Discussion Intel Meteor, Arrow, Lunar & Panther Lakes Discussion Threads

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Tigerick

Senior member
Apr 1, 2022
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As Hot Chips 34 starting this week, Intel will unveil technical information of upcoming Meteor Lake (MTL) and Arrow Lake (ARL), new generation platform after Raptor Lake. Both MTL and ARL represent new direction which Intel will move to multiple chiplets and combine as one SoC platform.

MTL also represents new compute tile that based on Intel 4 process which is based on EUV lithography, a first from Intel. Intel expects to ship MTL mobile SoC in 2023.

ARL will come after MTL so Intel should be shipping it in 2024, that is what Intel roadmap is telling us. ARL compute tile will be manufactured by Intel 20A process, a first from Intel to use GAA transistors called RibbonFET.



Comparison of upcoming Intel's U-series CPU: Core Ultra 100U, Lunar Lake and Panther Lake

ModelCode-NameDateTDPNodeTilesMain TileCPULP E-CoreLLCGPUXe-cores
Core Ultra 100UMeteor LakeQ4 202315 - 57 WIntel 4 + N5 + N64tCPU2P + 8E212 MBIntel Graphics4
?Lunar LakeQ4 202417 - 30 WN3B + N62CPU + GPU & IMC4P + 4E08 MBArc8
?Panther LakeQ1 2026 ??Intel 18A + N3E3CPU + MC4P + 8E4?Arc12



Comparison of die size of Each Tile of Meteor Lake, Arrow Lake, Lunar Lake and Panther Lake

Meteor LakeArrow Lake (20A)Arrow Lake (N3B)Arrow Lake Refresh (N3B)Lunar LakePanther Lake
PlatformMobile H/U OnlyDesktop OnlyDesktop & Mobile H&HXDesktop OnlyMobile U OnlyMobile H
Process NodeIntel 4Intel 20ATSMC N3BTSMC N3BTSMC N3BIntel 18A
DateQ4 2023Q1 2025 ?Desktop-Q4-2024
H&HX-Q1-2025
Q4 2025 ?Q4 2024Q1 2026 ?
Full Die6P + 8P6P + 8E ?8P + 16E8P + 32E4P + 4E4P + 8E
LLC24 MB24 MB ?36 MB ??8 MB?
tCPU66.48
tGPU44.45
SoC96.77
IOE44.45
Total252.15



Intel Core Ultra 100 - Meteor Lake



As mentioned by Tomshardware, TSMC will manufacture the I/O, SoC, and GPU tiles. That means Intel will manufacture only the CPU and Foveros tiles. (Notably, Intel calls the I/O tile an 'I/O Expander,' hence the IOE moniker.)

 

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Hulk

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 1999
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With imminent launch of 14900KS, which has around 5-6% higher ST boost versus 13900K, I wonder how will Arrow Lake do against this SKU. Igor's lab and other leak (slide) pointed to ~5% ST increase versus 13900K. If that is still true, then Arrow Lake will have a hard time beating 14900KS in ST tasks.

edit: my bad, I checked the Igor's lab leak and it was normalized to 13900K. Geomean of ST should be ~12% versus 13900K, which should still put arrow Lake at 5-6% faster than 14900KS. So the projection is still valid I guess.
I have been wondering the same thing. I suppose once Intel started binning 14900K silicon they were finding quite a few golden samples that could hit 6.2GHz and couldn't resist milking the "KS" cash cow one more time.

Of course as you mentioned it pushes the ST performance bar ever so slightly higher for ARL. I wonder if the all core frequency for the 14900KS will be higher than 14900K?
 

DrMrLordX

Lifer
Apr 27, 2000
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I still think 5% over Raptor Cove in performance meaning 15% increase at ISO frequency from Raptor Cove to Lion Cove due to decrease in clocks and tiles, which kind of makes sense.

If it's the same leak we've all seen, it's isopower (actually isoPL, since the PL value listed for the 8+16 Arrow Lake is PL2 = 251W).
 

dullard

Elite Member
May 21, 2001
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Just to be clear, the leak is implying that ARL is performing 5% better than RPL at the same power?
There are two leaks. The first one is here:
That leak claims that for 8+16+1 chips, Arrow Lake-S is 2.4%* to 17.4%* faster than Raptor Lake-S Refresh at PL1=PL2=~250 W power. Presumably this is the 14900K they are comparing. Note: the Arrow Lake chip was using 3 W less power (250 W vs 253 W), but they are roughly iso-power. That leak also says 4.5%* to 19.0%* faster than the Raptor Lake 13900K. Then the graphics (3rd slide in that link) is supposed to blow both Raptor Lake and Raptor Lake Refresh out of the water.

* Note: I'm using the midpoint of the estimations for this whole post, since they are a range.

The second leak is from our very own uzzi38 poster with 5% faster single-thread and 15% faster multi-thread:
Maybe he has context as to which Raptor that is talking about, but if so, I don't remember it.
 
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Hulk

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 1999
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Just to be clear, the leak is implying that ARL is performing 5% better than RPL at the same power?

There are two leaks. The first one is here:
That leak claims that for 8+16+1 chips, Arrow Lake-S is 2.4%* to 17.4%* faster than Raptor Lake-S Refresh at PL1=PL2=~250 W power. Presumably this is the 14900K they are comparing. Note: the Arrow Lake chip was using 3 W less power (250 W vs 253 W), but they are roughly iso-power. That leak also says 4.5%* to 19.0%* faster than the Raptor Lake 13900K. Then the graphics (3rd slide in that link) is supposed to blow both Raptor Lake and Raptor Lake Refresh out of the water.

* Note: I'm using the midpoint of the estimations for this whole post, since they are a range.

The second leak is from our very own uzzi38 poster with 5% faster single-thread and 15% faster multi-thread:
Maybe he has context as to which Raptor that is talking about, but if so, I don't remember it.
Hmm. The first two slides are quite interesting. I am not familiar with those workloads but they could have something to do with the difference between RPL and ARL at iso-power. Here's why. Let's assume that the ARL sample tops out at 5.4 or 5.5GHz and we know the 14900K tops out at 6GHz MT and about 5.7GHz multicore. Under a lighter workload it is possible that both the RPL and ARL will hit their max clocks, meaning RPL will have a significant frequency advantage and thus narrow the performance gap between the architectures.

With a heavy workload it is not difficult for RPL to hit power levels much higher than 253 Watts. So it could be possible for RPL under a heavy load at 253W to "only" achieve a frequency of 5.3GHz all core. ARL on the other hand may be much more efficient and be able to maintain its top frequency even on the demanding workloads, thus only benefitting from better IPC over RPL but also higher realized clock speeds.

This could be why we're seeing the spread from 5% (could be light loads) to 17% (heavy loads), in addition to the normal architectural differences we normally attribute to IPC differences between processor generations.

Anyone familiar with how those tested applications saturate the cores?

Honestly this is probably me looking for trends that aren't there.
 

dullard

Elite Member
May 21, 2001
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Anyone familiar with how those tested applications saturate the cores?

Honestly this is probably me looking for trends that aren't there.
I'm not extremely familiar with how saturated those chips would be in those benchmarks. But what you are saying does make theoretical sense. If a chip is running at turbo for extended periods of time, then a more power-efficient chip could be able to run turbo for longer. Otherwise if they have the same number of cores, why would there be better multi-threaded performance gains than single-threaded?
 

Hulk

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 1999
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I'm not extremely familiar with how saturated those chips would be in those benchmarks. But what you are saying does make theoretical sense. If a chip is running at turbo for extended periods of time, then a more power-efficient chip could be able to run turbo for longer. Otherwise if they have the same number of cores, why would there be better multi-threaded performance gains than single-threaded?
I'm taking my 14900K performance. I have my power limit set to 200W and P/E frequency capped at 5.5/4.3. For most of my applications like Photoshop, Presonus Studio One, Topaz Video/Photo ai, and others the processor will run at 5.5/4.3 well below 200W. But frameserving in Vegas Pro, or transcoding in Handbrake, or testing in CB it will hit that 200W limit and hold at about 5.1/4.1 or so depending on the application.

In the leaks I'm wondering if RPL is hitting the power limit before max clocks, even before getting into the turbo territory. I have found 1-2 core turbo to be all but useless in my 14900K, which is why I cap frequency at 5.5GHz. I don't need 5.8 or 6GHz for a few seconds now and then and a huge amount of voltage for practically no benefit in performance. This of course is a subjective decision based on personal preference and usage but going over 5.5 for my chip/usage was an exercise in futility. At the end of the day I just capped the voltage at 1.3 with LLC 4. I never hit 1.3V, full load is generally about 1.15V and temps are high '70's with great stability. I know, OT!
 

AMDK11

Senior member
Jul 15, 2019
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I don't know how I missed the fact that Golden/Raptor Cove is not 5+1 but actually 6 simple decoders. Thanks. The Anandtech article didn't have a definitive answer so I guess I assumed 5+1.

The 20% IPC improvement from Skylake to Golden Cove was the result of an additional decoder, 4 additional ports, and a host of other logic changes. It was a significant overhaul. I have to admit I would be surprised if Intel could gain another 20% with the addition of 1 decoder simply because with every evolution of the core there is less "low hanging fruit" as Anand used to say. I should rephrase that and say I would be "happily" surprised.

I am not doubting you but where did you read 3x3 for the Skymont front end? Do we have any reviews that were able to isolate Meteor Lake Crestmont performance iso frequency vs Gracemont or are you quoting Intel for that 4 to 6% increase?

Meteor Lake reviews have been sketchy in my opinion,and I still don't have a good idea of how Redwood Cove and Crestmont in tiled form compare at iso-frequency to Raptor Cove and Gracemont?
Intel did not answer whether the decoder in GoldenCove is 6 simple or 1 complex + 5 simple. It is difficult to give a clear answer to this, and many websites provide different interpretations.

Similarly, in the Intel slides for Skylake, the graphics show 4-way decoding, but without specifying whether it is 1+3.

It seems that Intel provides the decoder width without going into details.


I will only add an Intel graphic that clearly shows the 4-way decoder in Skylake. Nothing has changed in this respect at SunnyCove.

 
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ondma

Platinum Member
Mar 18, 2018
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I'm not extremely familiar with how saturated those chips would be in those benchmarks. But what you are saying does make theoretical sense. If a chip is running at turbo for extended periods of time, then a more power-efficient chip could be able to run turbo for longer. Otherwise if they have the same number of cores, why would there be better multi-threaded performance gains than single-threaded?
Could be because the E cores are more improved than the P cores, or dont show a frequency regression.
 

FlameTail

Platinum Member
Dec 15, 2021
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What is the expected Single Thread performance of Lunar Lake?

Meteor Lake does around 2400 points in Geekbench 6 ST.

If Lunar Lake wants to beat Snapdragon X Elite/Apple M3, it will have to exceed 3000 points.
 

SiliconFly

Golden Member
Mar 10, 2023
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What is the expected Single Thread performance of Lunar Lake?

Meteor Lake does around 2400 points in Geekbench 6 ST.

If Lunar Lake wants to beat Snapdragon X Elite/Apple M3, it will have to exceed 3000 points.
I believe it'll be slower than Meteor Lake due to the low power design it targets. Think same applies to Panther Lake as well.
 

dullard

Elite Member
May 21, 2001
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I believe it'll be slower than Meteor Lake due to the low power design it targets. Think same applies to Panther Lake as well.
While your post is mostly correct, it is incomplete. There is some power overlap on some models. The ultra-low power Meteor Lake MTL-U9 chips (currently the 134U and 164U) are 9 W base and 30 W turbo. That is pretty close to the Lunar Lake rumors of 8 W base and 17 W to 30 W turbo.

Meteor Lake might still win in the single thread comparison since Lunar Lake has twice as many P-cores to support with that low power window though.

Also for that reason, I don't think there is a single answer to this question:
What is the expected Single Thread performance of Lunar Lake?
With almost a 4X power window range, there will be a massive range of single thread performances across devices depending on their design power.
 
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Hulk

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 1999
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At 8 W power or 30 W or something else? Unfortunately the key piece of data necessary to evaluate those speeds isn't there in that leak.
We still don't even that have kind of data for Meteor Lake!

You would think it would be relatively easy to have good data for a released product. You know, benchmark score and corresponding frequency and power. Test at 5 or 6 frequencies and boom, review finished.
Nope, we can't really compare anything. This CPU in this chassis has one thermal design, frequencies are all over the place, no idea of actual power usage. We're being gaslit!

I still have no idea of how MTL performs other than similar to RPL but perhaps more efficient somewhere in the curve?
 
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