4070 reviews thread

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Mopetar

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2011
7,936
6,239
136
That doesn't mean that there is no market failure. Monopolies and oligopolies often do still provide improvements, but it is no longer dictated by what is possible, but what they consider optimal to maximize their profits.

The problem with this claim is that 10 years ago there were still only two major players in the GPU space. Hell, that's been the case for almost two decades. Why did it take so long for them to decide to be greedy?

It seems like other factors offer better explanations than an alarmist claim of market failure.
 

Aapje

Golden Member
Mar 21, 2022
1,434
1,954
106
The problem with this claim is that 10 years ago there were still only two major players in the GPU space. Hell, that's been the case for almost two decades. Why did it take so long for them to decide to be greedy?
As @GodisanAtheist notes, they already paid a settlement over it.

But the answer why they are now increasing prices so much is that both benefit more from it than in the past. AMD benefits from shrinking the PC gamer market and pushing people towards consoles, which mostly use AMD. They are earning way more money from server CPUs anyway, so they don't have to do well with GPUs.

Nvidia had the mining boom and now the AI boom, which means that they don't really need gamers. In fact, giving us fairly cheap cards with a decent amount of VRAM can harm their huge AI profits, as people might then buy cheap GPUs for AI work.

You need to keep in mind that monopolists/oligopolists only have the power to set prices, but that doesn't mean that have the power to make you buy their product. The laws of supply and demand still apply (where the higher the price, the more buyers leave the market). They just care less than ever about having low sales.
 
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jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
14,688
5,318
136
4070 is falling below MSRP. Retailers are eating their margin I guess. Amazon has a model for $549 after coupon and Newegg has one for $579 plus $50 off if you use their Zip payment.
 

Heartbreaker

Diamond Member
Apr 3, 2006
4,238
5,244
136
Yes, Retailers have sales.

I think the 4070 is doing quite well.

It's already showing up in the Steam Survey. Which is pretty fast for a new card.

For the Steam Survey Denialist that prefer Mindfactory Sales, it looks like the 4070 has been their best Selling GPU every single week since it's release...
 

Thunder 57

Platinum Member
Aug 19, 2007
2,722
3,911
136
Yes, Retailers have sales.

I think the 4070 is doing quite well.

It's already showing up in the Steam Survey. Which is pretty fast for a new card.

For the Steam Survey Denialist that prefer Mindfactory Sales, it looks like the 4070 has been their best Selling GPU every single week since it's release...

LoL, are you trolling? Almost no GPU is selling well now, except maybe the 4090 or RDNA2 leftovers. Nobody is buying 4060 Ti's, and the 4070 didn't seem to do much better. And why the smiley face, as if you are happy that a renamed overpriced card was selling is a good thing?
 

jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
14,688
5,318
136
LoL, are you trolling? Almost no GPU is selling well now, except maybe the 4090 or RDNA2 leftovers. Nobody is buying 4060 Ti's, and the 4070 didn't seem to do much better. And why the smiley face, as if you are happy that a renamed overpriced card was selling is a good thing?

The 4070 Ti seems to be selling OK. But 4070 or 4060 Ti, no.
 

Heartbreaker

Diamond Member
Apr 3, 2006
4,238
5,244
136
The 4070 Ti seems to be selling OK. But 4070 or 4060 Ti, no.

Based on what? I'd bet the 4070 is the best seller of the RTX 4000 lineup.

4070 has been the best selling card at Mindfactory for about 8 straight weeks. And it took less than 2 months to reach enough cumulative sales to register on Steam Survey. Here is the most recent (week 22) MF numbers:

 
Last edited:
Reactions: Mopetar

Mopetar

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2011
7,936
6,239
136
As @GodisanAtheist notes, they already paid a settlement over it.

But the answer why they are now increasing prices so much is that both benefit more from it than in the past. AMD benefits from shrinking the PC gamer market and pushing people towards consoles, which mostly use AMD. They are earning way more money from server CPUs anyway, so they don't have to do well with GPUs.

Nvidia had the mining boom and now the AI boom, which means that they don't really need gamers. In fact, giving us fairly cheap cards with a decent amount of VRAM can harm their huge AI profits, as people might then buy cheap GPUs for AI work.

You need to keep in mind that monopolists/oligopolists only have the power to set prices, but that doesn't mean that have the power to make you buy their product. The laws of supply and demand still apply (where the higher the price, the more buyers leave the market). They just care less than ever about having low sales.

Your arguments really only serves my point. It's not a market failure when the companies have other customers who are willing to pay more for their products. That's the reason they don't have to care what the PC gaming market wants. The PC gaming market wants a 16 GB 4060 Ti or a $600 7900 XT. Too bad other people will pay more than triple that for the same amount of silicon.

I also don't think AMD makes a lot of money on the console sales, but it does pay for a lot of their development costs so it's hard to say how much that business is really worth. They obviously consider it worth the cost of doing business so it's not a net loss for them either.
 
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Aapje

Golden Member
Mar 21, 2022
1,434
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Your arguments really only serves my point. It's not a market failure when the companies have other customers who are willing to pay more for their products. That's the reason they don't have to care what the PC gaming market wants. The PC gaming market wants a 16 GB 4060 Ti or a $600 7900 XT. Too bad other people will pay more than triple that for the same amount of silicon.
That argument made sense during the mining boom when any GPU was sought by miners and production simply couldn't keep up, but now we see that neither AMD or Intel have solid AI offerings.

It is market failure when one company finds another buyer for their cards and the other competitors can't or won't compensate for this to a large extent by creating a competitive product.
 

fleshconsumed

Diamond Member
Feb 21, 2002
6,483
2,352
136
Yes, Retailers have sales.

I think the 4070 is doing quite well.

It's already showing up in the Steam Survey. Which is pretty fast for a new card.

For the Steam Survey Denialist that prefer Mindfactory Sales, it looks like the 4070 has been their best Selling GPU every single week since it's release...
Retailers wouldn't be having sales on a 2 months old product if it was selling well.
 

Heartbreaker

Diamond Member
Apr 3, 2006
4,238
5,244
136
Retailers wouldn't be having sales on a 2 months old product if it was selling well.

Maybe they just ordered excess stock early when the market looked better...

Maybe a specific model is less desirable, than other models which are selling much better so they are just making that one model more attractive.

You can't read much into a specific card on sale somewhere. It's noise, not data. BTW of the two 4070 cards in my Amazon wishlist, one went OOS, and the other up in price, but that is also just noise...

Balance that noise between it being the best selling card at Mindfactory since it launched, and only taking about 6 weeks to make it past the cutoff for the Steam Survey.

Note Manufactory data has typically been used to show how well AMD is doing at retail, but now it shows the 4070 outselling every GPU consistently, even much less expensive ones.

I think the "feels" on 4070 selling poorly are just plain wrong.
 

Mopetar

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2011
7,936
6,239
136
That argument made sense during the mining boom when any GPU was sought by miners and production simply couldn't keep up, but now we see that neither AMD or Intel have solid AI offerings.

It is market failure when one company finds another buyer for their cards and the other competitors can't or won't compensate for this to a large extent by creating a competitive product.

It doesn't matter that they don't have a wildly popular AI GPU when they have a widely popular server platform and who knows what the new MI300 will end up doing. Certainly can't do them any worse.

Regardless, all of those products compete for 5nm wafers from TSMC, just like yogurt and cheese both need milk to manufacture. When the demand for cheese massively increases and customers pay more for it, it constrains yogurt production and some customers who just want yogurt may have to pay more for it due to lowered supply.

The point is that calling this a market failure overlooks far too many important details or makes faulty assumptions or draw conclusions from grossly faulty logic. Both AMD and NVidia could make $300 GPUs that offer a significant performance uplift and would be wildly popular and sell by the truckload. But the opportunity cost of doing that means they aren't making and selling as many $3,000 or even $30,000 professional or enterprise parts.

I'll assume most people here have good high paying jobs. Maybe some people want to earn a bit more so they find a side job being an Uber driver or just working part time flipping burgers for $15/hour. Of course no one is going to lower their hours at their main job where they could make double, triple, or even more than the burger job to pick up extra hours at the fry station. People like complained try to maximize the value they can get for their time.

If there were more fabs with the same quality level as TSMC then we could expect a more plentiful quantity of wafers at lower prices, but the lead times on fabs are so long that unless anyone planned for a big demand spike years in advance, there's no quick fix available. We may not like this reality, but crying and calling it a market failure isn't correct or even productive.
 

Aapje

Golden Member
Mar 21, 2022
1,434
1,954
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It doesn't matter that they don't have a wildly popular AI GPU when they have a widely popular server platform and who knows what the new MI300 will end up doing. Certainly can't do them any worse.
Unless data centers suddenly start investing less in CPU's and more in AI. Then AMD's cunning plan to replace Intel in servers suddenly goes wrong.
Regardless, all of those products compete for 5nm wafers from TSMC, just like yogurt and cheese both need milk to manufacture.

Except that demand for other products is way down and apparently TSMC is underutilized on all nodes, including 5N: https://technode.com/2023/06/12/tsm...utilization-for-5nm-and-7nm-processes-report/

So your entire narrative seems to be based on false assumptions.
 

AtenRa

Lifer
Feb 2, 2009
14,001
3,357
136
Based on what? I'd bet the 4070 is the best seller of the RTX 4000 lineup.

4070 has been the best selling card at Mindfactory for about 8 straight weeks. And it took less than 2 months to reach enough cumulative sales to register on Steam Survey. Here is the most recent (week 22) MF numbers:

View attachment 81697

Well this is data only from Mindfactory.de, in Newegg the situation is way different

Bellow pic taken yesterday
 

Mopetar

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2011
7,936
6,239
136
Unless data centers suddenly start investing less in CPU's and more in AI. Then AMD's cunning plan to replace Intel in servers suddenly goes wrong.


Except that demand for other products is way down and apparently TSMC is underutilized on all nodes, including 5N: https://technode.com/2023/06/12/tsm...utilization-for-5nm-and-7nm-processes-report/

So your entire narrative seems to be based on false assumptions.

If N5 is underutilized then TSMC lowers prices and products have potential cost reductions that can be passed along.

TSMC isn't going to leave production lines empty unless they have to sell them below cost of operation. NVidia just had one of their biggest quarters of all time. Even their consumer GPUs are still profitable. They would buy up excess production capacity for making addition 102 dies if nothing else because people still want 4090's and those dies can be sold as professional or enterprise parts in high demand as well.

Cheap N5 would also mean Sony/Microsoft looking to do a die shrink for mid-lifecycle console refresh. Or perhaps an updated "pro" version that's more powerful.

I also just did a quick search on TSMC revenue and they report being up almost 20% monthly from April to May. Even the report you've linked says companies are buying more wafers, which is what would be expected. Obviously there can be constraints in other places, but again I do t see any indication of market failure.
 

Aapje

Golden Member
Mar 21, 2022
1,434
1,954
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If N5 is underutilized then TSMC lowers prices and products have potential cost reductions that can be passed along.
That's not necessarily true, because companies tend to accept temporary underutilization and such, rather than have their prices fluctuate wildly.
I also just did a quick search on TSMC revenue and they report being up almost 20% monthly from April to May. Even the report you've linked says companies are buying more wafers, which is what would be expected. Obviously there can be constraints in other places, but again I do t see any indication of market failure.
Yes, but the report says that they are still underutilized. You need to keep in mind that Nvidia can be constrained on the assembly of the entire card or such, rather than being contrained by lack of chips.
 

maddie

Diamond Member
Jul 18, 2010
4,772
4,739
136
That's not necessarily true, because companies tend to accept temporary underutilization and such, rather than have their prices fluctuate wildly.

Yes, but the report says that they are still underutilized. You need to keep in mind that Nvidia can be constrained on the assembly of the entire card or such, rather than being contrained by lack of chips.
This whole instant AI rollout is funny. Funny money chasing funny fantasies. What about the entire network of people and additional hardware needed to house and use these AI units. I predict that Nvidia can't use (outside of this initial order frenzy) all of TSMC slack volumes as the limiting factors are not chip numbers in the medium term, but everything else which needs time to actualize. We don't live in a virtual world yet, I hope.
 

Saylick

Diamond Member
Sep 10, 2012
3,217
6,585
136
That's not necessarily true, because companies tend to accept temporary underutilization and such, rather than have their prices fluctuate wildly.

Yes, but the report says that they are still underutilized. You need to keep in mind that Nvidia can be constrained on the assembly of the entire card or such, rather than being contrained by lack of chips.
Nvidia is likely constrained by packaging and/or substrate supply. AMD couldn't ramp up their server products due to a lack of packaging and substrate, so they did a joint partnership with some company in China to expand packaging assembly lines, but I suspect it'd be the same issue for Nvidia, who ships at way higher volumes.
 

Mopetar

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2011
7,936
6,239
136
It doesn't matter if the wafers aren't the bottleneck. If you can only package so many chips, you package the ones that make you the most money.
 
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