Discussion Zen 5 Speculation (EPYC Turin and Strix Point/Granite Ridge - Ryzen 9000)

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Fjodor2001

Diamond Member
Feb 6, 2010
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Thunder 57

Platinum Member
Aug 19, 2007
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Zen 3 was AMD’s “Conroe” IMO.

Shoot, so were certain Athlon chips. Pentium 4 was running at close to twice the clocks, yet AMD was still winning…

…until the Core series dropped.

Doesn’t that honor technically belong to AMD? Hawk point has “AI” and you could definitely consider that to be a gaming CPU. Zen 5 will also have it and launches before Arrow Lake. (unless something has changed — I haven’t had much time to stay on top of things)

I will actually be glad when consoles get an NPU. It will encourage game developers to use it. I am a PC gamer, but you know we almost always get the shaft when it comes to pushing the limits of tech.

I would also like to see said AI functions used to make game AI smarter, particularly in RTS games. (too bad the genre is on life support)

I'm just using Intel's slide:

Intel
 
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gdansk

Platinum Member
Feb 8, 2011
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So maybe we’ll get this after all? :

But still you were certain that we won’t get that, since you wrote:

So you must have some idea of what you think we’ll get, and when.
It is not so much an idea as an anti-idea. I can predict it won't be that because no one has provided any basis to the claims.

Much like I can confidently predict there is not a teapot orbiting Jupiter right now.

Though at least with this adroc et al have a chance of being right or close to right.
 
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Kaffeekenan

Member
Jan 6, 2022
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Yeah, the actual perf is higher, but it sounds like bullshit so no point stating it anywhere near public.
Ooooooor here is a crazy idea. You can actually use this awesome opportunity to really proof, that you know the performance by posting the "crazy" numbers that noone is going to believe anyway. And if your numbers turn out to be true you have proofen that you are a credible source.

I actually know Arrowlake performance and Zen 5 performance and even Zen 6 and Nova Lake. But all theses numbers are kinda weird and sound all like bullshit so I am not going to post them publicly...see how "supercredible" this sounds??!
 

moinmoin

Diamond Member
Jun 1, 2017
4,989
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Yeah I know.
But internally it was very not rosy.
The point is that the sandbagging is external. In the ideal case any sandbagging leaves room to cover for internal failures. Nobody external would care then. RDNA3's marketing was bad for its broken external promises. Hype trains are disliked for their bad track record of overpromises. AMD's usual sandbagging is kinda refreshing for underpromising and then positively surprising.
 
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adroc_thurston

Platinum Member
Jul 2, 2023
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The point is that the sandbagging is external.
But they always do that.
RDNA3 not beating it's relatively modest >50% PPW target is the oddity, after all.
Ooooooor here is a crazy idea. You can actually use this awesome opportunity to really proof, that you know the performance by posting the "crazy" numbers that noone is going to believe anyway. And if your numbers turn out to be true you have proofen that you are a credible source.
"please spoonfeed me".
no? no. get street cred first.
 

itsmydamnation

Platinum Member
Feb 6, 2011
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But they always do that.
RDNA3 not beating it's relatively modest >50% PPW target is the oddity, after all.

"please spoonfeed me".
no? no. get street cred first.
So if lots of Zen4 workloads are front end bound , we have a big front end , hopefully super duper prefetch + predictors and we have 50% wider ALU / execution. On your bullish statements im now upping my YOLO prediction from 33% to 41% IPC over Zen4.

choo choo redacted

We have a zero tolerance policy for profanity in the tech forums. You will follow it.


Iron Woode

Super Moderator
 
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moinmoin

Diamond Member
Jun 1, 2017
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But they always do that.
RDNA3 not beating it's relatively modest >50% PPW target is the oddity, after all.
Wouldn't have considered that target modest, so if that's the internal view indeed I'm looking forward to seeing how AMD tackles future consumer graphic gens as a result of that flop.
 

Thunder 57

Platinum Member
Aug 19, 2007
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I would say a Zen moment. It probably isn't called that because it wasn't great at gaming at first compared to Intel. It was a massive leap forward though and with lower power as well.
 

Hans Gruber

Platinum Member
Dec 23, 2006
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Would someone qualify for me a Conroe moment?
Is it like a Zen moment? Or merely A14 sized?
The Conroe moment was when Intel destroyed all of AMD's hopes and dreams for more than a decade. The massive Conroe OC's out of the box that went on over the Intel product cycles for years. I still keep a drawer with my favorite Intel and AMD CPU's.
 

gdansk

Platinum Member
Feb 8, 2011
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The Conroe moment was when Intel destroyed all of AMD's hopes and dreams for more than a decade. The massive Conroe OC's out of the box that went on over the Intel product cycles for years. I still keep a drawer with my favorite Intel and AMD CPU's.
Well I don't think that'll happen. Is there a better definition that is based on performance without counting on competitor to be too broke to make new cores?
 

Hans Gruber

Platinum Member
Dec 23, 2006
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Well I don't think that'll happen. Is there a better definition that is based on performance without counting on competitor to be too broke to make new cores?
AMD should not have purchased ATI. AMD once owned 33% of GloFlo aka. Global Foundries and spun it off their investment. It's not like AMD wasn't making money. They made big investments that were not smart. AMD was the top of the CPU market for two years. First to 1ghz CPU's, brought 64bit processors to the market when Intel said 32bit was all consumers needed.
 

Schmide

Diamond Member
Mar 7, 2002
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The Conroe moment was when Intel destroyed all of AMD's hopes and dreams for more than a decade. The massive Conroe OC's out of the box that went on over the Intel product cycles for years. I still keep a drawer with my favorite Intel and AMD CPU's.
So you're celebrating the era where intel used nefarious tactics to stifle competition?
 
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gdansk

Platinum Member
Feb 8, 2011
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So you're celebrating the era where intel used nefarious tactics to stifle competition?
AMD should not have purchased ATI.
Let's not go through these discussions again...


You've already read one.
You plaster a new shiny core onto a rickety antique uncore setup and you win (by a lot).
So, then, as eek2121 said then Zen 3 was also a Conroe moment. But its supremacy lasted only for a year.
There are so many designs in flight at Intel now that even if it is officially Zen V: the Return of Conroe I don't see anything dominating like Conroe did for so long.
 

adroc_thurston

Platinum Member
Jul 2, 2023
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So you're celebrating the era where intel used nefarious tactics to stifle competition?
But they didn't, not with Conroe et all.
That was all pure merit.
So, then, as eek2121 said then Zen 3 was also a Conroe moment
No it wasn't, Zen3 wasn't much of a bigger machine, just a differently balanced one.
Very competent but not particularly innovative.
There are so many designs in flight at Intel now
No?
No. They barely manage a tock every 12Q and it's middling.
Atom guys are better but they're not that relevant.
I don't see anything dominating like Conroe did for so long.
That's not my problem.
 
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Hans Gruber

Platinum Member
Dec 23, 2006
2,179
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They still do ! But not to the extent they used to.
Intel couldn't control the server market because the Ryzen servers have more cores and are so damn efficient. I am pointing out AMD's pricing strategy like with the pricing of the Zen3 threadrippers. Nobody is buying them because they are $$$$. The first two generations of threadrippers were affordable and priced accordingly throughout the product cycle.

Nvidia said they would have a hard time meeting demand during the bitcoin/covid craze. AMD had a executive offering to take bets on their ability to meet market demand. In the end, Nvidia had far more supply than AMD and it was AMD that said they would not have any issues meeting demand.

Nobody is pointing out that Dr. Su and Jensen are cousins. To quote just one line from Led Zeppelin. "It really makes me wonder."

I do agree Intel used underhanded tactics for the last 20 years if not longer.
 
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