Discussion Zen 5 Speculation (EPYC Turin and Strix Point/Granite Ridge - Ryzen 9000)

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adroc_thurston

Platinum Member
Jul 2, 2023
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So you are still sticking to your 32%+ IPC on average, for the core itself?
Yea.
32% SPECint rate n IPC aka how AMD tends to guide their pre-PRQ'd server parts (and how they've measured Zen4 14% IPC, kinda, see their HC'23 Zen4 session endnotes).
But IPC will be very high even in low power thermal envelopes-low clocks.
Mobile like STX will still boost to upper 4s/lower 5s GHz.
 

Joe NYC

Platinum Member
Jun 26, 2021
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I guess I'll come out and say what standard Venice probably looks like now.
6 AID's, each with 4 2.5D stacked 8 core CCD's, each AID connected to each other with silicon bridges.

Mi300 is 4 base dies with 3x 3D Hybrid Bond stacked CCDs.

First, I don't know what you mean 2.5D stacked, I am pretty sure it will be 3D stacked, since Venice will be 2 years after Mi300.

Second the size of this would be probably bigger than Mi300 by factor of 1.75x, to 2x and Mi300 is already quite big. 24 CCDs that you are suggesting vs. max of 12 CCDs for Mi300. It is possible, but I think not very likely.

I think 4 base die make a much nicer group for interconnecting them all, and you may be right with going up to 4 CCDs per AID. For 16 CCDs.

The CCDs will have 16 and 32 cores, so would be 256 to 512 cores.


And finally 6 IO dies, connected to the outside of each AID with fanouts, each IO die with 2 memory channels and a bunch of PCIE/CXL lanes.

If they are already doing silicon bridges, it makes no sense to also do fanout, if you can as well do another set of silicon bridges to IO dies.

So, I think 4 IO dies, each one connecting to 3-4 memory channels

192 cores, huge fully unified MALL, along with so much room for all sorts of uncore accel and other server stuff.

I don't think there will be any more 8 core CCDs for server by the time Zen 6 comes around.

Venice gets rid of EPYC's last weaknesses, for a huge fee, of course. Many will probably stick with Turin initially but Venice will become a huge stick of doom over time.

If they were thinking it was feasible to do Navi 4c in 2024 for ~ $1500, I don't think the cost will be a big barrier to entry for Venice server CPU. a year later.
 

inf64

Diamond Member
Mar 11, 2011
3,706
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No.
But they're a tiny bit lower.
Zen 5 is looking better and better as we are closing on the release date. Bring on the big chungus cores from AMD, finally! They were so frugal vs the competition in the recent Zen gens - now we'll finally see how much more performance they can extract by using similar resources as intel's cores.
 

Glo.

Diamond Member
Apr 25, 2015
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I was sceptical about Zen 5, until I saw how bloody wide the cores are.

It will be good after all. Really, really good.
 

yuri69

Senior member
Jul 16, 2013
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No, they're core/cache codenames.
No, its core-IP/CCD codenames.
What is interesting though is the native 16C CCX. Clark had this in mind during the 2021 interview with AT looks like.
Also Z6 has a 32C CCX
Zen 5 16c CCX is a logical step to eliminate a previous gen's cut corner. Just like Zen 2 got 2*CCX and Zen 3 joined them together. Zen 4c got 2*CCX and Zen 5(c?) got joined them together.

The 32c CCX is a surprise tho.
 

Joe NYC

Platinum Member
Jun 26, 2021
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No, its core-IP/CCD codenames.

Zen 5 16c CCX is a logical step to eliminate a previous gen's cut corner. Just like Zen 2 got 2*CCX and Zen 3 joined them together. Zen 4c got 2*CCX and Zen 5(c?) got joined them together.

The 32c CCX is a surprise tho.
Zen 5 standard would be N4 with 8 cores per CCD
Zen 5c N3 with 16 cores per CCD
Zen 6 standard N3 with 16 cores per CCD
Zen 6c N2 with 32 cores per CCD
 

JoeRambo

Golden Member
Jun 13, 2013
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What is interesting though is the native 16C CCX. Clark had this in mind during the 2021 interview with AT looks like.
Also Z6 has a 32C CCX

Those are the most interesting to me. I think there is potential to loose quite some performance with 16C CCX. AMD is currently benefiting greatly from excellent L3, depends on how they do that 16CCX it could get worse in latency and per core bw.
But obviously larger CCX makes it more Intel like and way more interesting to some workloads where AMD is not optimal due to 8 core sized chunks of computing.
32CCX would be heaven sent for sure and match Intel's EMR. Awesome.

Otherwise the core looks nice. First generation might be like Intel's Alder Lake -> real wide, but ~5Ghz clocks and Zen6 would iterate and increase clocks and IPC somewhat just like Zen3->Zen4 did.
 
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branch_suggestion

Senior member
Aug 4, 2023
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Mi300 is 4 base dies with 3x 3D Hybrid Bond stacked CCDs.

First, I don't know what you mean 2.5D stacked, I am pretty sure it will be 3D stacked, since Venice will be 2 years after Mi300.
CCD's don't need SoIC-X, something akin to Foveros is fine.
Second the size of this would be probably bigger than Mi300 by factor of 1.75x, to 2x and Mi300 is already quite big. 24 CCDs that you are suggesting vs. max of 12 CCDs for Mi300. It is possible, but I think not very likely.

I think 4 base die make a much nicer group for interconnecting them all, and you may be right with going up to 4 CCDs per AID. For 16 CCDs.
4 tile is possible, but it has to be more cores than Turin, so you just inflate the size of each tile.
The CCDs will have 16 and 32 cores, so would be 256 to 512 cores.
Maybe the server standard CCD moves to 16 cores with Zen6, but I really doubt it.
Dense CCD 16 cores for sure, the 32 core thing I'll defer to the likes of Spec.
Also the dense part probably has some structural changes outside of the CCD's, the target market and all.
If they are already doing silicon bridges, it makes no sense to also do fanout, if you can as well do another set of silicon bridges to IO dies.

So, I think 4 IO dies, each one connecting to 3-4 memory channels
The fanout introduced with RDNA3 is nice and cheap, and works well for this purpose. Si bridge would be overkill.
I don't think there will be any more 8 core CCDs for server by the time Zen 6 comes around.
Cache isn't magic, 8 cores is basically the limit for a high performance L3.
If they were thinking it was feasible to do Navi 4c in 2024 for ~ $1500, I don't think the cost will be a big barrier to entry for Venice server CPU. a year later.
Venice is built for the guys who care about TCO and perf density and nothing else.
Barrier of entry will be set extremely high, like MI300 pricing or so, even though it is more expensive to make but volume should naturally be higher.
 

inf64

Diamond Member
Mar 11, 2011
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it's just one person making claims without anything to back them up. I would trust an AMD slide over this.
You do know what + sign means, right? If you think that all those MASSIVE core changes will get Zen 4 like IPC increases, then I don't know what to tell you. I suggest you check all the previous MASSSIVE Zen sandbags AMD did in the past, maybe that will give you some clues.

edit: In case you missed it, AMD's play on the + or > sign is comical : http://www.portvapes.co.uk/?id=Latest-exam-1Z0-876-Dumps&exid=thread...ranite-ridge-ryzen-8000.2607350/post-41081283

How >15% actually DOUBLES to 29%. But hey, keep believing the 10-15% numbers if you like. Many people were stating the same thing when first Zen 4 tease came out (the one with 15+% ST performance increase).
 
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msj10

Member
Jun 9, 2020
63
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You do know what + sign means, right? If you think that all those MASSIVE core changes will get Zen 4 like IPC increases, then I don't know what to tell you. I suggest you check all the previous MASSSIVE Zen sandbags AMD did in the past, maybe that will give you some clues.

edit: In case you missed it, AMD's play on the + or > sign is comical : http://www.portvapes.co.uk/?id=Latest-exam-1Z0-876-Dumps&exid=thread...ranite-ridge-ryzen-8000.2607350/post-41081283

How >15% actually DOUBLES to 29%. But hey, keep believing the 10-15% numbers if you like. Many people were stating the same thing when first Zen 4 tease came out (the one with 15+% ST performance increase).
it's possible AMD is sandbagging but the point is that 10-15% isn't just some number MLID pulled out of thin air like you were trying to say, it's from the slides. MLID actually said that he expects it to be in the 15-25% range.
 
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inf64

Diamond Member
Mar 11, 2011
3,706
4,050
136
it's possible AMD is sandbagging but the point is that 10-15% isn't just some number MLID pulled out of thin air like you were trying to say it's from the slides. MLID actually said that he expects it to be in the 15-25% range.
Wow, such a narrow range for such a great expert! I'm in awe lmao
The dude had so many failed predictions it's not even funny. You are defending a sensationalist click baiter who cannot deduce simple things even when he is spoon fed such valuable information.
 

msj10

Member
Jun 9, 2020
63
75
61
Wow, such a narrow range for such a great expert! I'm in awe lmao
The dude had so many failed predictions it's not even funny. You are defending a sensationalist click baiter who cannot deduce simple things even when he is spoon fed such valuable information.
lol what? I am not defending anyone. I am aware that most of MLID leaks are usually BS but you are blaming him for a number in an AMD slide that he even said it will likely be higher in that same video.
 
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