Virtual currencies recovering!

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Chiropteran

Diamond Member
Nov 14, 2003
9,811
110
106
Near as I can tell, the only thing that ever gave bitcoins value was the Greater Fool Theory.

1- near instant transfer of wealth from anywhere on the internet

2- no trust required of any central authority

3- ease of incredibly safe storage, *if* you know what you are doing

4- very low fees compared to paypal, bank transfers, or any other realistic alternatives

5- inflation is a precisely known value, you aren't at the whims of your government

6- mining is an interesting way to make money while securing the network, and many computer gamers already have video cards suitable for lite mining

If you don't think those things hold value, perhaps you need to take a brief look at how much was paid for vastly inferior technology that could only handle a subset of those tasks-
http://news.cnet.com/2100-1017-941964.html
 

irishScott

Lifer
Oct 10, 2006
21,562
3
0
Try to spin it if you want, but the end result is the same. Bitcoin weekly inflation comes crashing down and bitcoin loses 60% of it's value, Cyprus banks steal 80% of your deposits- same end result, you lost money value. The difference is that the bitcoin crash was caused by market forces with no special privileged or powers, while the Euro situation was decided by the governments involved.

Pick your poison. If you want to be under the thumb of oppressive governments, it's your choice.

Not that I accept your premise, but I'd like to point out that you're telling people to choose between 1984 and The Joker from The Dark Knight. Just saying...
 

Ns1

No Lifer
Jun 17, 2001
55,420
1,599
126
@Chiropteran

everything you're posting across multiple threads confirms one thing: bitcoin is not a currency, it's a commodity to be traded


As a hypothetical seller of cocaine, I can't fathom receiving 1 bitcoin for an 8ball, only to have the value of that bitcoin plummet by 50% the day after. How would I pay my dealers?
 

Charles Kozierok

Elite Member
May 14, 2012
6,762
1
0

That's hilarious.

There's tons of useful things that can be done with bitcoin. You don't hear about them because it takes too much thought, with deeper concepts than 'gimme MORE money'.

Ah, right, argument ad imsomuchsmarterthanallyoupeonsium.

I'm so impressed.

One of the requirements for a good currency is universal acceptance. If you can't even explain what can be done with yours, it sucks pretty much by definition.

And, at the risk of sounding pompous, if you can't explain it in terms that I can understand, you have no hope with the average person.

If you don't think those things hold value, perhaps you need to take a brief look at how much was paid for vastly inferior technology that could only handle a subset of those tasks-
http://news.cnet.com/2100-1017-941964.html

LOL. Are you for real?

Noticeably absent from your list, again: widespread acceptance.

You don't seem to understand much about online commerce if you dispute the value of Paypal. It's one of the mainstays of online payment and is accepted nearly everywhere. That, again, is an essential aspect of what gives a currency value. The company also generates revenues in the form of service fees, which gives it value, and furthermore, it was especially valuable to a company like eBay, which needs a widely accepted means of online payment and had been spending money trying to promote an alternative to Paypal at the time it was acquired.

Look, I don't really care that much about bitcoin one way or the other, but you're not going to win converts with these sorts of arguments.

ETA: Oh, one more thing: Paypal isn't a currency. Never claimed to be. Geez.
 
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Ns1

No Lifer
Jun 17, 2001
55,420
1,599
126
You don't seem to understand much about online commerce if you dispute the value of Paypal. It's one of the mainstays of online payment and is accepted nearly everywhere. That, again, is an essential aspect of what gives a currency value. The company also generates revenues in the form of service fees, which gives it value, and furthermore, it was especially valuable to a company like eBay, which needs a widely accepted means of online payment and had been spending money trying to promote an alternative to Paypal at the time it was acquired.

Yeah and if I receive $1 in PayPal yesterday, I have 97.2 cents today after fees.

If I received 1 bitcoin yesterday, who the fuck knows what I got today?
 

Chiropteran

Diamond Member
Nov 14, 2003
9,811
110
106
@Chiropteran

everything you're posting across multiple threads confirms one thing: bitcoin is not a currency, it's a commodity to be traded


I don't think I ever said it was a currency, yet. Look at the list above. All of those benefits and uses apply to bitcoin as-is. It doesn't need to to replace USD or any other currency to fill those needs.

As a hypothetical seller of cocaine, I can't fathom receiving 1 bitcoin for an 8ball, only to have the value of that bitcoin plummet by 50% the day after. How would I pay my dealers?

For a legit merchant, you can use a service such as bitpay that sets your prices based on USD and the current exchange rate, and when paid it sends you USD directly. You can accept bitcoin without ever touching them.

For your drug dealer example, watch "The Wire" and find out how it works. Or don't use bitcoin and deal with the risks associated with handling large quantities of cash. TBH I don't think this is an important issue, if drug dealers don't want to use bitcoin that would actually improve it's image more than it would hurt.
 

Ns1

No Lifer
Jun 17, 2001
55,420
1,599
126
For a legit merchant, you can use a service such as bitpay that sets your prices based on USD and the current exchange rate, and when paid it sends you USD directly. You can accept bitcoin without ever touching them.

And once again, maybe I'm missing something - if the exchange is down for 12 hours, like it has been evidently?

or is there truly a system for real time BTC/USD conversion in AND out?
 

Chiropteran

Diamond Member
Nov 14, 2003
9,811
110
106
Yeah and if I receive $1 in PayPal yesterday, I have 97.2 cents today after fees.

If I received 1 bitcoin yesterday, who the fuck knows what I got today?

Not really true. If I send you $1 in paypal, I can later open up a dispute and unless you have proof of a shipment being sent to me (which you won't have for a digital purchase, for example) I will win the dispute and the money will be removed from your account retroactively.

Bitcoin is non-reversible, and can't suffer from this problem. And again, if you use bitpay, you won't even receive a bitcoin, you will receive it's current value in USD (which is adjusted in real time with the exchange rate).


So far your complaints are born of ignorance rather than facts, the problems you bring up are not actually problems with bitcoin.
 

Chiropteran

Diamond Member
Nov 14, 2003
9,811
110
106
And once again, maybe I'm missing something - if the exchange is down for 12 hours, like it has been evidently?

or is there truly a system for real time BTC/USD conversion in AND out?

https://bitpay.com/bitcoin-exchange-rates

But if you don't want to deal with the risk, you have your prices adjust in real time with the current conversion rate. It doesn't matter what the rate is, because you will get USD if that is your choice method of payment.
 

Ns1

No Lifer
Jun 17, 2001
55,420
1,599
126
Not really true. If I send you $1 in paypal, I can later open up a dispute and unless you have proof of a shipment being sent to me (which you won't have for a digital purchase, for example) I will win the dispute and the money will be removed from your account retroactively.

Digital purchases are not protected by paypal, anyone who does this does it at their own risk.

https://bitpay.com/bitcoin-exchange-rates

But if you don't want to deal with the risk, you have your prices adjust in real time with the current conversion rate. It doesn't matter what the rate is, because you will get USD if that is your choice method of payment.

well that's interesting.
 

Charles Kozierok

Elite Member
May 14, 2012
6,762
1
0
I'm an online merchant. If I switch from Paypal to bitpay (or whatever) I might as well just shut down. I'd be better off saying that from now on I only accept payment in South German guldens.
 

Phoenix86

Lifer
May 21, 2003
14,644
10
81
@Chiropteran

everything you're posting across multiple threads confirms one thing: bitcoin is not a currency, it's a commodity to be traded


As a hypothetical seller of cocaine, I can't fathom receiving 1 bitcoin for an 8ball, only to have the value of that bitcoin plummet by 50% the day after. How would I pay my dealers?
1s and 0s of course.
 

Chiropteran

Diamond Member
Nov 14, 2003
9,811
110
106
I'm an online merchant. If I switch from Paypal to bitpay (or whatever) I might as well just shut down. I'd be better off saying that from now on I only accept payment in South German guldens.

Why on earth would you switch? It costs you nothing extra to accept bitcoin, you can simply offer it without dropping paypal. Doing so would buy you free advertising and good will from the bitcoin community, as well as saving you from paypal fees on those transactions.
 

Charles Kozierok

Elite Member
May 14, 2012
6,762
1
0
Why on earth would you switch? It costs you nothing extra to accept bitcoin, you can simply offer it without dropping paypal.

I understand that, I'm just saying that comparing bitcoin to Paypal is ridiculous. (And it's not bitcoin to Paypal anyway, bitpay is a better analogy.)

That is it, that is the one problem bitcoin has.

It is just a matter of time.

Yeah, the e-gold people used to say that too. But at least that made a modicum of sense, and they tried to back it with something real (in the beginning anyway, not sure near the end.)
 

zanejohnson

Diamond Member
Nov 29, 2002
7,054
17
81
i am about to let you guys in on something now.. that i probably shouldn't (because i'm a greedy bastard)


buy SOON.. not now.. but VERY SOON. BUY IT..

there is about to be a rebound the likes currency has NEVER seen.


this planet is about to FLOWER. buy it now... grab anything right now, that appreciates in value.. for a long time, the money/trade market has been tied down, but i'm telling you, it's about to EXPLODE. grab ahold now.
 

Charles Kozierok

Elite Member
May 14, 2012
6,762
1
0
i am about to let you guys in on something now.. that i probably shouldn't (because i'm a greedy bastard)


buy SOON.. not now.. but VERY SOON. BUY IT..

there is about to be a rebound the likes currency has NEVER seen.


this planet is about to FLOWER. buy it now... grab anything right now, that appreciates in value.. for a long time, the money/trade market has been tied down, but i'm telling you, it's about to EXPLODE. grab ahold now.

I put this in the same category as investment "experts" who have sure-fire ways of making millions in the stock market, but rather than just do it themselves and get rich, spend years hucking their wares for 99 bucks on the radio.
 

AstroManLuca

Lifer
Jun 24, 2004
15,628
5
81
That is it, that is the one problem bitcoin has.

It is just a matter of time.

If it keeps surging and crashing like it has been, there's no way it'll gain widespread acceptance.

If you spend 10 bitcoins to buy a laptop on Monday, and by Wednesday you could have bought two laptops for the same number of bitcoins, you're gonna get pissed off. The same is true for sellers when it falls.

It's like an extremely volatile, mostly random stock that you can try to gamble on if you want. I guess the only real value is you can buy it and then immediately use it before the value changes significantly, so in that way you can use it as an untraceable currency. The question is, how much are you willing to give up to have an anonymous currency? There are few purchases where you can really benefit from anonymity.
 

zanejohnson

Diamond Member
Nov 29, 2002
7,054
17
81
If it keeps surging and crashing like it has been, there's no way it'll gain widespread acceptance.

If you spend 10 bitcoins to buy a laptop on Monday, and by Wednesday you could have bought two laptops for the same number of bitcoins, you're gonna get pissed off. The same is true for sellers when it falls.

It's like an extremely volatile, mostly random stock that you can try to gamble on if you want. I guess the only real value is you can buy it and then immediately use it before the value changes significantly, so in that way you can use it as an untraceable currency. The question is, how much are you willing to give up to have an anonymous currency? There are few purchases where you can really benefit from anonymity.


thats why you buy things that don't have that issue.. like drugs.
 

LegendKiller

Lifer
Mar 5, 2001
18,256
68
86
Try to spin it if you want, but the end result is the same. Bitcoin weekly inflation comes crashing down and bitcoin loses 60% of it's value, Cyprus banks steal 80% of your deposits- same end result, you lost money value. The difference is that the bitcoin crash was caused by market forces with no special privileged or powers, while the Euro situation was decided by the governments involved.

It has nothing to do with "spin". If you buy $100 in bonds from XYZ company and that company goes into CH 7 bankruptcy and doesn't have sufficient solvency to survive outside of bankruptcy your bankruptcy trustee works with the company and approves a post-bankruptcy plan. In many cases that plan is to take all of the current equity and wipe it out, then they take the debt, in order of seniority, and wipe it out depending on how much assets the company really has and how much debt it can support. You can either be wiped out or you can end up with debt or in some cases you can be converted to equity.

The deposit holders hold a debt claim against the bank. The bank was insolvent and was effectively reorganized outside of bankruptcy. The depositors were either wiped out or theoretically converted to equity.

This is the price of having a banking system which is bigger than your country's assets. Now, you can go the way Iceland did and screw the foreign depositors while not touching domestic ones, then refusing to bail out those depositors AND depreciate their currency.

Pick your poison.

Wrong. The precedent has been made. The world doesn't always move at internet speed, but everyone everywhere with significant Euro savings is thinking about what happened in Cyprus and wondering if the same could happen to them.

Nobody in the world gives a shit. What has happened to deposits in spain, italy, portugal, or anywhere else? NOTHING. Abso-fucking-lutely nothing. No runs on the banks, no huge withdrawals, NOTHING.

But hey, they should move all of their savings to a currency where they can lose everything one day and have no claim on a single thing.

No, but I also didn't buy my bitcoin 2 days ago at maximum possible value. Less than two weeks ago, bitcoin was crossing the $100/BTC barrier for the first time ever. So what if it crashed? It's now back at $115. Except for tiny fraction of investors chasing the recent gains, value has been steadily increasing.

Taken as a whole, bitcoin has historically gained a fairly smooth 10X of value per year for the last 4 years. Taking the extreme bumps, you see higher growth followed by crashes, but after the crash has settled out the previous level of growth continues. While 10X per year will not continue forever, bitcoin is far from market saturation and I expect it to continue to grow at some rate.

Taken as a whole, the USD has been in steady decline for a century. I don't expect this to change significantly either.


Look, you aren't getting this. NOBODY GIVES A SHIT ABOUT YOU. You keep saying "I bought it 2 days ago" or "I bought it at X and sold it at Y and made money so I don't care, I have nothing at risk". This is *EXACTLY* the problem with Bitcoin, you want it to be widely accepted as currency but you are speaking of it like a pure investment. Until somebody can be assured that EVERY DAY Bitcoin won't move more than .5% - 2%, EITHER WAY, it won't be possible for a single person to seriously accept them. Even 10% single-day swings make it impossible to accept as tender for services. Why? Because you may make 10% one day but you are just as likely, if not more likely, to lose 10% the same day.

How can you possibly run a business like that? YOU CANNOT. This is why almost everybody is OK with the dollar "losing purchasing power" the way it has, because it has done so at a pretty consistent and predictable manner. That manner has resulted in huge economic expansion.

Why?

Because you can plan, you can reduce your amount of spare liquidity, creating a far more efficient balance sheet. You can hire people because you know what you will earn with more certainty.

Certainty = less risk. Less risk = more willingness to expand. More willingness to expand = more jobs. More jobs = more growth.

This is a simple fucking equation that even a baboon should get with minimal education. Yet you fail to understand that.
 

Chiropteran

Diamond Member
Nov 14, 2003
9,811
110
106
It has nothing to do with "spin". If you buy $100 in bonds from XYZ company and that company goes into CH 7 bankruptcy and doesn't have sufficient solvency to survive outside of bankruptcy your bankruptcy trustee works with the company and approves a post-bankruptcy plan.
...
This is the price of having a banking system which is bigger than your country's assets. Now, you can go the way Iceland did and screw the foreign depositors while not touching domestic ones, then refusing to bail out those depositors AND depreciate their currency.

Blah blah blah. It really doesn't matter WHY people lost money. The point is, fiat currency in a savings account in a national bank IS NOT SAFE. Bitcoin isn't guaranteed to hold value either, but the point is neither is your broken fiat money system. Once you accept that fact that "real" money in a bank can vanish instantly at the whim of your government, the dangers of using a non-government issued currency seem easier to deal with.

" a banking system which is bigger than your country's assets"

Welcome to the USA. Does the phrase "too big to fail" sound familiar?

Nobody in the world gives a shit. What has happened to deposits in spain, italy, portugal, or anywhere else? NOTHING. Abso-fucking-lutely nothing. No runs on the banks, no huge withdrawals, NOTHING.

You are simply posting your opinion, and guess what: it is wrong.

http://www.wired.co.uk/news/archive/2013-03/20/bitcoin-spain-currency-run


Look, you aren't getting this. NOBODY GIVES A SHIT ABOUT YOU. You keep saying "I bought it 2 days ago" or "I bought it at X and sold it at Y and made money so I don't care, I have nothing at risk". This is *EXACTLY* the problem with Bitcoin, you want it to be widely accepted as currency but you are speaking of it like a pure investment. Until somebody can be assured that EVERY DAY Bitcoin won't move more than .5% - 2%, EITHER WAY, it won't be possible for a single person to seriously accept them. Even 10% single-day swings make it impossible to accept as tender for services. Why? Because you may make 10% one day but you are just as likely, if not more likely, to lose 10% the same day.

How can you possibly run a business like that? YOU CANNOT. This is why almost everybody is OK with the dollar "losing purchasing power" the way it has, because it has done so at a pretty consistent and predictable manner. That manner has resulted in huge economic expansion.

Why?

Because you can plan, you can reduce your amount of spare liquidity, creating a far more efficient balance sheet. You can hire people because you know what you will earn with more certainty.

Certainty = less risk. Less risk = more willingness to expand. More willingness to expand = more jobs. More jobs = more growth.

This is a simple fucking equation that even a baboon should get with minimal education. Yet you fail to understand that.

Your trolling is starting to fail. You claim no business could run on bitcoin. sorry to break it to you dude, but hundreds of businesses already accept bitcoin. Including reddit, okcupid, wordpress, namecheap, if you want some big ones. Proven wrong, nice try.

Here is a bar in New York that accepts bitcoin, and the owner explains exactly why your points are irrelevant: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hm6aM8mIQSs

As far as the loss I didn't suffer, I wasn't trying to stress the fact I didn't lose money, I was trying to stress the fact that nearly nobody lost money. If you bought bitcoin after it rose above $110 a bit less than two weeks ago, or any of the 10 days following, you lost money based on current value, sure. But if you bought bitcoins on any other damn day in the last 5 years, you are ahead, likly ahead by 300% or more. Unless you are some kind of mathematics retard, you should be able to realize those are good odds- buy bitcoin and 98% of the time you increase your investment by about 1000% on average, the other 1% of the time you merely increase your investment by less than 400%, but yes there is a tiny 0.5% chance if you buy at the worst possible time in the middle of a huge run up you may lose money when it corrects. I'm sorry if the risk is too great for you, It's really bring tears to my eyes thinking about the danger of LegendKiller losing some money because he was the unlucky 0.5%

You may think this is going to ruin the currency, but for people who can do math bitcoin is still perfectly viable. You can play around with small values you don't care about losing, you can invest intelligently when the value *didn't* increase by 800% in the previous week, you can simply mine bitcoin very efficiently right now if you already own AMD video card hardware, or you can choose to only buy as many bitcoin as you will immediately use, minimizing risk.
Until somebody can be assured that EVERY DAY Bitcoin won't move more than .5% - 2%, EITHER WAY, it won't be possible for a single person to seriously accept them. Even 10% single-day swings make it impossible to accept as tender for services.

Sounds like you need to re-read this thread. The USD already fluctuates this much.

"I'm going to play the pedant and note that this isn't quite right. The dollar is one of history's most successful currencies, I think it's fair to say, and yet it, like virtually every floating currency, is prone to wild volatility. In the late 1990s, the trade-weighted dollar soared nearly 50%. It then turned on a dime, dropping 30%. Then, in a matter of weeks in late 2008 it jumped nearly 20%. Once again, that's the trade-weighted dollar, not an individual currency pair (which can be much more crazily volatile)."

But really, it doesn't matter what you say. You can list a million reasons why bitcoin won't work for real businesses. The fact is real business are and have been using bitcoin already, and saving money by doing so. I suggest you do a little tiny bit of research before making absurd (and false) claims.
 
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Darwin333

Lifer
Dec 11, 2006
19,946
2,329
126
This. People saw bitcoin's value naturally rising, decided to make a get-rich-quick scheme out of it, over-invested, got burned, and now it's normalizing.

But don't tell anyone that. ZOMG BITCOIN VALUE IN FREE-FALL! THOUSANDS [of idiots] LOSE MONEY! MAN LOSES ENTIRE LIFE SAVINGS, WILL HIS FAMILY MAKE IT?

It's funny that the people who actually use bitcoin as a currency don't seem to give much of a shit. And that segment, although stalled for the moment, is slowly growing.

I do love that this is hurting the big-time miners who bought the multi-thousand dollar ASICs though. A lot of them aren't going to make back their initial investment anytime soon.

I read something about those ASICs a while back and I am pretty sure that all the companies selling them had completely sold out their pre-orders and had waiting lists back when bitcoins where in the $20-$30 range. So right now they would be 300-400% higher in value than when the person actually made the decision to invest in the ASIC.
 

Rakehellion

Lifer
Jan 15, 2013
12,181
35
91
Try to spin it if you want, but the end result is the same. Bitcoin weekly inflation comes crashing down and bitcoin loses 60% of it's value, Cyprus banks steal 80% of your deposits- same end result, you lost money value. The difference is that the bitcoin crash was caused by market forces with no special privileged or powers, while the Euro situation was decided by the governments involved.

Who gives a FUCK what happened in Cyprus? Cyprus does not represent the world's economy.
 
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