Discussion Zen 5 Speculation (EPYC Turin and Strix Point/Granite Ridge - Ryzen 9000)

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Aug 4, 2023
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AMD should not have purchased ATI. AMD once owned 33% of GloFlo aka. Global Foundries and spun it off their investment. It's not like AMD wasn't making money. They made big investments that were not smart. AMD was the top of the CPU market for two years. First to 1ghz CPU's, brought 64bit processors to the market when Intel said 32bit was all consumers needed.
ATI already proved to be worth it with the consoles. MI300X is finally the big stick to truly make the investment worth it.
MI400 will prove Xilinx and Pensando to be worth it too, don't worry.
Pure-play already won, so AMD was right to spin off GF. Intel must do the same or they won't make anything competitive, not when 10x more engineers work on TSMC's ecosystem due to no COI.
 
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Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,056
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There are so many designs in flight at Intel now that even if it is officially Zen V: the Return of Conroe I don't see anything dominating like Conroe did for so long.

It was dominating mainly in Intel s centric Sysmark, indeed AT s review first pages started with this biaised benches, hence the impressions.

In Cinebench it want faster per clock FI, and Conroe had a smaller process with double the transistor count, not counting that the IMC was external contrary to the X2, once AMD shrinked their process they regained the perf/watt advantage.

And remember Intel s huge marketing campaign, going as far as claiming that it would accelerate your internet connection speed, lol...
 

Hans Gruber

Platinum Member
Dec 23, 2006
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ATI already proved to be worth it with the consoles. MI300X is finally the big stick to truly make the investment worth it.
MI400 will prove Xilinx and Pensando to be worth it too, don't worry.
Pure-play already won, so AMD was right to spin off GF. Intel must do the same or they won't make anything competitive, not when 10x more engineers work on TSMC's ecosystem due to no COI.
ATI was a great company. AMD was not well run in the late 2000's. They have largely squandered the ATI brand for the most part. Nvidia's market share today tells the story of the epic battle between ATI and Nvidia. I had the ATI 9700pro and ATI 9800pro. I also had the original Nvidia Geforce 256, Geforce 2, Geforce 3 Ti4200 and several of ATI/AMD cards after that.

Intel got $40 billion from the Biden silicon technology bill. Intel is going to sell silicon to 3rd parties on their fabs. That's something they have never done in the past.
 
Aug 4, 2023
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Xilinx no, Pensando oh yes.
They're gonna stick that 800G goodness everywhere.
There may not be Xilinx IP in it, but they have such a wide area of expertise that I'm sure they make an impact.
They do seem to sit more on the Zen side of business, Venice should be a lot of fun. And going back to earlier stuff, Xilinx has already been worth it through diversifying revenue streams, just as ATI did.
AMD really will become a one stop shop for any form of high performance computing, ideally all on one package.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,056
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AMD had market domination starting in 2003. Processors like the Barton 2500+ destroyed P4's. Conroe arrived in 2006. AMD x2 processors did not arrive until 2007.
I wanted Athlon based PCs back in 2001 for a firm i was working in, but the local biggest IT shop didnt have any.

A seller in the shop told me that they signed a contract with Intel that stipulated that if they did their advertisements with Intel displayed half of the advertisment would be paid by Intel but at the condition that the shop wouldnt sell AMD based PCs and he added that from time to time there was an Intel guy that visited the shop to check that there wasnt an unwanted beast on the shelves.

Since i m someone who s reluctant to accept such practices i bought MBs, cases
and all the necessary to build Athlon/Duron PCs as a solution, i wasnt supposed to
be an IT guy in my firm but the boss welcomed the move and gave me the green lights
to proceed.
 

IronLynx

Junior Member
Jan 9, 2022
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adroc talked about 32% INTEGER IPC, but never about FP IPC. Considering the increase in Issue width (from 10+6 to...?) could we see a phenomenal jump in games even in the ones where Intel Arch shines?
Does anyone have guesses about how much the increase in other tech specs?L1 32KB to 48 KB.

Int reg, Int scheduler, FP Reg, ROB? (Currently 224/96/192/320). Any leaks?
 

gdansk

Platinum Member
Feb 8, 2011
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I have sources that indicate the structure of Zen 5 looks somewhat like this

SMT4 + CMT. Extremely smart. One thread can schedule up to 1024 bit of FMA in single cycle provided the other 4 threads are not using it.





(SMT4 Bulldozer should give away that this is a joke but just in case I added this disclaimer)
 
Last edited:

H433x0n

Senior member
Mar 15, 2023
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So if lots of Zen4 workloads are front end bound , we have a big front end , hopefully super duper prefetch + predictors and we have 50% wider ALU / execution. On your bullish statements im now upping my YOLO prediction from 33% to 41% IPC over Zen4.
I’m going to get a lot of shade thrown at me by adroc for being a terminally online skeptic™ but....

Turin gets a 33% membw bump (DDR5-4800 to DDR5-6400) with a new cIOD. Turin also has a 500W power budget which means that depending on the SKU there can be 30%+ more power available. Recently I've gotten to the point where I'm becoming less skeptical (because recent Granite Ridge data appears bullish) but I'd still personally advocate for an attitude where any IPC increase past 20% is considered a win.

There's nothing to gain by setting everybody's expectations sky high. The hype train is counter productive IMO.
 
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adroc_thurston

Platinum Member
Jul 2, 2023
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Turin gets a 33% membw bump (DDR5-4800 to DDR5-6400) with a new cIOD
This is to make -D work.
Check any 9554 review relative to Milan and ignore the membw-shredder workloads a-la CFD.
Turin also has a 500W power budget which means that depending on the SKU there can be 30%+ more power available
Exactly 25%.
but I'd still personally advocate for an attitude where any IPC increase past 20% is considered a win.
20% is puny numbers for a bigger core + tock.
Even Intel can get close to that and their big core teams are like the worst in the industry.
 

Saylick

Diamond Member
Sep 10, 2012
3,217
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I have sources that indicate the structure of Zen 5 looks somewhat like this
View attachment 92437
SMT4 + CMT. Extremely smart. One thread can schedule up to 1024 bit of FMA in single cycle provided the other 4 threads are not using it.





(SMT4 Bulldozer should give away that this is a joke but just in case I added this disclaimer)
Hmmm....

Either hinting at 30% Ops per Cycle Improvement, or that there's some sort of dual decoders. Or both?
 

gdansk

Platinum Member
Feb 8, 2011
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Either hinting at 30% Ops per Cycle Improvement, or that there's some sort of dual decoders. Or both?
Dual decoders are the new hotness (for x64 anyway).
But Mr. Thurston shared with us earlier his take (I don't think he claimed to have any special knowledge in how they achieved their gains?) that it likely looks more like A14's "Firestorm". If true it is a bit sad that all good designs will converge on a boring core like that.
 

H433x0n

Senior member
Mar 15, 2023
926
1,013
96
20% is puny numbers for a bigger core + tock.
Even Intel can get close to that and their big core teams are like the worst in the industry.
You say that but both Intel and AMD have only done that once in the past 20 years. Intel did it in 2006 with Conroe, AMD did it in 2017 with OG Zen. The one thing that both of those architectures have in common is that their predecessor was underwhelming making that massive IPC bump possible.
This is to make -D work.
Check any 9554 review relative to Milan and ignore the membw-shredder workloads a-la CFD.
That doesn't mean that all of the other SKUs won't receive a benefit from that membw increase.
Exactly 25%.
I was using the 9654 default 360W TDP, but I grant that I don't know the power limit Turin will ship with but rather the upper limit (500W).
 

adroc_thurston

Platinum Member
Jul 2, 2023
2,501
3,650
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that it likely looks more like A14's "Firestorm".
The back-end yeah.
You say that but both Intel and AMD have only done that once in the past 20 years.
Apple did Cyclone and Twister in 3 years (and maintained a pretty nutso CAGR afterwards for quite some time).
You're welcome.
That doesn't mean that all of the other SKUs won't receive a benefit from that membw increase.
It really does mean that, go to STH and look at their Genoa review.
I was using the 9654 default 360W TDP, but I grant that I don't know the power limit Turin will ship with but rather the upper limit (500W).
It's a 25% skt power bump and that's all you need to know about it.
 
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