Discussion Zen 5 Speculation (EPYC Turin and Strix Point/Granite Ridge - Ryzen 9000)

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Kaffeekenan

Member
Jan 6, 2022
37
38
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Did you miss the part where the leak was fake and MLID fell for it?
This has nothing to with my text. The 17 percent are NOT taken out of a fake leak. He said, an AMD employee communicated to him in april, that AMD says to partners that they should expect around 17% IPC increase.

Edit: Guess you are right @Kepler_L2
 
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Joe NYC

Platinum Member
Jun 26, 2021
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mss is worthless unless you maintain the margin target.

Without the market share, AMD is leaving Intel with 9.5 billion war chest. If Inrwl one day uses the money wisely, AMD could end up with no market share and no margin (as has happened countless of times).
 
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Timorous

Golden Member
Oct 27, 2008
1,673
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I dislike MLID as well but I won't dismiss his leaks totally cause as for any leaks, things could change. Now we have two parties which are providing two predictions...

  1. MLID +20% IPC
  2. @adroc_thurston and @Kepler_L2 +40% IPC with $999 price tags
Unlike RDNA3, there is no wiggle room here, only one party will be right here...we should know more in coming months and see which one is correct. Hint from Allthewatts:

Without going back through the thread I am sure that the 40% figure is performance not IPC and is specific to SIR2017 ST. If it is correct we wait and see, if it translates to other workloads we also wait and see but this kind of deviation from the original claim which will then get propagated is not great. Stick to the claim as stated rather than generalising because I am sure there are people who are waiting to jump in and shout 'told you they were lying' because it gets a different result in a different benchmark or test.
 

Kaffeekenan

Member
Jan 6, 2022
37
38
61
Without going back through the thread I am sure that the 40% figure is performance not IPC and is specific to SIR2017 ST. If it is correct we wait and see, if it translates to other workloads we also wait and see but this kind of deviation from the original claim which will then get propagated is not great. Stick to the claim as stated rather than generalising because I am sure there are people who are waiting to jump in and shout 'told you they were lying' because it gets a different result in a different benchmark or test.
Performance and IPC should not differ much with Zen 5 because clocks are rather similar.
 

Tigerick

Senior member
Apr 1, 2022
679
559
106
Without going back through the thread I am sure that the 40% figure is performance not IPC and is specific to SIR2017 ST. If it is correct we wait and see, if it translates to other workloads we also wait and see but this kind of deviation from the original claim which will then get propagated is not great. Stick to the claim as stated rather than generalising because I am sure there are people who are waiting to jump in and shout 'told you they were lying' because it gets a different result in a different benchmark or test.


The IPC I referred is what AMD shown us when they announced Zen4...AMD claimed +13% IPC uplift compared to Zen3 at specified clock speed (4GHz in this case)...
 

Joe NYC

Platinum Member
Jun 26, 2021
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N31 does clock comfortably over 3Ghz in games.
Just at 500+W, not the planned 350. Nobody saw it coming, AMD caught it way too late. A respin costs 100M+ and would take 6 months or so, so AMD decided to take the L, do a big investigation and reorganise the BU and roadmap.
Most stuff from 3 years ago is out of date, every unit in AMD has been reorganised to some degree since then.

Exactly.

"Not falling for the hype" as a moral high ground is something I find funny.
 

Joe NYC

Platinum Member
Jun 26, 2021
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Agreed fully, the fact that RDNA 3 could easily handle OC with large uplifts showed that it was meant to run at more than 2.5Ghz...but there's little excuse left for how misleading the marketing claims were then.
Question though, that respin, couldn't it apply to N32? It came out almost 9 months after the rest.

Because the problems came in late. AMD was still forecasting solid performance / watt growth just months before the launch, which evaporated after whatever the workarounds AMD applied to RDNA3 to make it work.
 

Timorous

Golden Member
Oct 27, 2008
1,673
2,954
136
View attachment 96414

The IPC I referred is what AMD shown us when they announced Zen4...AMD claimed +13% IPC uplift compared to Zen3 at specified clock speed (4GHz in this case)...

Yet here is the specint result.



When you normalise for clockspeed, calculate the delta in each test and geomean the result you get a 13% IPC increase.. Funny that isnt it. Same thing happened with Zen 2 to Zen 3. Almost as if AMD take the nT SpecInt IPC uplift as their target marketing number and slap in a bunch of real world results that geomean to that figure.

Quick edit to add. This is why remembering the original claim is important because when AMD do release their IPC or performance uplift figures at some point they may differ from SpecINT 2017 ST... since chances are that marketing number is the nT figure.

I am not making any guesses as to the accuracy of the claims made but I am saying that when we revisit this after we have actual benchmarks in hand make sure you revisit on the basis of the claim made, not the basis of a generalised version that is not accurate.
 

eek2121

Platinum Member
Aug 2, 2005
2,934
4,033
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Who are you? The Dumbledore of software devs?
No, but I have worked for so long at this point for so many companies that if you have lived in the U.S. at least, your life has been somehow been influenced by my code.

Some of the projects I have worked on include a prescription tracking system for state/federal officials. If you get a prescription filled in at least 47 states, it is logged in this system. It is used to stop opioid abuse.
I dislike MLID as well but I won't dismiss his leaks totally cause as for any leaks, things could change. Now we have two parties which are providing two predictions...

  1. MLID +20% IPC
  2. @adroc_thurston and @Kepler_L2 +40% IPC with $999 price tags
Unlike RDNA3, there is no wiggle room here, only one party will be right here...we should know more in coming months and see which one is correct. Hint from Allthewatts:
I have to speak up and say that the price tag is most certainly a prediction and not any type of leak or anything like that. AMD will charge what they think they can get away with. If Intel or competitors do not have a good counter, no price tag will be too high.
 

yuri69

Senior member
Jul 16, 2013
396
641
136
  1. MLID +20% IPC
  2. @adroc_thurston and @Kepler_L2 +40% IPC with $999 price tags
Unlike RDNA3, there is no wiggle room here, only one party will be right here...we should know more in coming months and see which one is correct.
Sorry, you must be new here.

"My sources got old data". "My source tested an old firmware". "My IPC figure didnn't count games". "My IPC figure got no AVX-512".

The same clowns pushed the Zen 4 killer IPC or RDNA3 brutal leakz. Navi 33 having 4+k stream processors, being a RV770 reborn, with a "whole new uArch" argument countering the questions.
 

Tigerick

Senior member
Apr 1, 2022
679
559
106
Yet here is the specint result.



When you normalise for clockspeed, calculate the delta in each test and geomean the result you get a 13% IPC increase.. Funny that isnt it. Same thing happened with Zen 2 to Zen 3. Almost as if AMD take the nT SpecInt IPC uplift as their target marketing number and slap in a bunch of real world results that geomean to that figure.

Quick edit to add. This is why remembering the original claim is important because when AMD do release their IPC or performance uplift figures at some point they may differ from SpecINT 2017 ST... since chances are that marketing number is the nT figure.

I am not making any guesses as to the accuracy of the claims made but I am saying that when we revisit this after we have actual benchmarks in hand make sure you revisit on the basis of the claim made, not the basis of a generalised version that is not accurate.
Yeah, I got what you meant. I am creating Excel sheet to calculate percentage improvement. What formula should I use to normalize clock speed to 4GHz??
 

eek2121

Platinum Member
Aug 2, 2005
2,934
4,033
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Sorry, you must be new here.

"My sources got old data". "My source tested an old firmware". "My IPC figure didnn't count games". "My IPC figure got no AVX-512".

The same clowns pushed the Zen 4 killer IPC or RDNA3 brutal leakz. Navi 33 having 4+k stream processors, being a RV770 reborn, with a "whole new uArch" argument countering the questions.
I love this, however Zen 4 does have killer IPC compared to the competition and RDNA3 was supposed to clock higher. It was a busted product and they have since solved the issue.

Hype most certainly got out of control, however.
 

Timorous

Golden Member
Oct 27, 2008
1,673
2,954
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Yeah, I got what you meant. I am creating Excel sheet to calculate percentage improvement. What formula should I use to normalize clock speed to 4GHz??

because Anand did not disclose the clockspeeds I had to use the TPU clockspeed results for an all core workload to get some all core figures. Ended up with 5.3 for Zen 4 and 4.4 for Zen 3. I then took the score / clock to get a score / Ghz, did the delta between Zen 4 and Zen 3 and then took the geomean of those deltas to get 13.7% ipc bump which is close enough given my clockspeeds were probably not 100% on the money.
 

Timorous

Golden Member
Oct 27, 2008
1,673
2,954
136
I love this, however Zen 4 does have killer IPC compared to the competition and RDNA3 was supposed to clock higher. It was a busted product and they have since solved the issue.

Hype most certainly got out of control, however.

Yea, the combo of clocks to the moon and then some combined with double the shaders meant things got out of hand. The fact AMD did similar before did not help because it did aide the plausibility (damn you RV770!). Not even skyjuice realised the shaders were dual issue rather than being doubled up so although he got most of the spec right he was way off on shader count, then when you tell someone on reddit that and they block you lol.
 
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eek2121

Platinum Member
Aug 2, 2005
2,934
4,033
136
What is the IPC increase from alder to raptor to raptor refresh vs the ipc uplift from Zen 3 to Zen 4? Practically zero vs 13%.
This. Also, increasing IPC is hard, 13% is a great result to say nothing of the accelerated AVX-512 instructions, which technically provide a much bigger uplift.

Everything the competition has done, AMD has done better IMO.
 
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