Discussion Zen 5 Speculation (EPYC Turin and Strix Point/Granite Ridge - Ryzen 9000)

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Kaffeekenan

Member
Jan 6, 2022
33
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I'd be more likely to believe the 40% uplift for Epyc chips, they're trying to throttle whatever hail mary intel is trying to cook up after Emerald Rapids. If we get half that for Ryzen, I'd be thrilled (and lining up for a 9900x)
If their epyc chips are 40% faster then that should translate nicely to their Ryzen chips...40% faster Epycs and 20% faster Ryzens would not mske sense.
 

reggie_fils_aime

Junior Member
Mar 8, 2024
20
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If their epyc chips are 40% faster then that should translate nicely to their Ryzen chips...40% faster Epycs and 20% faster Ryzens would not mske sense.

Well, from a business perspective it would be pretty reasonable to hold back that sort of a jump lest they completely ruin their currently saleable product line. There's a giant high-margin market to be captured with Epyc, and they wouldn't necessarily want to deprive themselves of supply there... I could very easily see them giving us some safety-scissors binned silicon and keeping the very best for ginormous chiplet blobs.
 

adroc_thurston

Platinum Member
Jul 2, 2023
2,219
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and probably a different approach to solving various perf scaling problems (like different coherency protocols), etc.
No.
It's literally the exact same thing as Genoa.
I could very easily see them giving us some safety-scissors binned silicon and keeping the very best for ginormous chiplet blobs.
Server and DT do not share the CCD.
they're trying to throttle whatever hail mary intel is trying to cook up after Emerald Rapids.
They do not care anymore.
GNR is 120 rewarmed GLCs on a better node, was never usable to begin with.
 
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gdansk

Platinum Member
Feb 8, 2011
2,123
2,630
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Well, from a business perspective it would be pretty reasonable to hold back that sort of a jump lest they completely ruin their currently saleable product line. There's a giant high-margin market to be captured with Epyc, and they wouldn't necessarily want to deprive themselves of supply there... I could very easily see them giving us some safety-scissors binned silicon and keeping the very best for ginormous chiplet blobs.
I am also skeptical of the high claims applying to desktop where clock rates are already absurd. But there is no business sense in nerfing a halo product. Even if it is hard to acquire the brand reputation is worth it to have a desktop part pushed to the limits.

It's the reason why some gamers with a measly 4070 will call Radeon people 'the poors' despite those with a 7900 XTX having much better performance. Like the RTX 4090 the 8950X(3D) doesn't have to be available in large numbers or be affordable it simply has to exist to get prestige sales further down the stack.
 
Mar 11, 2004
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At what power? I don't doubt AMD could push performance there if they start pushing Intel level of power, but I really hope that isn't the case as Zen 4 was already a step far enough in that direction. However, I'm hopeful since Zen 4 can still be efficient as well.

Which, I think idle power is the main aspect that ARM was holding over x86, with Intel making significant inroads in their most recent chips? Hoping AMD can make inroads there.

Somewhat disappointing that Strix Halo is 2025. Any news on the iGPU going in the non-APU Zen 5 (Zen 4 has a 2CU part, does it include video processing block)?

Will we be getting new chipsets for Zen 5? Anything else new? It'll still be DDR5 and PCIe 5? Just faster DDR5?
 

adroc_thurston

Platinum Member
Jul 2, 2023
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Which, I think idle power is the main aspect that ARM was holding over x86, with Intel making significant inroads in their most recent chips?
That's fabric power.
Hoping AMD can make inroads there.
Not changing much until Medusa.
Any news on the iGPU going in the non-APU Zen 5 (Zen 4 has a 2CU part, does it include video processing block)?
It's the exact same cIOD.
Will we be getting new chipsets for Zen 5? Anything else new? It'll still be DDR5 and PCIe 5? Just faster DDR5?
No, no, yes, a bit.
 
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SiliconFly

Golden Member
Mar 10, 2023
1,048
536
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I'd be more likely to believe the 40% uplift for Epyc chips, they're trying to throttle whatever hail mary intel is trying to cook up after Emerald Rapids. If we get half that for Ryzen, I'd be thrilled (and lining up for a 9900x)
I don't think Emerald Rapid's successor Granite Rapids is much of a competition to Zen5 in Servers.
 

eek2121

Platinum Member
Aug 2, 2005
2,930
4,026
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Every time I've tried to access this forum, it has been down FYI, so I'm like way behind in reading. I'm gonna comment on a few things, then I gotta get to bed. Long day today. Long day tomorrow. I also really want to work on this raspberry pi project, it is KILLING me.

Yeaaaa let's just say IDC needs something far meaner than LNC to compete.
They have something, but it isn't ready yet.
BTW, what happened @adroc_thurston and @Kepler_L2 that caused you to change your predictions ~10% higher than just a few weeks ago?:


That google sheet was put up on March 9:

Zen 5 Hype Train taking off from the station?
He has explained his predictions already. Scroll up.
I didn't see the explanation, but among other things posting exact numbers is never a good idea. There are ways of tracing certain information, but more important, numbers are meaningless without context. That is why I told people to take the Arrow Lake slide for what it is worth.
Our resident Prince Harry expects Arrow Lake to hit 7 GHz!

Intel will RULE!!!
Rule the power infrastructure of a modern country, perhaps.
if Zen 5 is indeed >40% uplift in ST SPECint (which is usually very close to Geekbench ST and the average IPC AMD reports) then this is quite a unique achievement.

The industry standard is about 20% IPC uplift for a new generation (usually on a new process with plenty more transistors).
I am sorry, this is not specifically about Zen 5, but AMD literally did this just a few years ago. Apple did it with the M1 vs both x86 and ARM. Why is it so hard to believe? Because Intel isn't doing it? Intel has been stuck and spinning their wheels to get anywhere. Don't get me wrong, they ARE working on some stuff, but they were far too reliant on node improvements and that absolutely kicked them in the rear end.

Qualcomm, AMD, and Apple have dropped or are dropping chips between this year and next year that are going to bring large improvements to the table. It doesn't happen every year, yes, but it happens frequently. Graviton, for example.
I am also skeptical of the high claims applying to desktop where clock rates are already absurd. But there is no business sense in nerfing a halo product. Even if it is hard to acquire the brand reputation is worth it to have a desktop part pushed to the limits.

It's the reason why some gamers with a measly 4070 will call Radeon people 'the poors' despite those with a 7900 XTX having much better performance. Like the RTX 4090 the 8950X(3D) doesn't have to be available in large numbers or be affordable it simply has to exist to get prestige sales further down the stack.
See above for the first part.

I am a gamer. I own thousands of PC games, hundreds of console games, etc. I don't refer to people like that. I actually would have bought the 7900XTX if it had better RT performance and AMD reference cards were smaller/better because it hit just the right amount of performance/price point for me. Don't get me wrong, when I buy a GPU I like to go all in, but AMD's flagships are always so compelling to me. The 6900XT was pretty amazing, for example. Ultimately I went with a 4090 because it was smaller, quieter, and runs faster. Half the time I game I don't even hear the fans spin up. It also has amazing RT performance. If AMD fixes RT and can focus on delivering a quality reference card (because face it: OEMs don't remember how to innovate) I will get one.

Anyway, I will finish catching up on other threads tomorrow. You guys have a great night. Some of these comments had me giggling.
 

Fjodor2001

Diamond Member
Feb 6, 2010
3,795
259
126
MLID mentioned 5.8 to 6 GHz top speed for Zen 5 in his latest video.

Not really a lot of newsworthy info in the video otherwise.
So 5.8 to 6 GHz turbo frequency? Means a slight bump compared to Zen4 at 5.7 GHz (for 7950X).

No clock regression after all then, as previously was suggested by some in this thread?
 

Hitman928

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2012
5,324
8,018
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So 5.8 to 6 GHz turbo frequency? Means a slight bump compared to Zen4 at 5.7 GHz (for 7950X).

No clock regression after all then, as previously was suggested by some in this thread?

Yes. . . if MLID is correct, but he doesn’t have a great track record. Only a couple months before we find out for sure.
 

Fjodor2001

Diamond Member
Feb 6, 2010
3,795
259
126
Ok, so now we’re at 40+ % IPC and 2-5% frequency increase on top, which adds up to around 45-50% perf increase in total.

I really hope AMD will be able to deliver this, because the expectations are set high for sure now! Don’t want to get disappointed.
 
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Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
10,970
3,522
136
Ok, so now we’re at 40+ % IPC and 2-5% frequency increase on top, which adds up to around 45-50% perf increase in total.

I really hope AMD will be able to deliver this, because the expectations are set high for sure now! Don’t want to get disappointed.

No one said 40% IPC, that s the perf improvement, although that seems quite inflated in respect of the slide provided by MLID even if 10-15% better IPC is a voluntary underestimation by AMD.
 

itsmydamnation

Platinum Member
Feb 6, 2011
2,777
3,164
136
No one said 40% IPC, that s the perf improvement, although that seems quite inflated in respect of the slide provided by MLID even if 10-15% better IPC is a voluntary underestimation by AMD.
Wasn't it explained at the time that the 15% was spec in rate n/T aka socket performance? So Turin has More Core with More IPC per core at the same power and about the same memory bandwidth. Which in the modern world of highend compute is actually crazy crazy good.
 

Joe NYC

Golden Member
Jun 26, 2021
1,970
2,348
106
Ok, so now we’re at 40+ % IPC and 2-5% frequency increase on top, which adds up to around 45-50% perf increase in total.

I really hope AMD will be able to deliver this, because the expectations are set high for sure now! Don’t want to get disappointed.

I think it was ~30s assuming clock regression and 40% only with a small clock speed increase. That's how I understand it.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
10,970
3,522
136
Wasn't it explained at the time that the 15% was spec in rate n/T aka socket performance? So Turin has More Core with More IPC per core at the same power and about the same memory bandwidth. Which in the modern world of highend compute is actually crazy crazy good.

In the slide it s mentioned that it s the core IPC improvement, so Spec 1/T even if it s somewhat at odd with the uarch big enhancement.






 
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