News Earthquake in Taiwan

Thunder 57

Platinum Member
Aug 19, 2007
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Wonder how signigicantly this will affect AMD/Intel/Nvidia/many others. Wasn't sure where to post this. Could be a big deal.

 

RnR_au

Golden Member
Jun 6, 2021
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Are the delicate EUV machines safe?
Sounds like they are earthquake protected to some degrees;
Previously, TSMC announced that following the 921 earthquake, they've implemented seismic management measures surpassing regulations. These include conducting thorough post-earthquake inspections of all facilities and structures, installing dampers or shock absorbers to lessen earthquake impacts on buildings, and actively integrating new equipment vibration reduction and isolation technologies to mitigate operational risks associated with earthquakes.

But yeah crosses fingers on their behalf.
 

Schmide

Diamond Member
Mar 7, 2002
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I don't need a lot of tech right now but i bought some flash that I needed just because. Fear buying.

The chip plant is on the other side of the mountains. Regardless crazy leaning buildings. The fact that they didn't collapse says a lot about their building strength.

Edit: I'm disappointed in our major news stations, not one has flipped over to the coverage. Watching NHK japan (respect)
 
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Doug S

Platinum Member
Feb 8, 2020
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The newest fabs are supposedly better protected against earthquakes - basically built on top of gigantic shock absorbers instead of a traditional foundation, so the N3/N5 stuff might be better off than the 28nm/40nm stuff.

If production of the latter is interrupted when supply/demand only got caught up last year, and combined with the shipping woes (Red Sea, Panama drought) we might see covid like supply chain disruptions again. The one saving grace is that TSMC isn't the only supplier of those older nodes, while they are the only game in town for leading edge smartphones, AI, and all the new PC CPUs planned for this year (yes Samsung exists but couldn't have anything ported and out the door in under a year)
 

moinmoin

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Jun 1, 2017
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zir_blazer

Golden Member
Jun 6, 2013
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The flood of Western Digital HD factory and the fire/arson of Hynix factory more than a decade ago should make everyone cynical enough than this will be a fine pretext to jack up prices due to supply speculation.
 
Reactions: Captante

Markfw

Moderator Emeritus, Elite Member
May 16, 2002
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I forget exactly where I saw it, but as long as 20 years ago, many buildings have been using this method. Most can withstand 8.5 quakes.
OK, this is not exactly where I heard about this, but I wanted to google this to prove the validity of my claim.


Hundreds of buildings protected in 2016 ? Yes, this has been around awhile.
 

StefanR5R

Elite Member
Dec 10, 2016
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More than Chips, let us hope people are ok.
I agree.

Looks like people and companies mostly were well prepared.
I just listened to a German radio news item. According to that, the previous severe earthquake in Taiwan happened in 1999, at magnitude 7.3, and cost >2,400 lives. (It's known as the Jiji earthquake.) After that, Taiwan improved building codes and, importantly, apparently took measures to actually enforce these codes.

A counter example is, just to pick one I am vaguely familiar with in this regard, is Turkey. They substantially improved building codes and regulations too after having suffered severely from heavy earthquakes, notably after the İzmit earthquake of 1999. Yet, enforcement of the new codes in Turkey is inconsistent, from what I heard and read, and from what the widely publicized controversies after the 2023 earthquake revealed.
 

Doug S

Platinum Member
Feb 8, 2020
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Price increases can only hold if there isn't oversupply, which is still the case in the DRAM market. OEMs can raise prices but if it results in building up even more inventory they won't hold for long.

Holding off on publishing contract prices seems prudent until the damage from the earthquake is fully known. The fabs involved would know their damage by now but they may not be forthcoming to alert competitors, so even those without any fabs in Taiwan will want to wait and see what the others do. They are into game theory territory now but unless there was a major disruption any price movement won't last long since there is nothing else happening in the market that will goose the demand side.
 
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