Only 31% of Americans want an EV or PHEV. What about you?

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CP5670

Diamond Member
Jun 24, 2004
5,517
592
126
I noticed that a lot of the upscale EVs have insane depreciation, which makes used ones a pretty good deal. The EQS and i7 drop by over 50% in 3 years. There is still the inconvenience of charging though if you don't have a single family home.
 

BonzaiDuck

Lifer
Jun 30, 2004
15,732
1,461
126
I just had a conversation with my brother. He's a die-hard climate denier, and blows off the notion of getting an EV. We were discussing investments, and I mentioned a certain well-known car company which had made advances in battery technology, likely to sell it to the rest of the vehicle market -- at a price. He blew off that idea, suggesting that "people weren't buying EVs", or that the stock wasn't a sure thing.

I see the writing on the wall. First, the amount of oil in the ground is limited, and it will likely be depleted in 200 years. Second, the climate imperative assures that the transportation market will only lean toward EV as the future unfolds.

That given, I won't invest a large sum of money in any type of vehicle as long as my 29-year-old SUV continues to run like new, as long as gasoline is priced below $10/gallon, and as long as I only drive at most 5,000 miles per annum. It doesn't make much sense for an old retired fart like me, and all my old retired fart friends seem to be following the same strategy.

HOWEVER! Looking at the near future, it would make more sense -- if driven to it (ha - a pun) -- to go with a hybrid. For the longer term, it would still be feasible, and for the shorter term, waiting for an infrastructure of charging stations, you would avoid being stranded somewhere with no means of firing up the engine (so to speak).
 
Mar 11, 2004
23,099
5,578
146
There were a bunch of articles somewhat recently about how there's so many EVs sitting on lots and acting like its because no one wants EVs, but isn't it weird how there's story after story about ICE sitting on lots now? Chrysler (including Jeep and RAM; article I saw mentioned Challenger and Charger as well) were said to have 6 months of inventory sitting on lots, Nissan admitted they had a bunch of what should probably be one of if not their most popular SUV (one of the midsized or maybe compact), and now Lincoln. Which, sure some of that is likely due to brand and other issues (maybe new model on the way and them not incentivizing enough to move prior), but its interesting how it was originally framed as an EV issue. I'm guessing what likely really happened was, they massively overproduced once the supply chain smoothed out, leading to a glut, coupled with prices (and especially loans) not becoming agreeable enough that consumers are able and willing to wait. I'm sure some brands/models are doing better than others (think the Maverick is selling well again, but believe there were issues with the Ranger production).
 
Reactions: CP5670 and Ken g6

AdamK47

Lifer
Oct 9, 1999
15,262
2,880
126
Fisker cut the price of the Ocean. $61,499 to $37,499. Get one cheap if you don't mind buying from a soon to be defunct company.
 
Reactions: Fenixgoon

Raizinman

Platinum Member
Sep 7, 2007
2,353
74
91
meettomy.site
Was thinking about getting an EV but have decided to wait until after the elections. Trump has said too many things about stopping the production of charging stations and increasing oil production. This could make owning an EV a terrible idea. Yes, must wait until after the election.
 
Reactions: Ken g6

Brovane

Diamond Member
Dec 18, 2001
5,400
1,578
136
Was thinking about getting an EV but have decided to wait until after the elections. Trump has said too many things about stopping the production of charging stations and increasing oil production. This could make owning an EV a terrible idea. Yes, must wait until after the election.

The only thing Trump could do is try and repeal the Inflation Reduction Act which would be difficult unless the Republicans control the House and the Senate.

Tesla already has a great charging network and with other manufacturers gaining access it really doesn't make sense to hold off unless you have a specific use case. Something else to keep in mind is that if the GOP is able to repeal the Inflation Reduction Act they could also take away the BEV tax credit.
 
Reactions: Fenixgoon

manly

Lifer
Jan 25, 2000
11,157
2,252
136
The only thing Trump could do is try and repeal the Inflation Reduction Act which would be difficult unless the Republicans control the House and the Senate.

Tesla already has a great charging network and with other manufacturers gaining access it really doesn't make sense to hold off unless you have a specific use case. Something else to keep in mind is that if the GOP is able to repeal the Inflation Reduction Act they could also take away the BEV tax credit.
They probably don't need to repeal the act, but they could easily fuck up implementation. It's already been slow to get charging stations built under the IRA; WashPo explains why and suggests it'll get a lot better going forward. But as of now it allows the GQP to loudly proclaim "The Biden IRA is bad" (but please keep sending us the money because we like to take credit for it anyway lol).

WashPo - Biden’s $7.5 billion investment in EV charging has only produced 7 stations in two years

Suffice to say Electrify America and the IRA have a lot of work left to do, and there's still plenty of time.
 
Reactions: Ken g6

Red Squirrel

No Lifer
May 24, 2003
67,562
12,213
126
www.anyf.ca
They need to treat charging stations like gas stations. They should be independent of auto makers and just their own separate business. Any charging station should work for any car, by default. Being able to pay with at minimum a credit or debit card should also be mandatory. Ex: shouldn't need any form of account or anything.
 

Zorba

Lifer
Oct 22, 1999
14,645
10,053
136
Beyond there not being enough charging stations, and them having annoying as shit interfaces. They also just charge too much. The local level 2s are 2-4x local electrical retail rates and the level 3s are like 6x. It would be cheaper for me to drive an F150 than my Bolt if I was paying for public Level 3 chargers around here.

My city has put in a few level 2s at parks, that were all free, but I saw starting tomorrow they are going to start charging 2x the going retail rate for electricity from our city's electrical coop. I get that there is a little bit of overhead, but I know the city isn't paying retail rate for power from our city's power company either.
 

_Rick_

Diamond Member
Apr 20, 2012
3,935
68
91
And that's why the auto makers need to get in on the re-charging market.
They're still mostly catering to up-market, digital native people with their electric brand, but have to reach past the early adopters. Those people won't accept inconveniences, and thus a coherent charging experience across a continent needs to be in place.

And that includes home-charging, which is why you can usually order your wall-box along with your car.

The real challenge though will be the after-life of the skateboard-design electrical vehicle. Sure, this also affects modern ICE vehicles to some degree, where even second world countries cannot afford to maintain them, once they reach 10-15 years of age, as the complexity is too high. Wiring harnesses are too complex, you need to be able to debug electronics, which even many tier-one techs aren't able to do, let alone the equivalent of hedge-doctors - and once you throw in degrading batteries, basically the third world will never get "new" cars again (as in cars that survived twenty to thirty years while remaining somewhat serviceable).
 

Brovane

Diamond Member
Dec 18, 2001
5,400
1,578
136
Beyond there not being enough charging stations, and them having annoying as shit interfaces. They also just charge too much. The local level 2s are 2-4x local electrical retail rates and the level 3s are like 6x. It would be cheaper for me to drive an F150 than my Bolt if I was paying for public Level 3 chargers around here.

My city has put in a few level 2s at parks, that were all free, but I saw starting tomorrow they are going to start charging 2x the going retail rate for electricity from our city's electrical coop. I get that there is a little bit of overhead, but I know the city isn't paying retail rate for power from our city's power company either.

It really depends. I was looking pricing at my local Tesla Supercharger rates near my house.

000-0400 - $.18
0400-1000 - $.30
1000-1800- $.53
1800-0000- $.43

Local Electrify America is $.56 kwh 24-hours a day.

My local SDGE rate plan for winter.

0000-0600 - $.15
0600-1600- $.45
0600-2100- $.52
2100-0000 - $.45

Gas is currently at around $4.50/Gallon for San Diego.

So a bolt will be $.16 cost per mile assuming $.56 kwh and 3.5 Miles per kwh.
F150 assuming a EPA mileage of 21 combined city and driving and $4.50 gallon it would cost about $.21 cost per mile in fuel cost.
 

Brovane

Diamond Member
Dec 18, 2001
5,400
1,578
136
They probably don't need to repeal the act, but they could easily fuck up implementation. It's already been slow to get charging stations built under the IRA; WashPo explains why and suggests it'll get a lot better going forward. But as of now it allows the GQP to loudly proclaim "The Biden IRA is bad" (but please keep sending us the money because we like to take credit for it anyway lol).

WashPo - Biden’s $7.5 billion investment in EV charging has only produced 7 stations in two years

Suffice to say Electrify America and the IRA have a lot of work left to do, and there's still plenty of time.

IMHO the biggest impediment to the roll-out of charging stations is local utilities. I will give a example of a local Tesla Supercharger install nearby me in Escondido. Permit was issued on 2/23/2023 to install 20 stalls. By May Tesla already had stations being installed physically onsite. By June of 2023 everything was finished and paving was completed. Tesla has now been waiting since June of 2023 for SDGE to install a transformer and a additional switch and the current timeline is Q2-2024.

7 stations in 2 years? That sucks. Tesla currently has 162 Supercharging stations under-construction in the US. These are all V3 or V4 250kw+ charging stations.
 

Red Squirrel

No Lifer
May 24, 2003
67,562
12,213
126
www.anyf.ca
Workplaces should install chargers and it should just be a standard thing. They already have power for block heaters, just put a 120v charger at each parking spot off the same circuit. If they don't have power to run them all at once just have them on timers so they alternate. That would handle like 90% of charging for people who can't charge at home. Although if you can't charge at home an EV is probably a bad choice.

Hotels could install chargers too, that would be the most logical place as if you are traveling you are going to be stopping at a hotel and staying the night at some point during the trip. Once EVs have enough range for at least 12 hours of driving including heat etc they will be more viable for travel, if hotels have chargers.
 

Brovane

Diamond Member
Dec 18, 2001
5,400
1,578
136
Workplaces should install chargers and it should just be a standard thing. They already have power for block heaters, just put a 120v charger at each parking spot off the same circuit. If they don't have power to run them all at once just have them on timers so they alternate. That would handle like 90% of charging for people who can't charge at home. Although if you can't charge at home an EV is probably a bad choice.

Hotels could install chargers too, that would be the most logical place as if you are traveling you are going to be stopping at a hotel and staying the night at some point during the trip. Once EVs have enough range for at least 12 hours of driving including heat etc they will be more viable for travel, if hotels have chargers.

Who regularly drives 12-hours nonstop?
 

Red Squirrel

No Lifer
May 24, 2003
67,562
12,213
126
www.anyf.ca
Who regularly drives 12-hours nonstop?

Going on a family trip comes to mind. I know people who will go to Disneyworld for example and they actually drive the whole way. That's like a week of driving. So say you did 12 hours in a day you could charge at your hotel. Personally that much driving is not for me and I will ever drive that much myself, but I don't blame people for considering it when they're about to drop close to 100k on a vehicle. You want to make sure it will serve all your needs, even the ones that only come up once a year.

With that said having a huge battery for a once a year trip seems wasteful so I think a better approach would be if they made series hybrids more common. Something like a 100km range battery with small gas engine to keep it topped up. So for the few times you need to do lot of driving you would use gas otherwise all electric. Unless of course they can come up with a battery tech that makes it more viable, without having to strip mine the whole earth.
 
Reactions: CP5670

hal2kilo

Lifer
Feb 24, 2009
23,509
10,386
136
I just had a conversation with my brother. He's a die-hard climate denier, and blows off the notion of getting an EV. We were discussing investments, and I mentioned a certain well-known car company which had made advances in battery technology, likely to sell it to the rest of the vehicle market -- at a price. He blew off that idea, suggesting that "people weren't buying EVs", or that the stock wasn't a sure thing.

I see the writing on the wall. First, the amount of oil in the ground is limited, and it will likely be depleted in 200 years. Second, the climate imperative assures that the transportation market will only lean toward EV as the future unfolds.

That given, I won't invest a large sum of money in any type of vehicle as long as my 29-year-old SUV continues to run like new, as long as gasoline is priced below $10/gallon, and as long as I only drive at most 5,000 miles per annum. It doesn't make much sense for an old retired fart like me, and all my old retired fart friends seem to be following the same strategy.

HOWEVER! Looking at the near future, it would make more sense -- if driven to it (ha - a pun) -- to go with a hybrid. For the longer term, it would still be feasible, and for the shorter term, waiting for an infrastructure of charging stations, you would avoid being stranded somewhere with no means of firing up the engine (so to speak).
Just at that 10 yr 95k point with my Grande Cherokee ECO diesel. Have a maintenance light that's going to cost probably a little over $5000 to get rid of (clogged intake manifold and swirl vales due to pollution controls). Debate buying a new car, No way. Ever since I've had this car, whenever I rented a car as part of my job, nothing compared to it. Underpowered unresponsive toys. So I will take a big gamble and have the work done, and if I get another 50k out of this thing I will be way ahead. I just pray that it won't get totaled somehow. At that point, it will be an EV if I'm still driving.
 

Brovane

Diamond Member
Dec 18, 2001
5,400
1,578
136
Going on a family trip comes to mind. I know people who will go to Disneyworld for example and they actually drive the whole way. That's like a week of driving. So say you did 12 hours in a day you could charge at your hotel. Personally that much driving is not for me and I will ever drive that much myself, but I don't blame people for considering it when they're about to drop close to 100k on a vehicle. You want to make sure it will serve all your needs, even the ones that only come up once a year.
People with families don't drive non-stop for 12-hours. They stop to use the bathroom, get food etc.
 

BonzaiDuck

Lifer
Jun 30, 2004
15,732
1,461
126
Just at that 10 yr 95k point with my Grande Cherokee ECO diesel. Have a maintenance light that's going to cost probably a little over $5000 to get rid of (clogged intake manifold and swirl vales due to pollution controls). Debate buying a new car, No way. Ever since I've had this car, whenever I rented a car as part of my job, nothing compared to it. Underpowered unresponsive toys. So I will take a big gamble and have the work done, and if I get another 50k out of this thing I will be way ahead. I just pray that it won't get totaled somehow. At that point, it will be an EV if I'm still driving.
I'd occasionally thought my old Trooper was underpowered, but it wasn't designed for the drag strip; it's a 4WD designed for 4WD terrain. I DO get respect from Jeep owners, assuming the road-warrior equivalent of body language I see when I'm driving. The buzzy little subcompacts and supercharged sedans behave like they're saying "Get that ol' Zu-Zu off the road!" With the former group, they maneuver for close inspection to check all sides.

I had even heard skinny from a 2001 F150 owner that reviews about cost and reliability fell short for Jeep and some other makes, but for the range of maintenance and repair accumulated expense data, my Trooper doesn't win prizes. I wouldn't know how the emissions control system would affect your intake manifold etc. to cost that much. I've seen a perfectly good Corolla at 235,000 miles become "Cash for Clunkers" because of an emission-control part with a rubber diaphragm that was no longer available new for $135 or any price. Other vehicles -- I at least was able to obtain the OEM parts at a local dealer. This was something I still worry about with the Trooper, but so far, especially after a year's Cata-Clean treatment, the California smog-test numbers are worth having a big party to celebrate.

What do you hear about Jeep engines? Lesser components other than engine and tranny usually deserve attention around 100K miles, and that was my experience. Otherwise, if the stats, rumors and firsthand anecdotes make engine longevity much higher, you should do as you plan to do. I would! Actually -- I AM!
 

Zorba

Lifer
Oct 22, 1999
14,645
10,053
136
It really depends. I was looking pricing at my local Tesla Supercharger rates near my house.

000-0400 - $.18
0400-1000 - $.30
1000-1800- $.53
1800-0000- $.43

Local Electrify America is $.56 kwh 24-hours a day.

My local SDGE rate plan for winter.

0000-0600 - $.15
0600-1600- $.45
0600-2100- $.52
2100-0000 - $.45

Gas is currently at around $4.50/Gallon for San Diego.

So a bolt will be $.16 cost per mile assuming $.56 kwh and 3.5 Miles per kwh.
F150 assuming a EPA mileage of 21 combined city and driving and $4.50 gallon it would cost about $.21 cost per mile in fuel cost.
My home electricity is $0.12/kw-hr, public level 3s (that charge per kw-hr and not minute) are about $0.65/kw-hr. Gas is right about $3.

So from home the Bolt is is about $0.03/mi at home, $0.19/mi from Level 3, and an F150 would be $0.14/mi, a Prius would be about $0.05/mi.

I'm happy to not be burning gas or dealing with an engine, but the economics aren't great if you can't charge at home or have expensive electricity at home.
 
Reactions: Ken g6

nOOky

Platinum Member
Aug 17, 2004
2,864
1,878
136
Once people can get their lottery tickets, morning coffee, cigarettes, and junk food including roller hot dogs during a charging stop they'll settle down about it. Charging time is a concern right now as is the availability of charging stations, but that will only get better. Many folks get gas and are used to a short 5 minute stop maybe on their lunch break or on their way to work etc. so of course the thought of sitting there for 20 minutes isn't realistic to most folks daily lives. Actually long vacation drives seem more amenable to EV's as ideally you could plan a lunch stop around a charge etc.

I am getting an estimate for upgrading my home service from 100 to 200 amp and then burying the wire to a detached garage etc. to see if it is reasonable for me to buy an EV as my next vehicle. If I can't charge at home I won't because where I live and work there are no level 2 or 3 chargers so I almost have to charge at home. A PHEV would be okay if 120V can charge it overnight. But if get an estimate for the work that I find prohibitive I'm buying another ICE vehicle.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,278
33,555
136
I am getting an estimate for upgrading my home service from 100 to 200 amp and then burying the wire to a detached garage etc. to see if it is reasonable for me to buy an EV as my next vehicle. If I can't charge at home I won't because where I live and work there are no level 2 or 3 chargers so I almost have to charge at home. A PHEV would be okay if 120V can charge it overnight. But if get an estimate for the work that I find prohibitive I'm buying another ICE vehicle.

I mean a lot of this depends on your needs. With my usage pattern I could easily live on 120V because the most I'm going to do in a day is about 40 miles round trip and I WFH so the car is nearly always in its space.
 
Reactions: Brainonska511

Brovane

Diamond Member
Dec 18, 2001
5,400
1,578
136
Once people can get their lottery tickets, morning coffee, cigarettes, and junk food including roller hot dogs during a charging stop they'll settle down about it. Charging time is a concern right now as is the availability of charging stations, but that will only get better. Many folks get gas and are used to a short 5 minute stop maybe on their lunch break or on their way to work etc. so of course the thought of sitting there for 20 minutes isn't realistic to most folks daily lives. Actually long vacation drives seem more amenable to EV's as ideally you could plan a lunch stop around a charge etc.

I am getting an estimate for upgrading my home service from 100 to 200 amp and then burying the wire to a detached garage etc. to see if it is reasonable for me to buy an EV as my next vehicle. If I can't charge at home I won't because where I live and work there are no level 2 or 3 chargers so I almost have to charge at home. A PHEV would be okay if 120V can charge it overnight. But if get an estimate for the work that I find prohibitive I'm buying another ICE vehicle.

I think there is a $600 tax credit for upgrading your main panel in the US. If you don't have Solar and want to get solar installed you could loop the main panel upgrade into a solar install and then get 30% tax credit on everything for people that file for US taxes.
 
Reactions: nOOky

Brovane

Diamond Member
Dec 18, 2001
5,400
1,578
136
My home electricity is $0.12/kw-hr, public level 3s (that charge per kw-hr and not minute) are about $0.65/kw-hr. Gas is right about $3.

So from home the Bolt is is about $0.03/mi at home, $0.19/mi from Level 3, and an F150 would be $0.14/mi, a Prius would be about $0.05/mi.

I'm happy to not be burning gas or dealing with an engine, but the economics aren't great if you can't charge at home or have expensive electricity at home.

That L3 cost per kwh is really high. Usually I find places with lower cost of gasoline also have lower prices for electricity.
 
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