Discussion Intel Meteor, Arrow, Lunar & Panther Lakes Discussion Threads

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Tigerick

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Apr 1, 2022
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As Hot Chips 34 starting this week, Intel will unveil technical information of upcoming Meteor Lake (MTL) and Arrow Lake (ARL), new generation platform after Raptor Lake. Both MTL and ARL represent new direction which Intel will move to multiple chiplets and combine as one SoC platform.

MTL also represents new compute tile that based on Intel 4 process which is based on EUV lithography, a first from Intel. Intel expects to ship MTL mobile SoC in 2023.

ARL will come after MTL so Intel should be shipping it in 2024, that is what Intel roadmap is telling us. ARL compute tile will be manufactured by Intel 20A process, a first from Intel to use GAA transistors called RibbonFET.



Comparison of upcoming Intel's U-series CPU: Core Ultra 100U, Lunar Lake and Panther Lake

ModelCode-NameDateTDPNodeTilesMain TileCPULP E-CoreLLCGPUXe-cores
Core Ultra 100UMeteor LakeQ4 202315 - 57 WIntel 4 + N5 + N64tCPU2P + 8E212 MBIntel Graphics4
?Lunar LakeQ4 202417 - 30 WN3B + N62CPU + GPU & IMC4P + 4E08 MBArc8
?Panther LakeQ1 2026 ??Intel 18A + N3E3CPU + MC4P + 8E4?Arc12



Comparison of die size of Each Tile of Meteor Lake, Arrow Lake, Lunar Lake and Panther Lake

Meteor LakeArrow Lake (20A)Arrow Lake (N3B)Arrow Lake Refresh (N3B)Lunar LakePanther Lake
PlatformMobile H/U OnlyDesktop OnlyDesktop & Mobile H&HXDesktop OnlyMobile U OnlyMobile H
Process NodeIntel 4Intel 20ATSMC N3BTSMC N3BTSMC N3BIntel 18A
DateQ4 2023Q1 2025 ?Desktop-Q4-2024
H&HX-Q1-2025
Q4 2025 ?Q4 2024Q1 2026 ?
Full Die6P + 8P6P + 8E ?8P + 16E8P + 32E4P + 4E4P + 8E
LLC24 MB24 MB ?36 MB ??8 MB?
tCPU66.48
tGPU44.45
SoC96.77
IOE44.45
Total252.15



Intel Core Ultra 100 - Meteor Lake



As mentioned by Tomshardware, TSMC will manufacture the I/O, SoC, and GPU tiles. That means Intel will manufacture only the CPU and Foveros tiles. (Notably, Intel calls the I/O tile an 'I/O Expander,' hence the IOE moniker.)

 

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tamz_msc

Diamond Member
Jan 5, 2017
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no.
SNC-ish.
I should have been more clear. Assuming perfect scaling with frequency, Gracemont in Alder Lake already matches the performance performance clock of Rocket Lake. Gracemont in Raptor Lake should be low-single digit percentage higher perf per clock than Gracemont in Alder Lake owing to the doubled L2$ per cluster.

It's not big deal for Skymont to match the perf per clock of Golden Cove.

I'm taking the figures from Andrei's testing of SPECint_rate_2017 1T.
 

naukkis

Senior member
Jun 5, 2002
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Except for all those workloads that have high latency but also need lots of brawn like relational DB's or generally anything in the server space that is dealing with I/O.

I cant wait for 1000's of terribly performing kubernetes containers running on 1000's of average performing core. But im cloud scale!!!!! 2024 IT is lit.

Intel big cores are just wasted in their server grade cpu's - they are enormous as they are designed to run 6GHz and they are clocked about 3Ghz in their big configurations. Running them at 3GHz with HT means that their single-thread performance is actually lower than their small-core rivals. Even Intel own E-core based solution might actually have better single-thread performance in high utilization situations than their big-core solutions - Intel is sure doomed if they don't change their mindset of designing cores that their customers actually need. Their big-core with HT solution ain't competitive in most of designs they try to sell.
 

adroc_thurston

Platinum Member
Jul 2, 2023
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Intel big cores are just wasted in their server grade cpu's
No.
They're just not particularly area/power efficient which is an overarching IDC problem and not really unique to server.
they are enormous as they are designed to run 6GHz and they are clocked about 3Ghz in their big configurations.
Yeah about that.
Even Intel own E-core based solution might actually have better single-thread performance in high utilization situations than their big-core solutions
God no, Atom caches are pretty dog, that L2 in particular is slow and tiny.
 
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naukkis

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God no, Atom caches are pretty dog, that L2 in particular is slow and tiny.
That's absolutely not core's fault. Intel does pack them that way for being easily add 4-core complexes to existing ring/mesh networks but nothing is in their way to implement different L2-cache versions. They could for example made 60-core e-core solution which have fast 12MB L2 per core in size of their Golden-cove solutions and after that there probably could be quite different performance profiles - Intel solutions might actually be competitive with other vendors.
 

adroc_thurston

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Jul 2, 2023
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Intel does pack them that way for being easily add 4-core complexes to existing ring/mesh networks
No, Atom cache is just made to be slow and low power (ish).
They could for example made 60-core e-core solution which have fast 12MB L2 per core in size of their Golden-cove solutions
I don't think we're going back to Penryn but I digress.
You're overthinking Atom capabilities hard.
 

naukkis

Senior member
Jun 5, 2002
722
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136
No, Atom cache is just made to be slow and low power (ish).

I don't think we're going back to Penryn but I digress.
You're overthinking Atom capabilities hard.

Yeah, Intel should probably just made GoldenCove much bigger and run 40 of them @2Ghz with at least 4-way SMT to be competitive with rival's smaller cores. With such a strategy they are soon out of business. Actually they already are - have to wonder which parties are actually buying their rapid-solutions as they basically aren't competitive in any workloads - either for cost, energy-efficiency or packing density - Intel probably just gives them away to give a appearance that they are still in business.
 

Joe NYC

Platinum Member
Jun 26, 2021
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New performance leaks for arrow lake just drops, MLID as usual:


Arrow lake = Meteor Lake + 25-35% ( performance )

Discuss
ST? MT? If MT, then comparing what to what?

I don't buy ST improvement of 25-35% at all.

On MT, higher number of cores (8+16 or 8+32) combined with higher power limit than MTL will result in higher MT performance. 25%-35% may be within realm of possibilities of trivially parallel workload.
 

tamz_msc

Diamond Member
Jan 5, 2017
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No, Atom cache is just made to be slow and low power (ish).

I don't think we're going back to Penryn but I digress.
You're overthinking Atom capabilities hard.
You are underplaying the capabilities that Intel has when it comes to architecture of the building blocks in terms of their granularity.

Intel can decide which core to put in a mesh building block , and route them with their corresponding MCs and other cores at the individual core level.



There is no architecture-specific restriction on the size of the L2 in this approach.
 

SiliconFly

Golden Member
Mar 10, 2023
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Yeah, Intel should probably just made GoldenCove much bigger and run 40 of them @2Ghz with at least 4-way SMT to be competitive with rival's smaller cores. With such a strategy they are soon out of business. Actually they already are - have to wonder which parties are actually buying their rapid-solutions as they basically aren't competitive in any workloads - either for cost, energy-efficiency or packing density - Intel probably just gives them away to give a appearance that they are still in business.
GLC/RPC/RWC have too much bloat that have accumulated due to past design decisions. It isn't good enough nowadays. They're optimized for performance at very high clocks with a massive power draw. Not suitable anymore. Thank god Intel is killing them off. But sadly, the last cpu to feature one of these is Granite Rapids which I'm sure will be totally Dead-On-Arrival. They shouldn't even bother launching bad stuff like GNR. Sucks.
 
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Goop_reformed

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Sep 23, 2023
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No.
They're just not particularly area/power efficient which is an overarching IDC problem and not really unique to server.

Yeah about that.

God no, Atom caches are pretty dog, that L2 in particular is slow and tiny.
Alright, who will win Zen 5 or Arrow Lake?
ST? MT? If MT, then comparing what to what?

I don't buy ST improvement of 25-35% at all.

On MT, higher number of cores (8+16 or 8+32) combined with higher power limit than MTL will result in higher MT performance. 25%-35% may be within realm of possibilities of trivially parallel workload.

It's literally what he said in video and in the slides. No infos about st or nt
 

SiliconFly

Golden Member
Mar 10, 2023
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...the undisputed king of Single Thread performance.
Thats what they want us to believe. They may even find a way around RU virtual cores. But in reality, slicing a normal software thread is very difficult. And RU may not offer much performance gains with real world applications.

But there is one exception. If an RU-optimized application is compiled with an RU-optimized Intel compiler, then it will definitely work beautifully. Not so much with rest of the real world applications. I'm guessing a ST boost of 10% - 20% is what we can expect with RU with normal day-to-day workloads.
 

SiliconFly

Golden Member
Mar 10, 2023
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Alright, who will win Zen 5 or Arrow Lake?
Zen5 may take the overall performance crown, but not by much I guess. The difference should be in single digit. I'm thinking like 5% maximum.

And in the next generation, Arrow Lake Refresh arrives before Zen6. So, Intel may have a slight lead there. Again like 5% max.

And the cycle continues...
 

SiliconFly

Golden Member
Mar 10, 2023
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I don't buy ST improvement of 25-35% at all.
He's just shooting in the dark. He's being purposefully fuzzy just to cover his back if his prediction fails. Even if ARL performance falls out of his predicted range, he'll just introduce new elements like clocks, interconnect, packaging, cache performance, etc, to justify his claims and still say he was right. We just need to take this with a bucket of salt.
 

moinmoin

Diamond Member
Jun 1, 2017
4,975
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Probably something similar to this. We called it "reverse Hyperthreading".
Oh ok, it's that old stuff we already talked about in like a dozen threads over the decade. Thanks. Would be nice to see it being realized at some point, but seeing how it reliably appears and disappears again and again the chances are slim.

 

Hulk

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 1999
4,269
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He's just shooting in the dark. He's being purposefully fuzzy just to cover his back if his prediction fails. Even if ARL performance falls out of his predicted range, he'll just introduce new elements like clocks, interconnect, packaging, cache performance, etc, to justify his claims and still say he was right. We just need to take this with a bucket of salt.

Exactly, this is pure BS. The only information provide in this "leak" is 25 to 35% performance uplift over Meteor Lake.

First, he doesn't specify clocks so we have to assume this is Meteor Lake mobile clocks compared to Arrow Lake desktop clocks and mobile memory subsystem to desktop! We know this is HUGE. That could be +20% right there is terms of performance uplift with NO architectural changes, just faster desktop memory and CPU frequency, which of course is normal for even the same generation of CPU.

Second, he's comparing tiled to tiled so no tile penalty in this comparison.

Unfortunately he made a 22 minute video that tells us absolutely nothing.

All of the obstacles I've documented Intel has with besting Raptor Lake performance, tile latency, 6+GHz Intel 7 frequencies, lack of HT for MT performance, are still there with no idea of how they will be mitigated.

At the end of the day you can buy a 14900KS next week and with good cooling get 5.9GHz all-core and 6.2GHz dual core performance right now. My curiosity remains as to how Intel accomplishes the magic act of surpassing the raw performance of that CPU?

If Arrow Lake is actually 8+16 I stand with my prediction that is will have ~15% better IPC for 5 to 10% better overall ST performance and will at best tie Raptor MT performance in well-threaded applications. I will also add that if this is the case and it is more efficient, easier to cool than Raptor Lake then this is a "better" part than Raptor Lake, but the numbers will be less impressive than actual day-to-day use mainly due to the fact that many apps still rely heavily on ST performance, and any decent air cooler will be sufficient.
 

FlameTail

Platinum Member
Dec 15, 2021
2,356
1,276
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He's just shooting in the dark. He's being purposefully fuzzy just to cover his back if his prediction fails. Even if ARL performance falls out of his predicted range, he'll just introduce new elements like clocks, interconnect, packaging, cache performance, etc, to justify his claims and still say he was right. We just need to take this with a bucket of salt.

MLID viewers must be having extreme chronic high blood blood pressure due to all the salt they take...
 
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