News AMD 1Q2024 Earnings

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Markfw

Moderator Emeritus, Elite Member
May 16, 2002
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Technical superiority vs Emerald Rapids? They are more or less the same, unless you aim for those super premiums - 96-128c. Also there are non-technical aspects like - Intel price war or AMD's OEM relations have always been bad.

Strix won't shake anything if they can't push it to the OEMs. Besides, Strix are aimed at premium and top-premium $$$ segments. These are not going to shake the market.
So the fastest Intel there is 4% slower than the slowest EPYC at like 50% more power. I would not call that even at all.
 
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yuri69

Senior member
Jul 16, 2013
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The linked article lists AMD 9554 averaging at 227W and Intel 8592+ at 289W. Peak power figures are 369W and 434W. That's not 50% in my books.

Anyways, Intel sold tons of Skylake servers vs Rome. OEMs do not care. Now Intel is way closer than it was in Skylake times.
 
Reactions: Henry swagger
Aug 4, 2023
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What has a server Zen 5 has to do with AMD Q1 results?

Turin comes in H2. There are going to be "30% more designs than Genoa" - at some point in 2024-2025. Ugh

Intel will happily keep selling their Emeralds through OEMs.
Intel really hasn't closed the performance gap, sure they will dump volume with bad margins to keep the fabs busy but that is inevitable no matter what AMD does.
Granite is nothing special, each core will be way behind Z5, see June 3 for what mountain they have to climb. Also Genoa is kinda everywhere already, 30% more wins than that, and ramping faster is very nice.
 

Hitman928

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2012
5,390
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6% margin in client is shocking.. zen 4 must not be selling well.. but in data center and have a big performance lead and are eating intel's slices of the cake

He's using GAAP numbers and ignoring that AMD's using the amortized costs from their recent acquisitions to lower their tax burden in their GAAP reporting. Their non-GAAP numbers should be used to see how their margins and profits are really doing, so the chart you linked to should be ignored. This was already discussed in this thread.

Edit: The 6% client margin is correct, the right side of the graphic should be ignored. According to AMD, HWP is selling very well and ramping which is what drove the 80+% increase in revenue. Low operating margin in client I'm guessing has to do with gearing up to launch Zen 5. There are a lot of costs related to launching a new product. If they continue to have such low operating margins on the client side after Zen 5 ramps, there will be some concern as to why the client side margins are so low.
 
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Markfw

Moderator Emeritus, Elite Member
May 16, 2002
25,635
14,627
136
The linked article lists AMD 9554 averaging at 227W and Intel 8592+ at 289W. Peak power figures are 369W and 434W. That's not 50% in my books.

Anyways, Intel sold tons of Skylake servers vs Rome. OEMs do not care. Now Intel is way closer than it was in Skylake times.
I was looking at 2p. 377 vs 556 is 47%, same place I got performance numbers and % from. And the 96 and 128 cores can't be ignored. I got my RETAIL 9654 for just over $4000. This not extreme high end. You are just twisting numbers and facts to suit your agenda.
 

MrTeal

Diamond Member
Dec 7, 2003
3,578
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The linked article lists AMD 9554 averaging at 227W and Intel 8592+ at 289W. Peak power figures are 369W and 434W. That's not 50% in my books.

Anyways, Intel sold tons of Skylake servers vs Rome. OEMs do not care. Now Intel is way closer than it was in Skylake times.
2P the 8592+ averages 557W while the 9554 averages 377W, so in a more typical dual CPU configuration their test suite does show 50% more power. Interesting that the 2P Intel uses almost 2x the power of one processor, while the EPYC only uses 66% more power for 2P.

Power numbers for peak on the AMD 2P platform look a little nuts though.
 

Hitman928

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2012
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AMD stock taking it on the chin today, down nearly 10%. Seems AI hype deflation causing some investors to seek other options.
 

gdansk

Platinum Member
Feb 8, 2011
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AMD stock taking it on the chin today, down nearly 10%. Seems AI hype deflation causing some investors to seek other options.
Yes, it's not great. Sony money printer is drying up*. MI300 is selling well for AMD but that's nothing compared to Nvidia.

* though Sony stock didn't collapse even though AMD gave a pretty good preview. Maybe the market already knew?
 
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Ghostsonplanets

Senior member
Mar 1, 2024
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* though Sony stock didn't collapse even though AMD gave a pretty good preview. Maybe the market already knew?
Probably waiting for their financials. If SIE isn't able to hit the reduced 21M forecast for PS5, outlook will be grim.
 

Hitman928

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2012
5,390
8,266
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Yes, it's not great. Sony money printer is drying up*. MI300 is selling well for AMD but that's nothing compared to Nvidia.

* though Sony stock didn't collapse even though AMD gave a pretty good preview. Maybe the market already knew?

I mean, on the whole, things are still going pretty well, just won't have the growth this year that many had hoped that was driving the stock price up. If embedded recovers like AMD and Intel project in the second half, and client continues to grow as projected, the 3rd and especially 4th quarter are going to be bangers for AMD as next gen Epyc comes on the scene and MI300 sales will be significantly higher than last quarter.
 

Hitman928

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2012
5,390
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Went through the conference call, nothing really of note that I saw that hasn't already been discussed outside of AMD believes they are finally gaining momentum in enterprise (as opposed to cloud) CPU server sales and they believe this will continue.
 

Mopetar

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2011
7,935
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Hard to increase ASP much above inflation when the market is more strapped. If Zen 5 is big, they'll be able to do it, but otherwise I think it's better to focus on other markets or to have a leaner product that can hit desirable price points while still having a good margin.
 

Ghostsonplanets

Senior member
Mar 1, 2024
387
659
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If AMD gets the performance crown, they'll have a serious advantage over Intel on Client due to a simpler design and cheaper cost structure. If they can ramp up at high volume, Intel might have a lot of troubles.

On DT, even if AMD prices their products higher, it will have a much cheaper platform as Intel ARL will require a platform rebuilt (New SoC + New Mobo + New Memory), thus becoming much more expensive than AMD Z5 SoCs which are coming to the established AM5.

On Mobile, Intel designs are expensive due to multiple tiles and require extensive validation and packaging, thus being slow to ramp and with tons of cost adder. Lunar Lake simplified this, but it's something aimed at premium low voltage (Despite the push towards 30W) and still has it's own cost adders (MOP and N3B). AMD Monolithic approach is simpler and faster to ramp, while also being cheaper to manufacture and allowing AMD to cover from high-End (Strix P) to mainstream (Kraken 1/2) and Chromebook (SNV).

If AMD plays their cards well, they can make a huge dent at Intel on client. Intel will still be fine due to size and market reach. But on a much more precarious position. It will be interesting to see the state of the market in 1 year.
 

gdansk

Platinum Member
Feb 8, 2011
2,212
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For client in general: it doesn't matter if it is much faster Intel will spam cheapo RPL laptops at slightly lower prices and it will sell better still.

For DIY having the fastest gaming CPU means certain people will buy it no matter what. But it isn't a huge market.
 

Markfw

Moderator Emeritus, Elite Member
May 16, 2002
25,635
14,627
136
If AMD gets the performance crown, they'll have a serious advantage over Intel on Client due to a simpler design and cheaper cost structure. If they can ramp up at high volume, Intel might have a lot of troubles.

On DT, even if AMD prices their products higher, it will have a much cheaper platform as Intel ARL will require a platform rebuilt (New SoC + New Mobo + New Memory), thus becoming much more expensive than AMD Z5 SoCs which are coming to the established AM5.

On Mobile, Intel designs are expensive due to multiple tiles and require extensive validation and packaging, thus being slow to ramp and with tons of cost adder. Lunar Lake simplified this, but it's something aimed at premium low voltage (Despite the push towards 30W) and still has it's own cost adders (MOP and N3B). AMD Monolithic approach is simpler and faster to ramp, while also being cheaper to manufacture and allowing AMD to cover from high-End (Strix P) to mainstream (Kraken 1/2) and Chromebook (SNV).

If AMD plays their cards well, they can make a huge dent at Intel on client. Intel will still be fine due to size and market reach. But on a much more precarious position. It will be interesting to see the state of the market in 1 year.
What do you mean "if AMD get the performance crown" ? They already have it in everything except mobile, and thats a tie at the moment.

If you are referring to the fact that the 14900k won a few benchmarks, after the crashing thread, whatever doubt that AMD has the crown there is gone.
 

Curious_Inquirer

Junior Member
Sep 5, 2022
18
51
51
Fabricated Knowledge just dropped an article on AMD’s earnings. And it’s a big OOF. The MI300 family only has 2-3 quarters to shine till Blackwell’s B100/B200/GB200 puts it into the ground and expectations on the buy side we’re that they’d get 5-6 billion in 2024. So they really aren’t getting a lot of the profits out of the AI boom as Nvidia and Broadcom who does the chips for Googles TPU’s, Amazon’s Trainium and Inferentia processors and possibly Microsoft’s AI chip. They’re in a distant third place behind Nvidia and Broadcom but thankfully are ahead of Intel’s Gaudi 2/3 sales. Also if they don’t manage to get the MI400 out ahead of the R100 that’s going to get announced next year it’s going to be a dud in sales. https://www.fabricatedknowledge.com...lers?r=reiiy&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
 
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