoin since before the recent rise in the exchange rate will go on improving the software. It is the protocol and services that are offered which provide the real value... in other words, the value is in the code not the market...Sooner or later people will figure out that the bitcoin network and the bitcoin exchanges are two separate things."

"No, this article shows you don't understand what money is. But that can be rectified, http://mises.org/money.asp"

"Of course, one must keep in mind that the paper US dollar has lost 98.7% of its value relative to the value of its former gold backing, so bitcoin's volatility in terms of these paper dollars is not exactly a ringing endorsement of our existing global reserve currency and all the derivative paper currencies around the world that rely upon it. The fact that anyone is willing to put up with bitcoin's numerous shortcomings at all is a disturbing sign of just how dysfunctional the existing dollar/euro/yen/yuan regime has become."

Even his own readers know he is talking BS through the whole article.
 
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Phokus

Lifer
Nov 20, 1999
22,994
779
126
No deflationary currency has ever failed as you describe, ever.

Theory and reality differ sometimes, especially when the one giving the theory is paid to keep the status quo.

lol, just look at the great depression, the countries that got out of the depression the quickest were the ones that dropped the gold standard the fastest.

Deflationary currencies encourage hoarding, discourage taking out loans, and thus discourage economic expansion. Basic macro econ 101.


Which US states have the right to print USD?

None of them. Quit posting lies.

lol, you still don't get it. The US is both a monetary AND Fiscal union. We share the same culture, the same language, and most importantly, we get taxed by the same federal government and the government spends its money on all 50 states. This is not what the European Union does. Why don't you drill deeper and say that no town or city can print their own money? That's just as worthless a statement as the one you made.

Again: You are unqualified to talk about economic matters.
 

Chiropteran

Diamond Member
Nov 14, 2003
9,811
110
106
lol, just look at the great depression, the countries that got out of the depression the quickest were the ones that dropped the gold standard the fastest.

Deflationary currencies encourage hoarding, discourage taking out loans, and thus discourage economic expansion. Basic macro econ 101.

Yeah, printing a ton of money with no backing got us out of a depression, temporarily. And it also created a lot of debt. What are the going to do for this depression, with the debt limit as it is? Print more money? Going to an inflationary money was just a way to turn the problem into debt and let a future generation deal with it.

lol, you still don't get it. The US is both a monetary AND Fiscal union. We share the same culture, the same language, and most importantly, we get taxed by the same federal government and the government spends its money on all 50 states. This is not what the European Union does.

I don't get your point. Language, culture, WTF are trying to say?

Are you trying to say that a difference of culture or language justifies THEFT of money?



Why don't you drill deeper and say that no town or city can print their own money? That's just as worthless a statement as the one you made.

Earlier you implied the problem was that Cyprus can't print it's own money. Well, neither can Texas or Arkansas. What is the difference, please tell me oh great one.

Again: You are unqualified to talk about economic matters.

What exactly makes you qualified? Do you have any credentials you can actually prove?
 

Phokus

Lifer
Nov 20, 1999
22,994
779
126
Good lord. Your post is so facepalm worthy, i don't even know where to begin.

Yeah, printing a ton of money with no backing got us out of a depression, temporarily. And it also created a lot of debt. What are the going to do for this depression, with the debt limit as it is? Print more money? Going to an inflationary money was just a way to turn the problem into debt and let a future generation deal with it.

Temporarily? We had one of the greatest economic expansions after the great depression. It's like you're living in an alternate reality.

The funny thing is, if we went your way, our debt problem would be worse, because our debts are in nominal dollars and if you had your way, we'd be fucked even worse if we had deflation. It would cost MORE to pay back our debts.


I don't get your point. Language, culture, WTF are trying to say?

That's because you intentionally the most important part what i posted: "most importantly, we get taxed by the same federal government and the government spends its money on all 50 states"

Are you trying to say that a difference of culture or language justifies THEFT of money?

lol. Who the fuck cares if the currency inflates. You do realize that even if things cost more in nominal dollars, you also earn more in nominal dollars too.


Earlier you implied the problem was that Cyprus can't print it's own money. Well, neither can Texas or Arkansas. What is the difference, please tell me oh great one.

The problem is you're intentionally not listening. Cyprus is constrained by the fact that they are part of a monetary union, NOT a fiscal union. Texas and Arkansas is part of BOTH a monetary union AND fiscal union.


What exactly makes you qualified? Do you have any credentials you can actually prove?

I read lots about economics and i don't cheerlead dumb austrian/libertarian economics and i don't 'invest' in ron paul fun bux like you do. In a relative sense, i'm way overqualified.
 

Doppel

Lifer
Feb 5, 2011
13,306
3
0
Phokus, thanks--I had forgotten they were called venn diagrams.

momeNt re. Deflationary Spiral
You know that really doesn't apply to something like bitcoin right?
<snip>

Sure it can. Wiki: Since reductions in general price level are called deflation, a deflationary spiral is when reductions in price lead to a vicious circle, where a problem exacerbates its own cause.

If a Bitcon is worth $100 today and I believe it will be $110 tomorrow, I'll do my best to not spend it. This is logical, and it will result in a reduction of the velocity of money. Leads to:

GDP = Money Supply x Velocity of Money

Given Bitcon's very slow growth of supply, a deflation's impact on velocity you can see why it would not be supportive of an economy, and why, Phokus' link:

http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2013/04/bitcoin-is-no-longer-a-currency/274859/

Deflation is toxic for any economy, but particularly for an alternative one like Bitcoin. No matter what kind of currency we're talking about, deflation causes hoarding -- why buy something today if you can buy it for less tomorrow? -- that crushes economic activity.

Repeat after me: Bitcon will never be widely accepted as a currency. EVER.

From that same article:

The more Bitcoin is worth, the more worthless it is as a currency.

As LegendKiller said, it's not a currency, but a commodity with even less value than gold, which has some industrial uses and for jewelry.
 

OverVolt

Lifer
Aug 31, 2002
14,278
89
91
Woo! Speculation noobs. Hooray!

You can't really get rich off this shit, its just luck.
 

Phokus

Lifer
Nov 20, 1999
22,994
779
126
Despite the hilarity of people losing their shirts on bitcoin, i'm thinking of 'investing' a few thousand in bitcoin myself, that i can afford to lose. What i think will happen is that there are still a few more boom/bust cycles to bitcoin before it becomes completely worthless and there's still a lot of suckers who haven't yet bought into this ponzi scheme yet (it's only beginning to hit the mainstream). I'm just going to have to realize my profits sooner when the next run-up happens. Anyone who is buying into bitcoin, holding it, and hoping it turns into a utopian libertarian cryptocurrency is an idiot.
 
Oct 20, 2005
10,978
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91
Despite the hilarity of people losing their shirts on bitcoin, i'm thinking of 'investing' a few thousand in bitcoin myself, that i can afford to lose. What i think will happen is that there are still a few more boom/bust cycles to bitcoin before it becomes completely worthless and there's still a lot of suckers who haven't yet bought into this ponzi scheme yet (it's only beginning to hit the mainstream). I'm just going to have to realize my profits sooner when the next run-up happens. Anyone who is buying into bitcoin, holding it, and hoping it turns into a utopian libertarian cryptocurrency is an idiot.

And how will you know this exactly? I'm sure a lot of people said that too before this crash. It's easy to say "oh there will be more ups and down and I just need to sell it before it tanks", but actually timing it right is damn near impossible.
 

momeNt

Diamond Member
Jan 26, 2011
9,290
352
126
Phokus, thanks--I had forgotten they were called venn diagrams.

momeNt re. Deflationary Spiral


Sure it can. Wiki: Since reductions in general price level are called deflation, a deflationary spiral is when reductions in price lead to a vicious circle, where a problem exacerbates its own cause.

If a Bitcon is worth $100 today and I believe it will be $110 tomorrow, I'll do my best to not spend it. This is logical, and it will result in a reduction of the velocity of money. Leads to:

GDP = Money Supply x Velocity of Money

Given Bitcon's very slow growth of supply, a deflation's impact on velocity you can see why it would not be supportive of an economy, and why, Phokus' link:

http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2013/04/bitcoin-is-no-longer-a-currency/274859/



Repeat after me: Bitcon will never be widely accepted as a currency. EVER.

From that same article:

The more Bitcoin is worth, the more worthless it is as a currency.

As LegendKiller said, it's not a currency, but a commodity with even less value than gold, which has some industrial uses and for jewelry.

You realize that bitcoin's price level is actually rising right? So it isn't in a deflationary spiral, it's just losing value. In deflation the currency gains value. Which can be either a good or a bad thing, it is not always toxic to an economy. Contractions to the money supply would be a bad deflation. Increased production is a good deflation, which is offset by increased consumption, so even if prices may fall, wages stay the same, profits stay the same, debt is paid, and lending remains profitable.

Calling something a deflationary currency just highlights a misunderstanding of economic theory in general, inflation and deflation have practically nothing to do with the currency itself, it has to do with the credit environment in an economy.

Gold might technically be a "deflationary currency" because once all of it is mined, tiny flecks will get lost forever when gold is loaded and unloaded from trucks, or when a computer is put into a landfill all the gold plating is lost. Any currency now unable to be in circulation because of the currency itself could be considered a deflationary currency. Any other deflations have zero to do with the currency.
 
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