Six Month Countdown

Lost_in_the_HTTP

Lifer

Nov 17, 2019

11,008

6,584

136

• May 7, 2024

• #1

Yes, there are a number of other election threads, but many of them have gone off the rails one way or another.

Without repeating and rehashing, what do you thing will happen?

While I'd like to see an overwhelming Blue Tidal Wave across all seats national, state and local. I expect not much change from the status quo. Marginal leads for one side or the other, but not enough to break the dysfunctional gridlock.

 

Fenixgoon

Lifer

Jun 30, 2003

31,662

10,094

136

• May 7, 2024

• #2

Maybe not a blue tidal wave, but I think overturning Roe is going to kill it for republicans. Dems get narrow majorities in the house and Senate, and Biden stays in office.

I also think if Trump and Biden do debate, Biden has an excellent opportunity to wipe the floor. He can call out every bad Republican policy, and talk about he's the one who actually got infrastructure investments for America.

I also think Trump's losing votes with more "mainstream" conservatives. He's got the die hards for sure, but I know a few people who simply can't bring themselves to vote for him again.

Of course thanks to the electoral college, it basically comes down to a few states no matter what.

 

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K1052

Elite Member

Aug 21, 2003

46,285

33,564

136

• May 7, 2024

• #3

If I'm placing a bet? Biden re-elected, Democrats take House, Republicans take Senate.

 

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S

Stokely

Golden Member

Jun 5, 2017

1,658

2,144

136

• May 7, 2024

• #4

Trump not getting into the White House would be a massive win, that's all I know. Anything else is the proverbial preliminary bout in boxing. I guess the more Democrats in place to try to offset what he's going to try to do (gut everything and try his best to be a dictator like his hero Putin) if he does win, the better.

Inevitably, if he loses he'll claim he was cheated and he'll try to lead another y'all qaeda uprising from the safety of his bedroom.

 

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Pens1566

Lifer

Oct 11, 2005

11,662

8,165

136

• May 7, 2024

• #5

Biden wins, Ds take the house by a comfortable margin, Ds only lose WV in the senate.

 

R

Roger Wilco

Diamond Member

Mar 20, 2017

3,895

5,753

136

• May 7, 2024

• #6

Trump has six more months to kick himself and the GOP in the balls. He seems to be getting better at it too.

 

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E

eelw

Diamond Member

Dec 4, 1999

9,135

4,427

136

• May 7, 2024

• #7

Biden squeaks out the EC win. Retake the House with narrow margins. Hold the Senate with 51 but without Sinchin obstructing, things get done.

 

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dank69

Lifer

Oct 6, 2009

35,421

28,865

136

• May 7, 2024

• #8

K1052 said:

If I'm placing a bet? Biden re-elected, Democrats take House, Republicans take Senate.

Click to expand...

This seems likely, barring any significant developments between now and November. Six months is a long time in politics...

The good thing about this outcome will be at least we don't have to survive another Trump term.

The bad thing will be that the likelihood of Dems changing anything for the better will still be low. Then, if they don't keep the House and/or don't take the Senate with a solid majority in 2026 so they can get some changes through before 2028, dogshit Americans will be more likely to put another GOP stooge in power. The only difference between Trump and whoever that stooge happens to be will be that it's not possible to be as incompetent as Trump is/was.

 

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MtnMan

Diamond Member

Jul 27, 2004

8,771

7,898

136

• May 7, 2024

• #9

Six months that is going to feel like 6 years.

 

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iRONic

Diamond Member

Jan 28, 2006

6,981

2,273

136

• May 7, 2024

• #10

… and 6 new threads by the OP every mont.

 

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UNCjigga

Lifer

Dec 12, 2000

24,828

9,059

136

• May 7, 2024

• #11

A very likely scenario I see playing out is Dems barely holding on to the Senate and eeking out a narrow majority in the House, while Donald Trump wins the presidency in the EC.

The new House session will start on January 3, 2025, and the Dems will literally start preparing articles of impeachment to be read on Inauguration Day (I don’t think they can impeach Trump while Biden’s in office, LOL!)

At that point, Trump’s Justice Department will immediately fight the impeachment, claiming double jeopardy (can’t be impeached twice for the same thing?) or some such nonsense and have SCOTUS weigh in. Not sure what will happen then, but I’ll be watching the VP pick with great interest…

Edit: Forgot that Rs only need 50 to take the Senate if Trump wins—so this is a less likely scenario when they only need 1 win between Ohio, Arizona and Montana (and can easily take all 3 nevermind any other competitive states.)

 

Last edited: May 7, 2024

E

eelw

Diamond Member

Dec 4, 1999

9,135

4,427

136

• May 7, 2024

• #12

UNCjigga said:

A very likely scenario I see playing out is Dems barely holding on to the Senate and eeking out a narrow majority in the House, while Donald Trump wins the presidency in the EC.

The new House session will start on January 3, 2025, and the Dems will literally start preparing articles of impeachment to be read on Inauguration Day (I don’t think they can impeach Trump while Biden’s in office, LOL!)

At that point, Trump’s Justice Department will immediately fight the impeachment, claiming double jeopardy (can’t be impeached twice for the same thing?) or some such nonsense and have SCOTUS weigh in. Not sure what will happen then, but I’ll be watching the VP pick with great interest…

Edit: Forgot that Rs only need 50 to take the Senate if Trump wins—so this is a less likely scenario when they only need 1 win between Ohio, Arizona and Montana (and can easily take all 3 nevermind any other competitive states.)

Click to expand...

They wouldn’t impeach him. They’ll 14A him for insurrection

 

G

gothuevos

Golden Member

Jul 28, 2010

1,923

1,673

136

• May 7, 2024

• #13

Trump
GOP Senate
Dem House

 

K1052

Elite Member

Aug 21, 2003

46,285

33,564

136

• May 7, 2024

• #14

gothuevos said:

Trump
GOP Senate
Dem House

Click to expand...

Unusually optimistic!

 

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